Eskimo Joe Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 1 minute ago, ryanconway63 said: with the trends thus far does anybody worry that the bullseye pushes to far south and east? No. The confluence isn't strong enough to blow this into the Carolinas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 3 minutes ago, ryanconway63 said: with the trends thus far does anybody worry that the bullseye pushes to far south and east? There are at least 100 ways for this area to get screwed. No sense focusing on just one such scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 1 minute ago, ryanconway63 said: with the trends thus far does anybody worry that the bullseye pushes to far south and east? There are all KINDS of worries.. We are modeling way too far to get the specifics figured out. The jackpots and rain/snow lines can adjust radically.. we just are watching trends and excited when it snows in our back yards.. Details are coming! The consistency is a great sign! The pattern looks great! But we live in a fickle area that can break hearts quickly! But i get the concerns! We do not want any bad trends! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Dont look now but the GFS is trying to Sniff out a Coastal Storm for Christmas Eve as well. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Just now, Snowchaser said: True, but the bullseye for the heaviest snow could fall in central Virginia if this trend continues. That's totally fine considering official winter hasn't started yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Just now, ryanconway63 said: Dont look now but the GFS is trying to Sniff out a Coastal Storm for Christmas Eve as well. I saw that. Very interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 10 minutes ago, 40westwx said: yeah the placement of that HP is exactly what we need. There is not a ton of Cold Air around but I really wasnt surprised when I saw the GFS trend colder this last run. The ensemble support is very encouraging. Not a ton of cold air? It's almost 20 below zero in eastern/southeast canada across a pretty sizeable area during midweek storm on a lot of models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 https://twitter.com/capitalweather/status/1337450404108509190?s=20 CWG Article 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 If everything lines up right, an event like 12/5/2002 might be within reach. One of my favorite moderate snowstorms growing up. This -NAO is the best that we’ve seen in years, especially after so many years of crappy Atlantic setups. A cold 5-8” throughout the I-95 corridor, just before the holidays, would be such a nice break after all the turmoil of 2020, and after the pathetic non-winter of 2019-20. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 23 minutes ago, mappy said: I've been told I need to loosen up and have more fun. So, I'm trying! Well I like it! Momma has to have fun too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 2 minutes ago, Fozz said: If everything lines up right, an event like 12/5/2002 might be within reach. One of my favorite moderate snowstorms growing up. This -NAO is the best that we’ve seen in years, especially after so many years of crappy Atlantic setups. A cold 5-8” throughout the I-95 corridor, just before the holidays, would be such a nice break after all the turmoil of 2020, and after the pathetic non-winter of 2019-20. 12/5/02 storm summary for those wondering: http://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/2003/05-Dec-02.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 8 minutes ago, wawarriors4 said: https://twitter.com/capitalweather/status/1337450404108509190?s=20 CWG Article I like how they mention my name in the article several times 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 18 minutes ago, ryanconway63 said: with the trends thus far does anybody worry that the bullseye pushes to far south and east? Yes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 3 minutes ago, Fozz said: If everything lines up right, an event like 12/5/2002 might be within reach. One of my favorite moderate snowstorms growing up. This -NAO is the best that we’ve seen in years, especially after so many years of crappy Atlantic setups. A cold 5-8” throughout the I-95 corridor, just before the holidays, would be such a nice break after all the turmoil of 2020, and after the pathetic non-winter of 2019-20. This storm looks to be more southern compared to the 2002 storm. We shall see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 One of the biggest Euro runs in years on deck.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Before the Euro. Someone mentioned the UK and comparing it to 0z, it took a big step towards a snowier solution. It was way east at 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 The GFS is really active throughout the run. With multiple chances for frozen for the western burbs and multiple coastals. Temps are an issue. But that makes sense for December. But we are in for a fun few weeks of tracking it looks like. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 I'm not more interested to see if the Euro gives the Canadian high a better position and kills the Ohio Valley low faster. That's all I want to see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Let’s revel in our current excitement before daddy Euro steps in and crushes our dreams. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Just now, clskinsfan said: The GFS is really active throughout the run. With multiple chances for frozen for the western burbs and multiple coastals. Temps are an issue. But that makes sense for December. But we are in for a fun few weeks of tracking it looks like. Also makes sense when we get blocks! Things do not just ride out to sea without some chance of getting us involved. So true about the climo! The cold is just cold enough to snow, which means it is also just warm enough to not! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 If i can get a mid 60s round of golf on Sunday and 6-12 inches on Wednesday I’ll be sound as a pound. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 11 minutes ago, Fozz said: If everything lines up right, an event like 12/5/2002 might be within reach. One of my favorite moderate snowstorms growing up. This -NAO is the best that we’ve seen in years, especially after so many years of crappy Atlantic setups. A cold 5-8” throughout the I-95 corridor, just before the holidays, would be such a nice break after all the turmoil of 2020, and after the pathetic non-winter of 2019-20. Remember how bad forecast were in 2002. there was 4" on the ground with SN+ in state college by the time people saw this paper. Ended up with 8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 10 minutes ago, ryanconway63 said: One of the biggest Euro runs in years on deck.... Think this is said 3/4x a year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 oh man. come on guys, lets make sure you're talking about the correct run 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Just now, IronTy said: You can sort of cheat, at least on WB. While you're refreshing your computer every 5 seconds trying to get the next frame you can just go to the "10 day snow total" and that seems to be released at the start of the run. You obviously can't get any of the evolution...but who cares all I want to see is snow totals. nah man. thats not how it works. do better. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 OH SNAP! I stand corrected!!! They didn't update the frame for the snow totals LOL. Carry on, nothing to see here. Still 00Z on the total snows - back to refreshing my screen. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Well I guess this is proof virtual learning is a fail 1 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 I dont think it works that way. Seems like an honest mistake though and not trolling. Man are we ever on edge here! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Just now, WxWatcher007 said: lol you all know the euro isn’t that far out in time yet you fall for it every storm. He’s playing the odds were due for a bad run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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