Ji Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 4:59 AM, yoda said: Congrats cape and wes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Gefs 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 4:59 AM, jaydreb said: Here’s the pretty snow maps. P13ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 4:56 AM, Ji said: On 12/11/2020 at 4:51 AM, psuhoffman said: The TPV pulls west and the next trough dives in too far west so even with a -AO/NAO that’s not so good unless it’s 2010 level blocking. But the guidance was doing that for this week not long ago and you were whining that the storms were tracking now were cutters. So... Expand Lol so much for the meterogically impossible to get cutters during a strong AO NAO block Expand no that not what it means what it means is that a) even if the model shows an inland track with - AO/ - NAO you should NOT accept that solution as valid b) and it means after 15 years you have learned not a damn thing 2 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 4:07 AM, stormtracker said: I don't get the excitement for the Monday thing..maybe it's just me. The mid week thing is what I'm looking for. GFS has the High a little slower...which I think is a good thing. Looks more pronounced with CAD so far Expand the monday event is a cold rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 4:20 AM, Amped said: Southern stream is weak. No low coming out of the gulf coast states. Expand its the GFS that model simply does not see stj ast 72 84 hrs ... never has been never will be see the DEC 7 event here in central VA... GFS has NOTHING every run for 6 days until 42 hrs before the event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 5:06 AM, DTWXRISK said: the monday event is a cold rainIcon is warm snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 5:02 AM, Ji said: On 12/11/2020 at 4:59 AM, jaydreb said: Here’s the pretty snow maps. Expand P13ftw Expand 12 of 24 hit DCA BAL nw third of VA central MD with ACCUMULATING snow 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 5:11 AM, Ji said: On 12/11/2020 at 5:06 AM, DTWXRISK said: the monday event is a cold rain Expand Icon is warm snow Expand at 40-45 degrees? Good luck with that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 WARM SNOW??? what the hell is that? is it like LIBERAL Bustardi??? 2 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 11, 2020 Author Share Posted December 11, 2020 @DT_WXRISK thats 00z GEFS... not the ICON But i agree with you that Monday is cold rain... time to focus on Wed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 5:13 AM, DTWXRISK said: at 40-45 degrees? Good luck with that Cause gfs is dry. Icon is 32-34 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 5:15 AM, Ji said: On 12/11/2020 at 5:13 AM, DTWXRISK said: at 40-45 degrees? Good luck with that Expand Cause gfs is dry. Icon is 32-34 Expand yes at 90 hrs ...18z MON .. BUT dude when the event begin at 12z Monday DCA is 38 CHO is 40 Winchester is 35f A lot of rain until 18z .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 5:19 AM, DTWXRISK said: yes at 90 hrs ...18z MON .. BUT dude when the event begin at 12z Monday DCA is 38 CHO is 40 Winchester is 35f A lot of rain until 18z .... Expand You really think you’re going to change his mind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 UKMET??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 5:29 AM, psuhoffman said: UKMET???out to 102 on Pivotal, which has free UKMET maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 How come all the other guidance they continue to release faster but the euro stays 1am. The gap is crazy now. At least years ago we had the ggem/gefs and various other “guidance of the hour” crap coming out between the Gfs and euro. Now everything else is done by 11:45 and it’s a crazy wait. ETA: I am not waiting up. If I happen to wake up fine otherwise it will look the same at 7am as it does at 1am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 5:34 AM, psuhoffman said: How come all the other guidance they continue to release faster but the euro stays 1am. The gap is crazy now. At least years ago we had the ggem/gefs and various other “guidance of the hour” crap coming out between the Gfs and euro. Now everything else is done by 11:45 and it’s a crazy wait. ETA: I am not waiting up. If I happen to wake up fine otherwise it will look the same at 7am as it does at 1am but by 7:00am the 06z is coming out.. the 00z is useless! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 11, 2020 Author Share Posted December 11, 2020 FWIW, IMO, GEPS were a nice hit 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 5:36 AM, yoda said: FWIW, IMO, GEPS were a nice hit Expand Especially NW of 95... 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 5:36 AM, yoda said: FWIW, IMO, GEPS were a nice hit Expand The 5H depiction on the GDPS is more indicative of a snow event compared to the GFS as the wave is stronger with a neg-neutral tilt as it traverses the Tennessee Valley. GFS is a bit more flat and pos-neutral tilt in the same time frame. Still a ways out, but the setup is there for a modest event for the Mid Atlantic. I'll be keeping tabs through the next several days while I'm on mid shifts. I like seeing the high over Quebec and weak blocking in the northern latitudes. Keep those in play, and it'll be about timing of the disturbance. A little more amplitude in the trough will pay dividends. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 5:48 AM, MillvilleWx said: The 5H depiction on the GEPS is more indicative of a snow event compared to the GFS as the wave is stronger with a neg-neutral tilt as it traverses the Tennessee Valley. GFS is a bit more flat and pos-neutral tilt in the same time frame. Still a ways out, but the setup is there for a modest event for the Mid Atlantic. I'll be keeping tabs through the next several days while I'm on mid shifts. I like seeing the high over Quebec and weak blocking in the northern latitudes. Keep those in play, and it'll be about timing of the disturbance. A little more amplitude in the trough will pay dividends. Expand Gefs looked much better than the op 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderman Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Not a bad spot to be right now, with the damming being modeled. Grab a stiff drink and see how it play out through the weekend. Potential for a descent event is there. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 5:52 AM, psuhoffman said: Gefs looked much better than the op Expand Agreed. I meant to say GDPS (GEM) for my previous post, so I'll have to make that correction. The GEFS def showed more promise than the OP, so that's actually pretty nice to see. This is the time frame where ensembles I think can earn their stripes more than OP. Leaves window open on what could happen with a smoother mean. The trend is in the right direction right now. Only 20 more runs to go! lol If I was a betting man, I would bet on a storm for someone in here. Most likely the NW of 95 crew, but I wouldn't discount the eastern crew either. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wizard021 Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 euro is amped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wizard021 Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 a lot of height rises , gona be a nuke inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Euro so close for us coastal folks. Interior getting it good still 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Lol Boston stays all snow because the low bombs 13 mb in 6 hrs and heads due east. Not happening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wizard021 Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 6:38 AM, Amped said: Lol Boston stays all snow because the low bombs 13 mb in 6 hrs and heads due east. Not happening Expand Euro weakens enough confluence via height rises, and that is due to the Monday wave trailing slower, a euro bias in the sw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now