psuhoffman Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 2:11 AM, Ji said: the models 48 hours before the storm will have 2 feet in Richmond and 4-8 in DC and 1 inch in philly to too right? Expand We’re on the same page. And 24 hours before Bob Ryan will interrupt the 11pm news to say this is gonna be big! 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 2:14 AM, psuhoffman said: We’re on the same page. And 24 hours before Bob Ryan will interrupt the 11pm news to say this is gonna be big! Expand Nah..he’ll say “still no sign..no sign of our first inch of snow” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 2:17 AM, BristowWx said: Nah..he’ll say “still no sign..no sign of our first inch of snow” Expand man and he used to say that so much. Imagine him now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 2:14 AM, psuhoffman said: We’re on the same page. And 24 hours before Bob Ryan will interrupt the 11pm news to say this is gonna be big! Expand By page 55 of the nowcast OBS i'll be complaining of a dry slot after it starts sleeting on top of 12 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 2:03 AM, Weather Will said: WB EPS 3 inches or more for Midweek. Increase from 12Z. Control also increased. GN. Expand the key info I think this post missed is that this is the Monday storm on the Control. Good hit. has the Wednesday storm too I suppose but minus a few early tenths its a miss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Sheesh... does the ENS control even have any support from the mean? Hell of a way to run a strong NAO block with 50/50 confluence and a high over SE canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 2:24 AM, JakkelWx said: Sheesh... does the ENS control even have any support from the mean? Hell of a way to run a strong NAO block with 50/50 confluence and a high over SE canada. Expand I think someone posted the individual MSLPs but it's got a few members on its side. Lows became less clustered from 12z to 18z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 2:14 AM, psuhoffman said: We’re on the same page. And 24 hours before Bob Ryan will interrupt the 11pm news to say this is gonna be big! Expand So true. I always felt like Bob Ryan was the OG “Dr No” model. Then 24hrs before he would juicy NAM you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 1:44 AM, Eskimo Joe said: Fun fact with this event...the Ohio primary ended up stronger than progged, BUT the transfer to the coastal was pretty quick. A rare instance where up north into the PA mason/dixon counties boomed and DC didn't switch to rain. This was a rare wind for eveyone. Expand One of the oddities of that storm was how the pacific and the blocking played off each other. Like I said earlier everything depends on so many variables. The pac was a mess. Deep Trough in AK and crashing into the west coast. Normally anything would have cut. But there was the most ridiculous block, centered right near Baffin with a ginormous 50/50 stuck under it at the same time. So all it did was take all the Nino STJ and direct it straight up into a massive wall of confluence. Take away the Uber blocking and that pac configuration wouldn’t work. Put a pna ridge and that confluence probably suppresses anything that has to develop with a further east trough axis. That was a combination of factors that only worked in conjunction with each other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 2:32 AM, psuhoffman said: One of the oddities of that storm was how the pacific and the blocking played off each other. Like I said earlier everything depends on so many variables. The pac was a mess. Deep Trough in AK and crashing into the west coast. Normally anything would have cut. But there was the most ridiculous block, centered right near Baffin with a ginormous 50/50 stuck under it at the same time. So all it did was take all the Nino STJ and direct it straight up into a massive wall of confluence. Take away the Uber blocking and that pac configuration wouldn’t work. Put a pna ridge and that confluence probably suppresses anything that has to develop with a further east trough axis. That was a combination of factors that only worked in conjunction with each other. Expand Outside of ‘96 that was the single greatest storm for me in northern DE. Just poured snow for a good 16 hours +. Ended up with 27” of cold powder. Then 4 days later got another 21”. 4 feet in 4 days will never be topped again in this area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 2:32 AM, Scraff said: So true. I always felt like Bob Ryan was the OG “Dr No” model. Then 24hrs before he would juicy NAM you. It used to break my heart when he would say “no sign of breaking out the golden snow shovel.” LolNo doubt...the original dr nope. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 2:38 AM, losetoa6 said: Pretty strong vort signature on the Nam. Maybe a Nam'd coming soon ....by 12z tomorrow. Expand Yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 2:17 AM, BristowWx said: Nah..he’ll say “still no sign..no sign of our first inch of snow” Expand Him and the golden snowshovel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 anyone remember that run in Jan 2016 where the12z Euro took us from 25 or so inches to 17 inches and there was one of the biggest panic attacks of all time....of course it bounced back in the 00z run but that was like the longest 12 hours of my life lol 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Round Hill WX Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 2:51 AM, Ji said: anyone remember that run in Jan 2016 where the12z Euro took us from 25 or so inches to 17 inches and there was one of the biggest panic attacks of all time....of course it bounced back in the 00z run but that was like the longest 12 hours of my life lol Expand Bounced back in a big way at 00z. Barely wavered inside of 144. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
benjammin Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 2:46 AM, poolz1 said: It used to break my heart when he would say “no sign of breaking out the golden snow shovel.” Lol No doubt...the original dr nope. Expand But for January 1996 at the 11pm news his forecast map was 1-2 feet area wide. I knew then it must be the real deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 3:21 AM, losetoa6 said: Icon is a decent hit Monday . Howard county lollie Expand 5 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Icon! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 3:21 AM, losetoa6 said: Howard county lollie bullseye Expand Yes, talk dirty to me 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 3:21 AM, losetoa6 said: Icon is a decent hit Monday . Howard county lollie bullseye Expand Ummmmm what!? HoCo is here and listening. Hahaha. Tell me more! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 2:11 AM, Ji said: the models 48 hours before the storm will have 2 feet in Richmond and 4-8 in DC and 1 inch in philly to too right? Expand in a Miller B? dude come on stop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 It is so freaking close here to it being a bigger deal. 2M in the mid 30s along the 81 corridor. I’m hoping rates can possibly turn it over to a wet a** snow. Looks great for the DC crew and that’s with it having a known warm bias. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 11, 2020 Author Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 3:24 AM, WxUSAF said: Yes, talk dirty to me Expand On 12/11/2020 at 3:24 AM, Scraff said: Ummmmm what!? HoCo is here and listening. Hahaha. Tell me more! Expand I hate waiting on TT for their "behind" snow maps lol... like everything else is at 108 and snow maps is 72 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 2:24 AM, JakkelWx said: Sheesh... does the ENS control even have any support from the mean? Hell of a way to run a strong NAO block with 50/50 confluence and a high over SE canada. Expand no one with a brain should ever look at the EPS or GEFS control runs the only met I know that does that is a ****ing idiot Henry M 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 3:27 AM, Buddy1987 said: It is so freaking close here to it being a bigger deal. 2M in the mid 30s along the 81 corridor. I’m hoping rates can possibly turn it over to a wet a** snow. Looks great for the DC crew and that’s with it having a known warm bias. Expand counting on the ICON for snowstorm is a LOSE situation 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 3:28 AM, DTWXRISK said: no one with a brain should ever look at the EPS or GEFS control runs the only met I know that does that is a ****ing idiot Henry M Expand You know you have a “Big Daddy” hat somewhere deep in your closet. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 3:29 AM, DTWXRISK said: counting on the ICON for snowstorm is a LOSE situation Expand I agree but it’s all we got right now lollll. I do think H5 wise though it’s similar to GFS and to Euro but I know your feelings about GFS end of the day haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 3:28 AM, DTWXRISK said: no one with a brain should ever look at the EPS or GEFS control runs the only met I know that does that is a ****ing idiot Henry M Expand Good thing it's Thursday. I can't seem to find my brain on any other day of the week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 3:21 AM, losetoa6 said: Icon is a decent hit Monday . Howard county lollie bullseye 5.5 inches Expand A bit of atmospheric memory on this one? Lol (thinking about how the southern regions got more rain lollies the last couple of months). Of course this snow greedy Baltimorian wants things to inch just a little further north! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 3:34 AM, WxWatcher007 said: Haha. What a fun track. I ended up with 22” in DC. Expand Not to mention the easiest tracking ever...rock-steady agreement for like 7-8 days. Like...when does that ever happen? Lol It was like...okay, it's gonna snow, it's gonna snow big...get your shovels out--no doubts with that one! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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