WxUSAF Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 1:10 AM, LP08 said: I’d say these are good locations per the 18z EPS for Wed/Thursday Expand Meh. Looks worse than 12z as far as scatter, low track, and OH valley primary. Not bad, but 12z was gorgeous. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 1:09 AM, DTWXRISK said: yes ... CANT wait to move there in March Expand Nothing like improving your snow odds. RIC to CHO..very nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 WB 18z EPS mean at 6 days a little higher than 12z....still in the game for midweek storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 I DONT KNOW IF OTHERS POSTED THESE OR NOT screaming ice storm VA Piedmont to snow... BIG hit for sw va All of the Shend valley central / western MD 5 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 1:10 AM, DTWXRISK said: dec 14 look at the data Expand I did. Above 3,000 feet in West Virginia looks pretty good for wet snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 1:09 AM, DTWXRISK said: yes ... CANT wait to move there in March Expand Great city not just for snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 1:20 AM, psuhoffman said: Great city not just for snow Expand Better than Richmond I’d guess 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 1:24 AM, losetoa6 said: FWIW ...some Eps members bring frozen in late Tuesday night for system #2 . Inside 132 hours Expand 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 1:18 AM, Snowchaser said: I did. Above 3,000 feet in West Virginia looks pretty good for wet snow. Expand snowchaser In my earlier reply I got the 2 event dates DEC 14 confused you may be confused by what I ma saying here My comments about rain in VA in western VA are for the dec 14 event ONLY if you saw MY recent previous post I am BULLISH have been for more than 36 hrs about all of western VA for WED DEC16 SURFACE TEMPS WED DEC 14 AM 925MB temps well above zero..... if YOU think you are going to get snow in westrn VA with temps 39-43 degrees and 925 mb temps above 0z ... that not gonna happen 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 1:26 AM, DTWXRISK said: no you did not... AND the issue is NOT 3000 feet SURFACE TEMPS WED DEC 14 AM 925MB temps well above zero..... if YOU think you are going to get snow in westrn VA with temps 39-43 degrees and 925 mb temps above 0z ... then you need to slow down and re think this because clearly you did NOT look at ALL the data Expand I think the confusion is that Wednesday is 12/16, not 12/14. People may think you were referring to Weds event and not Monday’s because you said Weds 12/14. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Dat large font 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 why are we yelling 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 1:31 AM, mappy said: why are we yelling Expand THERE IS A DIFFERENCE OF OPINION OVER THE POSSIBLE STATE OF WATER FALLING FROM THE SKY NEXT WEEK. 2 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 1:31 AM, mappy said: why are we yelling Expand Snow is srs bizness Hi, you must be new here. Welcome to the mid Atlantic! 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 1:31 AM, jaydreb said: I think the confusion is that Wednesday is 12/16, not 12/14. People may think you were referring to Weds event and not Monday’s because you said Weds 12/14. Expand Yes, thanks. Slight confusion over which event. We should try to be more clear when we are discussing. If Monday’s event trends colder, we can open a thread this weekend, and wait until early week for the late week threat. But for now try and be more clear Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 1:34 AM, WxUSAF said: Snow is srs bizness Hi, you must be new here. Welcome to the mid Atlantic! Expand I hate you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 1:31 AM, jaydreb said: I think the confusion is that Wednesday is 12/16, not 12/14. People may think you were referring to Weds event and not Monday’s because you said Weds 12/14. Expand well i edited it a while ago but maybe you are right 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 1:31 AM, mappy said: why are we yelling Expand DT is a celebrity MET that basically founded weather boards. He pretty much will be able to get anyway with anything. Im kinda of okay with it lol 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 1:37 AM, Ji said: DT is a celebrity MET that basically founded weather boards. He pretty much will be able to get anyway with anything. Im kinda of okay with it lol Expand I’m finding patience. But I can still make a joke. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 12:23 AM, JakkelWx said: Not sure if Feb 2010 was also a hybrid. There were two lows, one off the OBX and another near West Virginia but I still don't think it fits. I'm guessing just because there are two lows doesn't make a hybrid Expand Yea I would agree I think the primary will end up more west northwest of this particular setup but I also don’t think it drives as far north into the HP. We’ve all been around the block wrt that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 1:42 AM, Buddy1987 said: Yea I would agree I think the primary will end up more west northwest of this particular setup but I also don’t think it drives as far north into the HP. We’ve all been around the block wrt that. Expand Fun fact with this event...the Ohio primary ended up stronger than progged, BUT the transfer to the coastal was pretty quick. A rare instance where up north into the PA mason/dixon counties boomed and DC didn't switch to rain. This was a rare wind for eveyone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 @psuhoffmantimeframe for the archambault event when the blocking breaks down? Jan 3 Blizzard? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 1:10 AM, DTWXRISK said: dec 14 look at the data Expand I actually feel relatively positive about Monday around ROA. I don’t really consider myself the mountains however like some do. Going to be close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 1:26 AM, DTWXRISK said: snowchaser In my earlier reply I got the 2 event dates DEC 14 confused you may be confused by what I ma saying here My comments about rain in VA in western VA are for the dec 14 event ONLY if you saw MY recent previous post I am BULLISH have been for more than 36 hrs about all of western VA for WED DEC16 SURFACE TEMPS WED DEC 14 AM 925MB temps well above zero..... if YOU think you are going to get snow in westrn VA with temps 39-43 degrees and 925 mb temps above 0z ... that not gonna happen Expand I agree. It will be hard for snow in Virginia on Monday. But West Virginia near Snowshoe could see a nice snow event 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 1:44 AM, Eskimo Joe said: Fun fact with this event...the Ohio primary ended up stronger than progged, BUT the transfer to the coastal was pretty quick. A rare instance where up north into the PA mason/dixon counties boomed and DC didn't switch to rain. This was a rare wind for eveyone. Expand I know the general rule of thumb with cold dense air HP helping out naturally in a lot of situations, especially one anchored around St Lawrence Valley. Will 1036 be strong enough to combat the primary low pressure? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteveRDU Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 1:37 AM, Ji said: DT is a celebrity MET that basically founded weather boards. He pretty much will be able to get anyway with anything. Im kinda of okay with it lol Expand That’s what happens when you’re the captain of catastrophe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 WB EPS 3 inches or more for Midweek. Increase from 12Z. Control also increased. GN. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 1:44 AM, Ji said: @psuhoffmantimeframe for the archambault event when the blocking breaks down? Jan 3 Blizzard? Expand Jan 7. Should start in northern VA with pixie dust around 10PM temp near 18*. About a foot by morning. Some dry slotting during the day before a killer deform finish the next night. About 24” at Dulles. ~30 by you. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 2:09 AM, psuhoffman said: Jan 7. Should start in northern VA with pixie dust around 10PM temp near 18*. About a foot by morning. Some dry slotting during the day before a killer deform finish the next night. About 24” at Dulles. ~30 by you. Expand the models 48 hours before the storm will have 2 feet in Richmond and 4-8 in DC and 1 inch in philly to too right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 If this data continues, I’m going to head out to Snowshoe, WV Sunday night and stay there until Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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