JakkelWx Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Here's our gift for missing out on the past couple years. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 On 12/10/2020 at 7:18 PM, JakkelWx said: Here's our gift for missing out on the past couple years. Expand Build the h5 pattern and the snow maps will come 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 ^keanuwhoa.gif Based on the maps I’ve seen, Eps looks really really nice. Cold and with a more southern transfer to the coast than the Op. Getting tingly. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DownpourDave Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 On 12/10/2020 at 7:18 PM, JakkelWx said: Here's our gift for missing out on the past couple years. Expand wow with a mean like that there must be some big hits for DC. How do the individuals look. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Where’s weather will with the 3” probability map? 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 On 12/10/2020 at 7:25 PM, SnowLover22 said: wow with a mean like that there must be some big hits for DC. How do the individuals look. Expand Here they are. A couple that jackpot SE of DC, surprisingly, which inspires some confidence 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 WB 12Z EPS 3 inches or more Day 7. 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Stronger high and better placement + earlier transfer.....a trend toward a classic look today. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 On 12/10/2020 at 7:32 PM, losetoa6 said: Clustering Expand Beautiful!! Only one left in Ohio. Strong storms off hatteras. Giggity giggity. 11 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Got stuck in a meeting so couldn't watch the Euro as it came out. But there is excellent agreement btmetween the Euro and Gfs at this point that Shenandoah Valley is gonna get clocked next week. God this is so much more fun than last years debacle. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 On 12/10/2020 at 7:34 PM, WxUSAF said: Beautiful!! Only one left in Ohio. Strong storms off hatteras. Giggity giggity. Expand For 120+ HR out, that's a strong signal. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Hope this pans out down here. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 I’m feeling solid about this storm upcoming in Cville. I think we all have a great chance of seeing 3”+ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Yeah, when the Euro, GFS and ensembles all agree on something at range, plus it fits the overall pattern, that is a pretty typical signal for our bigger storms. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 On 12/10/2020 at 7:47 PM, jaydreb said: Yeah, when the Euro, GFS and ensembles all agree on something at range, plus it fits the overall pattern, that is a pretty typical signal for our bigger storms. Expand Yup. Just remember the calendar and adjust accordingly. But a really nice 12z suite. 6 days to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Water temperatures. They are still in the upper 40s/low 50s off the Mid-Atlantic coast. This could be a potential problem with mixing towards the coast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 On 12/10/2020 at 7:49 PM, WxUSAF said: Yup. Just remember the calendar and adjust accordingly. But a really nice 12z suite. 6 days to go. Expand 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 WPC hazard plot highlights the area for “Heavy Precipitation” on the 16/17th. Heavy rain southeast of DC/Baltimore, heavy snow for PA mountains up into western and northern New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 On 12/10/2020 at 8:41 PM, WxUSAF said: WPC hazard plot highlights the area for “Heavy Precipitation” on the 16/17th. Heavy rain southeast of DC/Baltimore, heavy snow for PA mountains up into western and northern New England. Expand How’s Carbondale looking? NE Md pummeled? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Stepped away for a while... Upon returning 4 hours later the message ticker said "125+ messages" Brings a smile and that special feeling we all get when "it's on!" 9 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 On 12/10/2020 at 7:38 PM, PhineasC said: Hope this pans out down here. Expand LOL exactly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 On 12/10/2020 at 8:41 PM, WxUSAF said: WPC hazard plot highlights the area for “Heavy Precipitation” on the 16/17th. Heavy rain southeast of DC/Baltimore, heavy snow for PA mountains up into western and northern New England. Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Also: ICON has really shifted back towards having a storm on Monday. We need some cold, but that storm has really trended back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 This is a pretty nice CAD signature out of the Euro for mid December. Have to use 850 because I dont have access to the surface. But it still looks nice. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Mount Holly mentions the potential in their AFD.. On Tuesday into Wednesday, an area of low pressure is forecast to move up the southeast coast into the Mid Atlantic region. The current track from the model guidance keeps the low right along the coast. This would bring precipitation to the entire forecast area starting Wednesday morning, and continuing into Wednesday night. As of now, it looks like this would be a rain/snow event. As always, the track will determine the p-types. But it looks like much of the area could see some snow at some point during the evening, with an accumulating snow possible for some areas. We`re still a week away, so we`ll have several changes before then, but definitely worth watching. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 On 12/10/2020 at 9:39 PM, losetoa6 said: Yep... to me it looks like some possible snow n+w verbatim especially with that track . Its close and icon thermals don't seem to be the best normally. Expand Gfs and euro both have 850 cold enough but below that is pretty torched. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 On 12/10/2020 at 9:43 PM, losetoa6 said: Yes . Definitely thread the needle. We can do 34-36 with mod rates . Expand Euro and icon were similar at 12z. Will be interesting to see how 18z follows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 On 12/10/2020 at 9:48 PM, losetoa6 said: The few Eps members that gave areas snow had a similar track and actually a bit stronger slp. Fwiw Expand That makes sense. Were they also a little slower? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DownpourDave Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 HH going to deliver or too early to say. I am liking the look at the blocking so far in the NAO/AO Domain. Do not know the downstream implications but less PNA ridging so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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