DTWXRISK Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 1 hour ago, Ji said: im about all out of patience ON DECEMBER 2? LOL some things never change 6 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 this event is classic event / noreaster that proves the old adage about the difficulty of seeing a SECS in early DEC 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 Gfs had a better week than the euro. Euro has been trending towards a more Gfs like solution this weekend and Eps caved to the Eastern ridge day 9/10 that the gefs picked up on 36 hours ago. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 33 minutes ago, DTWXRISK said: this event is classic event / noreaster that proves the old adage about the difficulty of seeing a SECS in early DEC It takes a nearly perfect set-up, plus the usual luck, to overcome climo and get a significant snow event in the lowlands of the MA before mid December. It happens, but not often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 Thanks DT, people will post in it if they want, don’t need an announcement for it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 49 minutes ago, DTWXRISK said: Personally, I don't think the AO or NAO will drop low enough for our latitude to benefit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 We were never in the game for snow this weekend, but wow NE PA and interior NE really got shafted. Nothing here for the next seven days, but chilly... WB GEFS thru day 7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 That's because I was gonna chase. I am a snow shield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 Just to be clear....are we now saying the GFS is the new king? Asking for a friend.....he’s from Europe so be easy on him. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 3 hours ago, DTWXRISK said: ON DECEMBER 2? LOL some things never change This year...it's actually good to know there are some things that are consistent and expected (even the content of Ji's posts)!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 2 hours ago, psuhoffman said: Gfs had a better week than the euro. Euro has been trending towards a more Gfs like solution this weekend and Eps caved to the Eastern ridge day 9/10 that the gefs picked up on 36 hours ago. Shades of last 2 winters where the GEFS led the way with the EPS often dangling unicorns then slowly caving. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 6 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Shades of last 2 winters where the GEFS led the way with the EPS often dangling unicorns then slowly caving. Yep I really don’t take any value in Long range euro runs anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 18Z WB EURO, under 3 days and wildly different each run.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 3 minutes ago, Weather Will said: 18Z WB EURO, under 3 days and wildly different each run.... I thought the euro always made subtle, graceful changes run to run 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Now that would be chaseable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 What a gradient in upstate NY. You can almost walk from 2 inches to 2ft. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 6z GFS has our snowstorm for the 13th with a trailing wave developing along the cold front. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 40 minutes ago, CAPE said: 6z GFS has our snowstorm for the 13th with a trailing wave developing along the cold front. WB 6Z GEFS P3 would work... 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 1 hour ago, CAPE said: 6z GFS has our snowstorm for the 13th with a trailing wave developing along the cold front. That would be a nice event for the area. Does the depicted look at H5, support this storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 16 minutes ago, Wonderdog said: That would be a nice event for the area. Does the depicted look at H5, support this storm? Plenty of shortwave energy in the northern and southern branch for that period with a western ridge and colder air digging south. No way to know how the the interactions will unfold at this range. There will be the usual extreme run to run variation on the ops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 2 hours ago, Weather Will said: WB 6Z GEFS P3 would work... Fringed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 I look forward to the next potential snow threat for the area. Been itching to talk more synoptic and winter fun. Cold and dry down here right now is no fun. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 28 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said: Another thing to watch wrt that feature...if it can really bomb out into the 50/50 area it would improve our chances with the Dec 12-15 period. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 11 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Another thing to watch wrt that feature...if it can really bomb out into the 50/50 area it would improve our chances with the Dec 12-15 period. I was just coming to post this. It's not much but having that feature stronger has already improved heights somewhat across the conus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 1 hour ago, midatlanticweather said: GFS has a closed H5 low track along the MD line and we don't get a flake. Officially an unworkable setup for us. I'd be mildly intrigued for NC and SE VA though where most of his audience is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 6 minutes ago, Amped said: GFS has a closed H5 low track along the MD line and we don't get a flake. Officially an unworkable setup for us. I'd be mildly intrigued for NC and SE VA though where most of his audience is. no matter what the models always seem to show...we never see a flake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Monday seems to be trending in the right direction???? I won’t stop watching it yet...although GEFS shows trough way too progressive. At least it is not a torch pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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