Eskimo Joe Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 Just now, Kmlwx said: If only that was inches. Dec '89 was great, then the rest of the winter went sucko. But compared to last year we'll take anything at this point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 32 minutes ago, Ji said: first it was Dec 1 to watch...then it was dec 5....then it was dec 10 Weenie Rule #12: The big ones are sniffed out early. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 14 minutes ago, jaydreb said: Weenie Rule #12: The big ones are sniffed out early. Yeah, but only when the Euro and GFS are on board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 1 hour ago, WinterWxLuvr said: This is already better than last year when seemingly nothing ever showed on models. We’ve had three late November’s in a row where models looked good for early December. 2018 produced the huge SE storm that hit the wall at EZF. 2019 the rug got pulled out and it went to crap. We’ll see what happens this year. Like I said yesterday, I think we’ll have chances through mid December at least. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 12Z GEFS not honking about any snow storms...let’s see if the EURO/EPS throws us any bones... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 euro looks intersesting without seeing a surface map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 congrats interior northeast:( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 2 minutes ago, Ji said: congrats interior northeast:( Even a perfect track (this isn't) would most likely be rain except for the far western areas. There just is no cold air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 too late for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 well it looks like we are going to be 0-2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 Just now, Ji said: well it looks like we are going to be 0-2 I thought we were kicking the 12/5 can down the street anyway... we're out on that one. Like Charlie Brown to the football, let's look at the 14th! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 6 minutes ago, Quasievil said: I thought we were kicking the 12/5 can down the street anyway... we're out on that one. Like Charlie Brown to the football, let's look at the 14th! the models have had this 12/5 storm everywhere. From the Midwest to off the SC Coast...to nothing at all....to up the I95 corridor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 1 minute ago, Ji said: the models have had this 12/5 storm everywhere. From the Midwest to off the SC Coast...to nothing at all....to up the I95 corridor Cover all bases and get plus score come verification time Model 101 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 the 50/50 high pretty much killed our chance? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 11 minutes ago, Ji said: the 50/50 high pretty much killed our chance? The 50/50 high is forcing the low to the north, resulting in all rain or mostly rain at the coast. Only the interior and highlands get decent snowfall totals. Change that to a 50/50 low and it has nowhere to go but out to sea, which is a colder solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 We need that guy that posted the snowfall depth % maps every day last winter to return....STAT! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 14 minutes ago, JakkelWx said: The 50/50 high is forcing the low to the north, resulting in all rain or mostly rain at the coast. Only the interior and highlands get decent snowfall totals. Change that to a 50/50 low and it has nowhere to go but out to sea, which is a colder solution. And then it’s congrats Richmond LOL. Let’s do a middle of the road. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 if we do 25/25 it can be a low or a high 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 16 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Eps low clustering for Saturday. Big change from 0z . Actually some hits of the white stuff for n+w areas in the mix now . About 10% of the Members show tv snow for far NW burbs on Saturday. Not worth posting the probability maps yet. I am being more picky this year....:) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 15 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Hard not to like the recent runs of the Eps moving into mid December . Today's run keeps a nice 50/50 through day 12 . An all around good look . Haven’t seen it yet, but HM is happy about it on Twitter so I’ll take that. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 - EPO / perturb the PV / NEW EPS = Yeah baby ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 30 minutes ago, frd said: - EPO / perturb the PV / NEW EPS = Yeah baby ! Maybe I can get a response from you but if this comes to fruition. Would this mute the La Nina base state from coming back?. Also mute MJO from going into phases 4-6. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 51 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Haven’t seen it yet, but HM is happy about it on Twitter so I’ll take that. As long as you mean Ant and not the accuweather HM 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: As long as you mean Ant and not the accuweather HM Yup. @ORH_wxman says it looks good as well in the NE sub forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 6 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Yup. @ORH_wxman says it looks good as well in the NE sub forum. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 Pretty remarkable to see this forecast, of course have to see it become reality for weather outcomes, however, the trends grow stronger for a weakening vortex and a eventual improving NAM state. Increasing odds of blocking as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 Just now, LP08 said: Adding the NHEM look. To me it’s -EPO, neutralish AO and -Nao...let’s hope 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 Just now, LP08 said: Adding the NHEM look. To me it’s -EPO, neutralish AO and -Nao...let’s hope Cross-polar flow in the long range ! Awesome look ! Natural gas futures in play. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 30 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Yup. @ORH_wxman says it looks good as well in the NE sub forum. Don’t have a lot of time today but it’s a very good look pretty much the whole run. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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