TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 We’ll see what it looks like Monday... but may take Thursday Friday off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 10, 2020 Author Share Posted December 10, 2020 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Cold storm with a hell of a coastal front to start before it moves SE. Not sure you could complain about that run. This is a CJ candidate.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Euro doesn't know which low to focus on 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Yeah, I would sell a cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: This is a CJ candidate.... Starts off too far north. CJs are when coastal fronts are stalled. That isn't the case here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 10, 2020 Author Share Posted December 10, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: Starts off too far north. CJs are when coastal fronts are stalled. That isn't the case here. No, I mean some ocean assist due to cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 This run at the surface it was moving right along. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 4 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Snow maps only have a chance of verifying in snowy climates like New England. Any map that shows snow over Richmond is going to be overdone 99.9% of the time. In fact 2 years TODAY in RIC had 12-16" of snow NWS went 1-3 " what is worse is that ALL of the model data with 72 hrs EXCEPT for the GFS has HUGE snow amount there so its the mentality that thinks well that never happens there which is the problem hence the reason why NWS and all 3 TV stations spent the next 4 days issuing apologizes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Heh ... at least it keeps the wave open at D7 passing the the wind max thru the upper MA and S of NE ... That's a reasonable good fit - problem is...getting to that point first. That D4 --> 5 ...well, assessing what's coming off the Pacific ...let's get that ironed out first. I mean this thing comes from well west of California to S of NS and the wind max's trajectory doesn't really vary in the N-S plain by more than 1K naut miles... pretty cool actually - like a rifle wave ... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Euro doesn't know which low to focus on Nothing to worry about at D7. Just glad we have some positives working in our favor. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 11 minutes ago, MaineJayhawk said: I'd like to see some WxBell and Weathermodels maps plz Especially the snowfall maps!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: This type of evolution is a great example how the Atlantic being favorable prevents a cutter or inland runner. +2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 That thing would put feet of snow in the Poconos and Catskills. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 8 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: I know you and Dave have a love-fest but lay off the insults. lol. Seriously? The dude gets nasty with people. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 taken verbatim the surface and BL temps on the 12z Thursday Euro for eastern NJ NYC coastal CT are marginal... like I hinted at before... the ecmwf of course could be too warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 10, 2020 Author Share Posted December 10, 2020 2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Helluva high when even the narcan can't bring you down. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 10, 2020 Author Share Posted December 10, 2020 Good agreement. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 24 more euro runs to go... 3 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Good agreement. its a good sign when even the most modest Euro wx is 12+ statewide. EPS will most likely be much improved from 00Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Good agreement. Keep the D7 jacks coming here. It’s the only jacks I’ll ever have. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Wave 1 is more north on the eps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: As much as I Want those snow maps to be right for NYC ne NJ coastal CT .. the surface temps are NOT great 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: 24 more euro runs to go... 12...if this was the old days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 10, 2020 Author Share Posted December 10, 2020 Just now, DTWXRISK said: As much as I Want those snow maps to be right for NYC ne NJ coastal CT .. the surface temps are NOT great Its going to be a call that will need to be made by staring at the sounding the night before.....like our last event in interior eastern MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 10, 2020 Author Share Posted December 10, 2020 Just now, DTWXRISK said: That is one hell of a CF right near me YUM YUM 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 3 minutes ago, DTWXRISK said: As much as I Want those snow maps to be right for NYC ne NJ coastal CT .. the surface temps are NOT great correct me if wrong, but looks like there is some disagreement along the coastal plain of SNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Its going to be a call that will need to be made by staring at the sounding the night before.....like our last event in interior eastern MA. mid-levels are way colder...so the only thing looking at soundings will matter for is whether the ratios are like 10 to 1 or 18 to 1....like a normal snowstorm. Tha is assuming of course that something like the Euro/GFS are semi-close to reality. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 10, 2020 Author Share Posted December 10, 2020 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: mid-levels are way colder...so the only thing looking at soundings will matter for is whether the ratios are like 10 to 1 or 18 to 1....like a normal snowstorm. Tha is assuming of course that something like the Euro/GFS are semi-close to reality. I mean down there, not here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 EPS mean looks near the BM, maybe a hair outside the BM. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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