40/70 Benchmark Posted December 9, 2020 Author Share Posted December 9, 2020 16 minutes ago, rimetree said: Looks cold enough to retain some of my meager pack this weekend despite the rain and wait for some chances next week. Better than what had been advertised a few days ago. 9 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Yes..things change over a few days time. In this case it looks to be for the better, if you like a more wintry appeal. This why I advise folks who are very invested to go into each season with a conceptualization of how you anticipate the season to evolve; obviously this will not always be correct, but it helps to ground expectations and guard against the fostering of short shortsightedness by unstable guidance. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoeSnowBOS Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 Anyone have EURO snow maps for mid next week even though it will change every run - just curious to see “potential” 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 9, 2020 Author Share Posted December 9, 2020 Frankly, at this moment, my primary concern is for a colder and snowier second half than I had envisioned. I am not that concerned about the call for an active December with seasonal to slightly above avg temps. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 A good read Verifying and Reflecting On the Forecast for 12-5-20 | Forecasterjack 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 9, 2020 Author Share Posted December 9, 2020 40 minutes ago, JoeSnowBOS said: Anyone have EURO snow maps for mid next week even though it will change every run - just curious to see “potential” There doesn't seem to be a great deal of mass flux, which is to stay that the pattern looks to be relatively stagnant with not a great deal of shifting of air masses and pressure patterns in the longer range. This implies that one should expect storms of moderate intensity for the most part...I think the path way to a larger ticket QPF event would be more of the overrunning variety, as the potential for any bombogenesis, or anything of that nature is below climo IMHO...at least at this latitude. I think for the huge overrunning, you would want some true arctic air, and looks to me to be more seasonal cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 35 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Frankly, at this moment, my primary concern is for a colder and snowier second half than I had envisioned. I am not that concerned about the call for an active December with seasonal to slightly above avg temps. Second half of winter, or second half of December Ray? I read that as second half of winter, but maybe I misunderstood your point? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 9, 2020 Author Share Posted December 9, 2020 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: Second half of winter, or second half of December Ray? I read that as second half of winter, but maybe I misunderstood your point? Correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 3 hours ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Wut time WCVB though 10PM-1AM. Who knows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 3 hours ago, ineedsnow said: Saw it once in southern Quebec didnt even know we had a chance that night.. it was one of the coolest things I've ever seen.. I saw it in Lowell MA of all places once. Late 1980s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 Nice passing snow shower here. Festive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 2003 I saw it. Was epic. Stopped traffic lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 Dusting in downtown Greenfield with flurries continuing. Ain’t much but it’s winter at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 9, 2020 Author Share Posted December 9, 2020 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Dusting in downtown Greenfield with flurries continuing. Ain’t much but it’s winter at least You beat Saturday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 Maybe one of the final snowfalls of the year. Enjoy 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 15 years ago today baby. When storms were storms. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: 15 years ago today baby. When storms were storms. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: I like the 12/17 look the most (I've actually liked this period for days now...I think I was posting about 12/16-12/19 a few times)....EPS were pretty bullish on that one last night. But yeah, can't rule out the follow up wave on 12/15 yet. Yeah.....this is the next "obvious" threat that bears watching. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 23 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 2003 I saw it. Was epic. Stopped traffic lol. 2003 was epic. Coronas directly overhead up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 15 years ago today, working in Norwood but left around 11:30/12 to some rain/snow mix and arrived back to the south coast with temps in the 50's and a rainbow in the distance. I guess I left just in time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 Have seen it in N. Maine many times over the years. Although haven’t seen it in about 6 or 7 yrs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 25 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: You beat Saturday. Truth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 You go to the Cape and walk into a pub mentioning December 9 2005 and it's like that scene on Pee Wees Big Adventure when he walks into the bar and says "Large Marge sent me." People turn around and stare at you, spit out food, drop forks onto ground from shock etc. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 3 hours ago, MJO812 said: I want a Dec 26 2010 redux Me too! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 9, 2020 Author Share Posted December 9, 2020 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: I like the 12/17 look the most (I've actually liked this period for days now...I think I was posting about 12/16-12/19 a few times)....EPS were pretty bullish on that one last night. But yeah, can't rule out the follow up wave on 12/15 yet. 12/17 looks as though it may attenuate somewhat on approach, but too early to worry about that....OP looks pure s stream, ENS more of a hybrid born of some split flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 We'll probably be wedged with the most horrific temps and rain this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 Saw aurora in Quetico on a canoe trip summer of 1998. Spectacular every night. Maybe head north presuming clear skies getting as far away from light pollution as possible? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 Nice mesolow showing up this weekend....if we had cold air at the sfc more established beforehand, that would be a very bullish icing signal even into BOS for a time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 Meanwhile probably heading back to Chicago within the next week. I kind of like their snow chances better 12/18-1/10. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 9, 2020 Author Share Posted December 9, 2020 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Nice mesolow showing up this weekend....if we had cold air at the sfc more established beforehand, that would be a very bullish icing signal even into BOS for a time. Yea, blogging right now and harping on antecedent airmass..AGAIN. Should be last time for a while. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, blogging right now and harping on antecedent airmass..AGAIN. Should be last time for a while. Still need to keep half an eye on it...if this whole thing presses more on Saturday leading into it, then there could be some legit icing concerns. I'm leaning against it for now, but we've seen it happen before. Esp for further inland, like ORH county into S NH. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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