CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2020 Share Posted November 25, 2020 Nothing changed overnight. The weenies have visions of KUs dancing in their heads, but that looks to wait. I suppose you can't rule something out towards Dec 5th....but I'd bet against it. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 25, 2020 Share Posted November 25, 2020 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Nothing changed overnight. The weenies have visions of KUs dancing in their heads, but that looks to wait. I suppose you can't rule something out towards Dec 5th....but I'd bet against it. Blame Tip...he was the one that said 0z changed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2020 Share Posted November 25, 2020 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Blame Tip...he was the one that said 0z changed. I just mean the overall pattern evolvement. The daily details are meaningless this far out. I feel like any chance of a second wave after the cutter early next week is a Hail Mary. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2020 Share Posted November 25, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: I just mean the overall pattern evolvement. The daily details are meaningless this far out. I feel like any chance of a second wave after the cutter early next week is a Hail Mary. Yeah not buying it right now. We need to get closer to the first event anyway and figure out how amped or not it ends up because that would impact any potential second wave developing along the stalled boundary. Despite the mega amped OP runs, still a good amount of spread in the ensembles for 12/1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 25, 2020 Share Posted November 25, 2020 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I just mean the overall pattern evolvement. The daily details are meaningless this far out. I feel like any chance of a second wave after the cutter early next week is a Hail Mary. I know/get it. At least it looks to be much better/an improvement overall after the first few days or week of December. That’s the encouraging part. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 25, 2020 Share Posted November 25, 2020 December looks good especially by mid month. That’s not really debatable from this lead time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted November 25, 2020 Share Posted November 25, 2020 At least the pattern is active. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2020 Share Posted November 25, 2020 1 hour ago, weathafella said: December looks good especially by mid month. That’s not really debatable from this lead time. Hopefully it sticks...pre-Christmas pattern of 1995 and 1975 are showing up in the objective analogs now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2020 Share Posted November 25, 2020 Schwoegler backlash storm prior to Christmas? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted November 25, 2020 Share Posted November 25, 2020 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Schwoegler backlash storm prior to Christmas? 92 redux? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2020 Share Posted November 25, 2020 Just now, DavisStraight said: 92 redux? I may delete my account. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted November 25, 2020 Share Posted November 25, 2020 Would welcome a December '75 redux for this area. Almost 2F below normal and 27.5 inches of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2020 Share Posted November 25, 2020 We certainly would welcome it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 25, 2020 Author Share Posted November 25, 2020 55 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Hopefully it sticks...pre-Christmas pattern of 1995 and 1975 are showing up in the objective analogs now. Dec 1995 is probably the best pre holiday stretch....2007 and 2008 had more snow, but each had grinches. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 25, 2020 Share Posted November 25, 2020 1 hour ago, DavisStraight said: 92 redux? Also had a massive high end wind event screamer that November like the one coming Monday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted November 25, 2020 Share Posted November 25, 2020 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Dec 1995 is probably the best pre holiday stretch....2007 and 2008 had more snow, but each had grinches. Dec 95 wasn't as nearly as good as the other 3. Only got 13.3" locally which is only slightly above our monthly avg. Whereas we got >25" in Dec 1975, 2007 and 2008. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2020 Share Posted November 25, 2020 Looks like a nor'easter on GFS now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted November 25, 2020 Share Posted November 25, 2020 24 minutes ago, Snowstorms said: Dec 95 wasn't as nearly as good as the other 3. Only got 13.3" locally which is only slightly above our monthly avg. Whereas we got >25" in Dec 1975, 2007 and 2008. 2007 was great here until the Christmas Eve grinch melted it to bare ground by Christmas morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 25, 2020 Share Posted November 25, 2020 3 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Nothing changed overnight. The weenies have visions of KUs dancing in their heads, but that looks to wait. I suppose you can't rule something out towards Dec 5th....but I'd bet against it. I have mentioned it a few times in the past, But around the 12/5 date, It has had some decent storms over the years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2020 Share Posted November 25, 2020 Epstein dream come true on guidance next week. I wonder if Bob will get any sleep from all the hydrological excitement. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 25, 2020 Share Posted November 25, 2020 Pouring here-dark and dank-November as it should be. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 25, 2020 Share Posted November 25, 2020 Move that system around 12/1-12/2 another 200 miles to the east and we may have something, Some of the other OP models already show this. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted November 25, 2020 Share Posted November 25, 2020 Yeah, just when you need Tip's Hadley cell compressed, isohypnotic fast flow, etc. it's nowhere to be seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 25, 2020 Author Share Posted November 25, 2020 5 minutes ago, rimetree said: Yeah, just when you need Tip's Hadley cell compressed, isohypnotic fast flow, etc. it's nowhere to be seen. I still think you will see it....not that it will mean snow for us, but.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2020 Share Posted November 25, 2020 I'm done with fast flow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 25, 2020 Author Share Posted November 25, 2020 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I'm done with fast flow. But the question is whether it is done with you lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2020 Share Posted November 25, 2020 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: But the question is whether it is done with you lol It will be back. But I'll enjoy a slow moving QPF bomb in the meantime. Back to the days of yore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 25, 2020 Author Share Posted November 25, 2020 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: It will be back. But I'll enjoy a slow moving QPF bomb in the meantime. Back to the days of yore. I still think it will trend more progressive, but the idea of a a big rain event is gaining steam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted November 25, 2020 Share Posted November 25, 2020 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Schwoegler backlash storm prior to Christmas? I wish he was still on the air...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted November 25, 2020 Share Posted November 25, 2020 Canadian with a cool 4-6" of liquid with the 12/1 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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