JC-CT Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 I'd give it 35% that something decent breaks in the next 3 weeks? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 4 minutes ago, JC-CT said: I say that being a child of the 80s and I have no idea if CT ever had full season packs in the 70s. We DIDNT. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 6 minutes ago, JC-CT said: I say that being a child of the 80s and I have no idea if CT ever had full season packs in the 70s. They didn’t. Unless maybe you live in Norfolk. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 2 minutes ago, JC-CT said: I'd give it 35% that something decent breaks in the next 3 weeks? So you’re saying there’s a chance....? Personally imo, I’d give it a lil more chance than 35%. I’d say 50% especially as climo just keeps getting more and more favorable for SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 Just now, ORH_wxman said: They didn’t. Unless maybe you live in Norfolk. And they didn’t either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 Just now, WinterWolf said: So you’re saying there’s a chance....? Personally imo, I’d give it a lil more chance than 35%. I’d say 50% especially as climo just keeps getting more and more favorable for SNE. Yeah there's definitely a chance. Basically what Ray said. But there's also a chance of something a little better than snow to rain if the s/ws break right. Think of if yesterday's system cut over Albany, what we would be looking at in a few days. I think there's a shot at that. I could care less about a quick inch or two that is gone by the time the storm's over, but I know for some every inch counts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 12 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Which state did you grow up in? NJ until age 7, then CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 13 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Which state did you grow up in? Not state, province. Apparently he grew up in Labrador or the north of the St. Lawrence in Quebec 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 If you want to hone in on a narrower range, I feel like the best period for us is probably like 12/16-12/19. That’s when there’s some cold established nearby (or hopefully over us) and could work with an imperfect synoptic setup. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 18 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: No complaints, a good to excellent pattern going forward. Hopefully a few days near 60 to help boost morale Different winter but more of the same BS...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 PIG setting up shop for the rest of the winter 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 27 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: If you want to hone in on a narrower range, I feel like the best period for us is probably like 12/16-12/19. That’s when there’s some cold established nearby (or hopefully over us) and could work with an imperfect synoptic setup. 12z Euro tries to develop a coastal along the front in the long range. 19 minutes ago, qg_omega said: PIG setting up shop for the rest of the winter LOL fortune teller? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: 12z Euro tries to develop a coastal along the front in the long range. LOL fortune teller? Was just about to post the euro... I don’t have precip maps so not sure where precip is but the idea of a second wave has been an idea on the models for a bit, but spacing wasn’t good...this isn’t far from a legit coastal 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 EPS has Canada cold by d7. Let’s hope we can time something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: EPS has Canada cold by d7. Let’s hope we can time something I hope we can. Have not had snow cover since last may 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 33 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: I hope we can. Have not had snow cover since last may Lol on that being even the slightest bit abnormal. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 Christmas looks toasty 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 6, 2020 Author Share Posted December 6, 2020 9 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Christmas looks toasty Looks like some NAO... Been over a year now since I have had a warning event...12/4/19....longest stretch since probably 2012, at least. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 Looks a bit like the last 10 days of dec 2007 or so...there just enough WPO to push the lower heights further south into Canada and the western US. That was an above normal period for us but it did have some threats and a couple advisory events. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Looks like some NAO... Been over a year now since I have had a warning event...12/4/19....longest stretch since probably 2012, at least. Yeah, it’s been a rough stretch down here as well. Kphl hasn’t had a inch of snow in 21 months 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Looks a bit like the last 10 days of dec 2007 or so...there just enough WPO to push the lower heights further south into Canada and the western US. That was an above normal period for us but it did have some threats and a couple advisory events. Seems like the MJO is stuck in phases 4-5. Do you think the negative WPO will help offset some of the positive EPO warmth?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 6, 2020 Author Share Posted December 6, 2020 Just now, Allsnow said: Yeah, it’s been a rough stretch down here as well. Kphl hasn’t had a inch of snow in 21 months Holy shit...that is awful. Well, at least we are vanquishing that bad regression karma quickly. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 1 minute ago, leo2000 said: Seems like the MJO is stuck in phases 4-5. Do you think the negative WPO will help offset some of the positive EPO warmth?. Yeah it should help at least keep some cold nearby. It’s going to be above average for that period but that look still gives a chance for something unlike the more classic Death Star pattern. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 15 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Looks like some NAO... Been over a year now since I have had a warning event...12/4/19....longest stretch since probably 2012, at least. 3/4/19 for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 1 hour ago, WinterWolf said: And they didn’t either. So true. As a kid of 8, the blizzard of 78 was the storm that focused my interest in weather.. then had to live through most of the 80s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 26 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Christmas looks toasty 3 weeks from now is a long time....if it was showing a fantastic pattern for 3 weeks from now, would you be buying it? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: 3 weeks from now is a long time....if it was showing a fantastic pattern for 3 weeks from now, would you be buying it? No, but the idea of the pattern getting awful around that time has support. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 Not saying this will happen, but wtf, last year I think December 1 or so ASH 18" (I may be off etc),this year (ok oct about 3" for us), then December 5, well maybe 3-3.5" of crap last night, now many seeing a "pig", I hope this isn't a repeat of last season, many said after 9-12 (dec.) time frame will be our chances , now we are talking near Christmas ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 7 minutes ago, Allsnow said: No, but the idea of the pattern getting awful around that time has support. And there was also support for (the pattern)getting good now or very shortly...that changed fast too. 3 wks away is a long time. You know how it goes...there was support for a very nice looking pattern, until there wasn't support anymore. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 6, 2020 Share Posted December 6, 2020 41 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Christmas looks toasty just curious, are eps to 360hr on any free site? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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