Typhoon Tip Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 man... if we can get this to bump 500 miles east in total mass ... you'd be talking a mass exodus evacuation level event - 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 17 hours ago, TheMainer said: I'm hoping based on guidance this will be my scene again right about new years day 20 miles south of Greenville Maine with over 2 feet of pack on the ground, can't wait to get back in the groomer. Tasty. And it's good to see a Maine poster from north of 45°. It's been a while since we've had anyone from the northeasterly 85% of the state.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Low probability but you know ..we may have to watch the 8th... It occurs to me, ... I'm thinking the system for the 5th/6th may actually get a 'phase boost' when the S/W wind max up N of Lake Superior over western JB region plummets S over the Lakes - I mean we've predicated our ideas ultimately on models and assuming that's cogently integrated off well-sampled data and it's not - least I don't see how it can be... It'll be an interesting test to see how if there is any morphology upon that cutting over Michigan... Anyway, the 8th is similar ... The only difference is the wave spacing between the 6th exit and the 8th is just too close...Otherwise, that's really a reduxing the 5th/6th set up. You have a southern stream vestigial 'placeholder' ejected from the W and then S/W mechanics subsumes from the N/stream...If the N/stream were stronger - and it is presently still over the Gulf of Alaska ... - then it could torque things up and overcome. It's plausible even if unlikely ... just something to watch ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Pig showing up on ensembles 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Pig showing up on ensembles Very unlikely to stick around if it occurs. The gish gallop weather pattern makes it difficult for anything to lock in place. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Weeklies? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Weeklies? Piglies 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 Looks like a period of low heights in AK for late dec/early Jan but then it breaks down after that Have to watch WPO though...might stay negative so that’s important...if it does in tandem with Aleutian ridge, we can still live on that even with some lower heights in AK. Ala ‘07-08. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 3, 2020 Share Posted December 3, 2020 8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Looks like a period of low heights in AK for late dec/early Jan but then it breaks down after that Have to watch WPO though...might stay negative so that’s important...if it does in tandem with Aleutian ridge, we can still live on that even with some lower heights in AK. Ala ‘07-08. Yeah, around jan 18th we start seeing change back to a better look. I know that is way out there but it would fit the script on some of stuff going on with the strat/mjo 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 4 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Pig showing up on ensembles Kind of nice dateline ridge potential with what looks like nao help to offset? Cold is plentiful 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 27 minutes ago, weathafella said: Kind of nice dateline ridge potential with what looks like nao help to offset? Cold is plentiful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 2 hours ago, leo2000 said: That’s a 30 day average? Pretty worthless without week to week breakdown 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 The 8th system seems to be a more legit threat then current model runs have shown. I am under the suspicion that the 8th system comes back to the benchmark and ends up delivering our first accumulating snows along the coastal plain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobertSul Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 hour ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: The 8th system seems to be a more legit threat then current model runs have shown. I am under the suspicion that the 8th system comes back to the benchmark and ends up delivering our first accumulating snows along the coastal plain. Suspicion or influence? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 The mid week system likely is a miss. Clipper is too far north. Next weekend though .. the 12th-13th.. that one is legit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: The mid week system likely is a miss. Clipper is too far north. Next weekend though .. the 12th-13th.. that one is legit. But.. Is the 12th-13th storm going to be rain... Or snow? That is the question Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 hour ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: The 8th system seems to be a more legit threat then current model runs have shown. I am under the suspicion that the 8th system comes back to the benchmark and ends up delivering our first accumulating snows along the coastal plain. Sorry man, but nothing is showing that happening. I think you should let this one go. If a miracle happens, at least you'll be surprised 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 I'm watching this period for an end of days solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 1 hour ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Sorry man, but nothing is showing that happening. I think you should let this one go. If a miracle happens, at least you'll be surprised Like this past storm ? The models are all over. Yes the storm has a hard time coming up on the models as of right now but we shouldn't dismiss it yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 13 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Like this past storm ? The models are all over. Yes the storm has a hard time coming up on the models as of right now but we shouldn't dismiss it yet. It could happen but it's a little soon after the first one than we typically see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, JC-CT said: It could happen but it's a little soon after the first one than we typically see. Yep The models show that the western ridge doesn't have enough time to recover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Yea we need to space out the next one a little more. Not looking good atm. Sucks cuz the potential is pretty big. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 6 hours ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: The 8th system seems to be a more legit threat then current model runs have shown. I am under the suspicion that the 8th system comes back to the benchmark and ends up delivering our first accumulating snows along the coastal plain. Already done on the mainland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mothman Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Love the vibe this December compared to many many looking back. Seasons in seasons vibe. Smash that weenie button! Where I’m at in the catskills has already had measurable snow 5 times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Euro is close, damn. If we can buy a little more time... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 18 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Euro is close, damn. If we can buy a little more time... Who thought we’d be talking about any snow with this thing...so ya never know? Sure Would be nice. Maybe this thing(tmrws system) can get out of the way a lil quicker? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 27 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Who thought we’d be talking about any snow with this thing...so ya never know? Sure Would be nice. Maybe this thing(tmrws system) can get out of the way a lil quicker? Slim shot but if it happens it would favor SE zones. Just not enough time to recover. Crazy cuz 12-24hrs would do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 Eps ots This might be over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 4, 2020 Share Posted December 4, 2020 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Eps ots This might be over On to January. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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