40/70 Benchmark Posted December 2, 2020 Author Share Posted December 2, 2020 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Congrats St Agatha on the GGEM. Yea, that is what I expect...it will develop later and nail Maine. Lack of dynamics will render this a non event everywhere further SW...maybe nuisance crap higher elevations. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, that is what I expect...it will develop later and nail Maine. Lack of dynamics will render this a non event everywhere further SW...maybe nuisance crap higher elevations. Today's runs for the most part are trending towards a later development. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 GGEM is fine here. I would like 5 inches and some wind. This run shows some lingering upslope after the storm that would push totals near double digits anyway. Let’s hope it’s more accurate than usual... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 Gfs has a big ridge at 204 in the east while the cmc has a cold pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 As far as snow ?? perhaps - but I wouldn't go so far as to call this a 'non event' for SNE - just talking 'storm' I'm not fully convinced the higher amped/more proficiently phased scenarios are that off-base. As usual...a compromise may be the path of least regret ( at this point in time ... which means negotiable - ), but even in a compromise...we're thrashing wind and inclemency... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 2, 2020 Author Share Posted December 2, 2020 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Gfs has a big ridge at 204 in the east while the cmc has a cold pattern I'd wait on the ensemble mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 2, 2020 Author Share Posted December 2, 2020 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: As far as snow ?? perhaps - but if I wouldn't go so far as to call this a 'non event' for SNE... I'm not fully convinced the higher amped/more proficiently phased scenarios are that off-base. As usual...a compromise may be the path of least regret ( at this point in time ... which means negotiable - ), but even in a compromise...we're thrashing wind and inclemency... I couldn't care less...non-event in my eyes. The early phase is highly unlikely IMO, but engage in the hunt for blue ballz if you wish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Gfs has a big ridge at 204 in the east while the cmc has a cold pattern I expect an interlude so whatever happens, it may be quiet for several days. Canadian does whip something up as you said. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 12 minutes ago, dryslot said: Congrats St Agatha on the GGEM. 10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, that is what I expect...it will develop later and nail Maine. Lack of dynamics will render this a non event everywhere further SW...maybe nuisance crap higher elevations. Yeah, I'm not mad at the GEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 The CPC does show a concerted curve collapse toward week two, so the PNA's positive run may not be a permanent deal... The operational runs going back 6 or so cycles began burgeoning that eastern ridge thing ...but also semblances of keeping that progressive... It appears the oper. is running the amplified version and probably is an outlier considering the concerted members only offer an index fall to neutral if that - in fact, could be construed as modestly positive at that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 2, 2020 Author Share Posted December 2, 2020 Just now, stormtracker said: Yeah, I'm not mad at the GEM I think you guys are in good shape up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Yeah, I'm not mad at the GEM From my experiences living here all my life, Your golden. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 2, 2020 Author Share Posted December 2, 2020 3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: The CPC does show a concerted curve collapse toward week two, so the PNA's positive run may not be a permanent deal... The operational runs going back 6 or so cycles began burgeoning that eastern ridge thing ...but also semblances of keeping that progressive... It appears the oper. is running the amplified version and probably is an outlier considering the concerted members only offer an index fall to neutral if that - in fact, could be construed as modestly positive at that. Good synopsis. I think the OP guidance will rush the decay of said PNA ridge, however, it is ephemeral to be sure....perhaps there will be a brief milder interlude before the higher latitude assist takes over and we turn wintry through the holidays. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 Uncle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 2, 2020 Author Share Posted December 2, 2020 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Uncle Looks like its headed towards ACK or just se. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Looks like its headed towards ACK or just se. If you draw a line........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 It slides east of ACK by a decent amount from what I saw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 Ukie looks like it would be a crushing here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 2, 2020 Author Share Posted December 2, 2020 UK also phases this late, as its probably like 990s passing the cape. We have our general solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 2, 2020 Author Share Posted December 2, 2020 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It slides east of ACK by a decent amount from what I saw. Maybe, but there isn't enough antecedent cold for it to really matter at our latitude if the dynamics aren't there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 There is an outside shot this could end as flakes in most places as the storms cranks as it passes by Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Maybe, but there isn't enough antecedent cold for it to really matter at our latitude if the dynamics aren't there. No unfortunately. Unless you have the NAM east of CHH and killing the population east of the canal from ozone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 2, 2020 Author Share Posted December 2, 2020 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: No unfortunately. Unless you have the NAM east of CHH and killing the population east of the canal from ozone. Which we won't...hence non-(exciting) event. Euro should look more like the UK and GEM. Next. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 Maybe it will be a nice day on Saturday... drop some fert, rake some leaves 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 2, 2020 Author Share Posted December 2, 2020 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: Maybe it will be a nice day on Saturday... drop some fert, rake some leaves I still have a bit of leaves left. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 Ukie would get the flip to snow done interior SNE 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Ukie would get the flip to snow done interior SNE You need precip getting that far west first. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 2, 2020 Author Share Posted December 2, 2020 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: You need heavy enough precip getting that far west first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 2, 2020 Author Share Posted December 2, 2020 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: You need precip getting that far west first. The celebration of white rain and cat paws. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 12z euro maybe more interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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