CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: word! I just got the 'little critter' in Feb on the wrong year but the other stuff was right - For some reason I always wanna put that damn thing in 04' ...not sure why - ..heh, it's not the first time he's had to correct me on that sucker. Oh I imagine 20 years from now it'll be 'No, that was Feb 03, the previous year' That was great. 3-5” south of the pike turned into 12-16”. I remember Todd Gross that morning was a little bullish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 Weeklies were decent. They tried to get a little more Niña like and maybe borderline at week 4, but who knows that far out. They may change on Thursday’s update as Will said. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Weeklies were decent. They tried to get a little more Niña like and maybe borderline at week 4, but who knows that far out. They may change on Thursday’s update as Will said. Lock it in. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 That would do it. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 Really rooting for you guys up that way. Those along 495 & Worcester Hills have potential to do really well if this were to materialize. EPS members still have large spread so keeping expectations in check but synoptic pattern is there for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 32 minutes ago, It's Always Sunny said: Lock it in. At risk of being a weenie, that weeklies setup looks like it has KU potential. Seems pretty perfect. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Weeklies were decent. They tried to get a little more Niña like and maybe borderline at week 4, but who knows that far out. They may change on Thursday’s update as Will said. We keep kicking the can in the Niña pattern. Let’s hope it stays in week 4-5 fantasyland 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 1 hour ago, Henry's Weather said: At risk of being a weenie, that weeklies setup looks like it has KU potential. Seems pretty perfect. The Dec 10-20 period definitely has some potential. Keep that PNA ridging more stout like on the 12z ensemble runs today and it will give a better shot at a legit coastal vs overrunning/SWFEs/clipper redevelopers. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 18z GFS wave interferes everything for 384 hrs. Jesus 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 Absolute needle in chest PNA outlook through first couple weeks of December which bodes well. NAO also looks to continue its negative trend which is good. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 4 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: The end of January storm was garbage northeast of about a BDL-PVD line. Storm ran into a brick wall. I think we had about 3-4” of arctic sand from it. Ditto PVD and BOS did even worse. It was a good storm though for the south coast and the southwest half of CT where they cleaned up. Back in the day when they used to wait until the morning of to cancel school. Went to bed that night expecting to wake up to pounding snow and a day off from school. Only to find the air and ground devoid of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 00z GFS set up is naughty at 120 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 Gfs with another solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: 00z GFS set is naughty at 120 hrs Great run for Central and interior New England Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 Now we are talking. GFS looks good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 Whole evolution leaves s lot on the field too ... N/stream actually fails to capture /subsume ... long duration southern stream rolling under a marginal atm ... it’s okay 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 Check out the CMC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 CMC is an interior snowstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 Very little run to run continuity. Ensembles are your best friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 29 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Great run for Central and interior New England Both gfs and cmc have the ideal mid level tracks for us if this was a couple weeks later or if there was a tick more cold to tap into. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 1, 2020 Author Share Posted December 1, 2020 10 minutes ago, MJO812 said: I'd hit that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 Euro not so much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 15 minutes ago, weathafella said: Euro not so much Yeah, but 240. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 Eps still likes 12/6-7. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 51 minutes ago, RDRY said: Yeah, but 240. Interior blizzard... NE PA/E NY/NW MA/VT/NH get smoked... i95 corridor is mainly cold rain till you start getting some distance away 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 2 minutes ago, yoda said: Interior blizzard... NE PA/E NY/NW MA/VT/NH get smoked... i95 corridor is mainly cold rain till you start getting some distance away 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 5 hours ago, weathafella said: Eps still likes 12/6-7. 6z euro now has a low in the NC at 90 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 Nice look on the EPS, maybe even a little east based NAO action to keep the tropospheric PV on our side. Of course that doesn't mean we can't get a cutter...but the overall look is favorable. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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