PhineasC Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That's an interior ice event on the Canadian. Still time for a SWFE look in New England. Both storms still look workable up here. Nothing like this hideous Grinch storm. That thing is a rotten little sh*t from head to toe and can’t be salvaged. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 Always fun to wake up and read the “homicidal bitchin’ that goes down in every kitchen to determine who will serve and who will eat” (thank you Leonard Cohen). We’re alive, the suns out on a beautiful snow pack. Make the best of it! 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: Always fun to wake up and read the “homicidal bitchin’ that goes down in every kitchen to determine who will serve and who will eat” (thank you Leonard Cohen). We’re alive, the suns out on a beautiful snow pack. Make the best of it! Good points. It’s only weather. Just hope we see some improvement soon...but either way we’ll all be fine. As long as we’re healthy, everything else will come and go. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 14 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Both storms still look workable up here. Nothing like this hideous Grinch storm. That thing is a rotten little sh*t from head to toe and can’t be salvaged. There is no hope for the grinch one, At least we have time to get the NY one underneath us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 35 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That's an interior ice event on the Canadian. Still time for a SWFE look in New England. If the block is as strong as depicted then I have no doubt it'll trend south over time. I'd buy a SWFE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 23, 2020 Author Share Posted December 23, 2020 Funny how DT was mentioning the January 96 blizzard as a pattern comp.....oops. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 23, 2020 Author Share Posted December 23, 2020 41 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Good points. It’s only weather. Just hope we see some improvement soon...but either way we’ll all be fine. As long as we’re healthy, everything else will come and go. Its okay to acknowledge that something sucks and blows without fearing for your life. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: That's an interior ice event on the Canadian. Still time for a SWFE look in New England. Yea let's dodge New Year's without power and Chinese food. Approaching 50* high above and mid-low 20s at the surface. Damn. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Its okay to acknowledge that something sucks and blows without fearing for your life. Our lives are in danger-I’m pissed that it’s not snowing! In all seriousness I’m still having a lot of satisfaction from the last storm. Not often in recent years do you get a week of deep winter including deep snow for a spell (however long) in December. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 58 minutes ago, weathafella said: Always fun to wake up and read the “homicidal bitchin’ that goes down in every kitchen to determine who will serve and who will eat” (thank you Leonard Cohen). We’re alive, the suns out on a beautiful snow pack. Make the best of it! Pretty much my take. Perspective is everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 23, 2020 Author Share Posted December 23, 2020 6 minutes ago, weathafella said: Our lives are in danger-I’m pissed that it’s not snowing! In all seriousness I’m still having a lot of satisfaction from the last storm. Not often in recent years do you get a week of deep winter including deep snow for a spell (however long) in December. So far, I'd take last season over this year....the one big event didn't pork me. Still some hope for January, but something needs to show up sooner rather than later IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 16 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Funny how DT was mentioning the January 96 blizzard as a pattern comp.....oops. Is he hiding in the same basement with the pope? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 23, 2020 Author Share Posted December 23, 2020 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Is he hiding in the same basement with the pope? Maybe he meant the huge meltdown as a xmas analog? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 23, 2020 Author Share Posted December 23, 2020 I will remember this as the "ghost pattern".....talk of SSW, and streams in sync so as to draw Feb 1978 and January 1996 comps....but then all of a sudden, some weenie poses the question to the science types of "which system are we watching here", and drops the mic. Silent night..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Maybe he meant the huge meltdown as a xmas analog? I knew when I saw his posts hyping the best east coast snow pattern since January, 1996, his forecast calling for a cold and snowy winter, and declaring La Niña dead and his bragging that “DTRex” had ended the streak of bad winters, it was the kiss of death.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 11 minutes ago, weathafella said: Our lives are in danger-I’m pissed that it’s not snowing! In all seriousness I’m still having a lot of satisfaction from the last storm. Not often in recent years do you get a week of deep winter including deep snow for a spell (however long) in December. Thank you. It's so amusing the bridge jumpers at the first sign of no immediate flakes. Following the weather in southern New England for the last 43 years I've learned anything that falls before Christmas is a total bonus. It has been somewhat different the last so many years, but that's not the norm. It is an awesome landscape out there to enjoy right now...I think I'll take the long way home from work for the scenery. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 14 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: So far, I'd take last season over this year....the one big event didn't pork me. Still some hope for January, but something needs to show up sooner rather than later IMO. To me it was a no brainer but I got twice as much this year. In the end our perceptions are always IMBY. A lot of this bb hated Boxing Day 2010 but I loved my 18 inches. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 5 minutes ago, snowman19 said: I knew when I saw his posts hyping the best east coast snow pattern since January, 1996, his forecast calling for a cold and snowy winter, and declaring La Niña dead and his bragging that “DTRex” had ended the streak of bad winters, it was the kiss of death.... should we maybe wait and see how this plays out over the next couple weeks? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 23, 2020 Author Share Posted December 23, 2020 7 minutes ago, weathafella said: To me it was a no brainer but I got twice as much this year. In the end our perceptions are always IMBY. A lot of this bb hated Boxing Day 2010 but I loved my 18 inches. Exactly. Obviously the pattern is better this year, but I'm a bottom line kind of guy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: The PAC looks to be meh into January. Yeah but a positive EAMT is usually followed by a extended Pacific jet that usually translates into a Aleutian low and usually pops a +PNA and sometimes a -EPO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Exactly. Obviously the pattern is better this year, but I'm a poke it in me bottom kind of guy. Whoa ! We may be able to muster snow before the year ends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 The 12-16 day period of the GEFS has been showing increasing heights on the west coast and into Alaska with a continuation of blocking in the NAO and AO regions...hope it's right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 Who has the EPS NAO data ? ...curious how our friends on the other side of the Atlantic screw job are lying ( or not ...) with this particular installment of back-stabbing blocking bullshit - haha... Seriously, though - I'm wonder if the EPS was ever selling what the GEFs have been, and continues to do so. Last night's derivatives are even more concertedly and sloping more negative ... steadily declining down to -1 and change over the next week. And if it makes any sense the "attitude" of that trajectory appears suggestive of locking in that mode? Which is kind of to assume any (-)(+) NAO would ever lock in any mode, just sayn' Anyway, recently I have been intrigued by the relative cyclonic motion between the upper and middle latitudes of the Hemisphere - subsequently, that constructive (positive) wave interference is more favored over destructive (negative). I am baffled to see the operational models figurative ( seemingly literally!) going out of their way to impose destructive interference at all spaces and scales despite that ... But, you know - I admitted there wasn't anything actually on the guidance at the time - although we have been flirting with this Dec 29 thing. About that... the only thing that really limits that from phasing into a major player here is that as the N/stream descends eastern Manitoba up there, and the intermediate stream finish injecting that Pac wave through the Plains ...is the whole scaffolding of the circulation medium over western N/A refuses to ridge more... That is a very important large --> small scale positive feedback that is missing - despite the above concepts... There are different forms of constructive ( destructive ) interference though - the R-wave structure is different than the subsume/ stream harmonics ... It's like we got one but are not getting enough of the other - interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 39 minutes ago, snowman19 said: I knew when I saw his posts hyping the best east coast snow pattern since January, 1996, his forecast calling for a cold and snowy winter, and declaring La Niña dead and his bragging that “DTRex” had ended the streak of bad winters, it was the kiss of death.... Dude its only December AO look great on the gefs 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 AO freefalls on the gefs in January A better pattern is looking better in January 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 If you like tomorrow’s weather, you are in luck as it’s a carbon copy for New Years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 Nice We got a screaming SE'r for Xmas day and New Years eve. NYE storm even cuts just west of Chicago. Wonderful news. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 hearkens back to my hypothesis in late summer I was posting regarding the faster flows inherently interfering with NAO blocking regimes, too. Seems a nice manifestation of something like that here - The AO mode argues the PV is relaxed and that blocking should evolve... but something is preventing it from doing that. It's like the PV is large, just not weak... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 This looks a lot better than last year did at this time. Not even close. Sure maybe we roll snake eyes, but this isn’t last year. I already enjoy this year better. A great Halloween and a big snow with no Ptype issues. A win. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 I think the pack hangs on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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