HoarfrostHubb Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Deli talk... Anyone able to catch the Conjunction? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: We've got the Greenland block, now we just need that Alaska ridging/ -EPO to show up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Big block, crap pac..but if there’s a time for it to do it like that, it’s Jan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Big block, crap pac..but if there’s a time for it to do it like that, it’s Jan. It’s how we partied last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 1 minute ago, weathafella said: It’s how we partied last week. Party last week had a dose of Covid here. Underwhelming. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 So many cutters on the runs now. Horrible. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greenmtnwx Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 2 minutes ago, PhineasC said: So many cutters on the runs now. Horrible. Quit whining lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 The sun angle is becoming a concern 3 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 8 minutes ago, JC-CT said: The sun angle is becoming a concern LOL, if we are going there, then consider also that Boston water temps are running 1 1/2 degrees F above last year at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 21 minutes ago, JC-CT said: The sun angle is becoming a concern Yup, today this shortest day of the year, and winter barely 12 hrs old. Lmao. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 22, 2020 Author Share Posted December 22, 2020 That next event should be mainly snow for alot of the area...just my opinion. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 22, 2020 Author Share Posted December 22, 2020 28 minutes ago, PhineasC said: So many cutters on the runs now. Horrible. Step away from the OPs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 22, 2020 Author Share Posted December 22, 2020 43 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Party last week had a dose of Covid here. Underwhelming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raindancewx Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Boston is still running close to 3x the 30-year average for snow totals for the date. That's not really sustainable for the long-term, since you won't get 120+ inches of snow this Oct-May. Question is whether there is an extended quiet period or you just slowly move back toward average with relatively normal totals from here on, say, 30-40 inches from 12/22-5/31. My hunch with this year has always been that each region of the US would see 2-3 big storms and a bunch of little storms. I don't have data to back that up, it's just my sense of things. You've arguably had two in the Northeast - the big Nor'easters in Oct/Dec, two in the Rockies - the Sept/Oct storms, one in the Midwest - the late Nov storm. If you look at what the models forecast for December, it's pretty clear the Canadian at least had some idea of what was going to happen. A +WPO, +PNA, -AO, -NAO December looks like this, but of course even in the south a lot of areas are now running a bit above average, and it's actually been fairly cold out here. Something like ~30th coldest December 1-21 high so far in 100 years, even after a few relatively warm days recently. It's kind of amazing how much warmer the look is compared to the composite, and it seems like that's the main issue with the seasonal models. They aren't bad at identifying the 'looks' up above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 1 hour ago, weathafella said: It’s how we partied last week. Yea but we had a good airmass in place. Let’s see if we can trap some cold underneath this go around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Stale air masses won’t cut it here on the CP. Inland could rock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 22, 2020 Author Share Posted December 22, 2020 12 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: Stale air masses won’t cut it here on the CP. Inland could rock. That's the idea....hopefully we get some 2001 going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That's the idea....hopefully we get some 2001 going. Methuen probably just inland enough to score. I’d rather be further N&W though. Of course, when something pops, it could always be timed well with a cold shot that leads to a CJ in Weymouth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Deli talk... Anyone able to catch the Conjunction? Clouds and fog here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 22, 2020 Author Share Posted December 22, 2020 1 hour ago, NorEastermass128 said: Methuen probably just inland enough to score. I’d rather be further N&W though. Of course, when something pops, it could always be timed well with a cold shot that leads to a CJ in Weymouth. I think I'll be fine....its not a cj pattern. Last one was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Don’t think this dual stream connection will break East of 70W Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 22, 2020 Author Share Posted December 22, 2020 13 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Don’t think this dual stream connection will break East of 70W That's ominous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobertSul Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 2 hours ago, WinterWolf said: Yup, today this shortest day of the year, and winter barely 12 hrs old. Lmao. The sun angle tomorrow will be just as terrible as it was back on December 19th. And don’t get me started on those awful February sunburns. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That's ominous. Yeah if you like rain. Icon was rain to Syracuse. Too wrapped up and blocky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 22, 2020 Author Share Posted December 22, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: Yeah if you like rain. Icon was rain to Syracuse. Too wrapped up and blocky. I mean the general phase potential...I don't give a rat's about the day 7 OP ICON outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I mean the general phase potential...I don't give a rat's about the day 7 OP ICON outcome. It’s an option too. I’m not sold on snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 22, 2020 Author Share Posted December 22, 2020 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s an option too. I’m not sold on snow. Everything is always an option....the goal is to pick the correct one. I'd be suprised if we escaped this month with only one major snow event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 22, 2020 Author Share Posted December 22, 2020 13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah if you like rain. Icon was rain to Syracuse. Too wrapped up and blocky. I love of how the guy who calls all signs of blocking for the past 8 years "voodoo", then once we finally get it....."too blocky"....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I love of how the guy who calls all signs of blocking for the past 8 years "voodoo", then once we finally get it it....."too blocky"....lol LOL I’m just saying it’s possible you get this to wrap up without a stronger antecedent airmass. Also on the gfs, it’s not a west based block, but more into southern Greenland. A west based block allows more of a chance for this to go underneath SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Sort of like what you have for the low near NYE. Block established and good airmass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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