ORH_wxman Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: What do you have chances at solid 1” pack surviving ? I think it probably survives over the interior at least. Might be close if the slower solutions materialize.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 22 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Another threat on the heels Very active times About all we can ask for. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 21, 2020 Author Share Posted December 21, 2020 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I think it probably survives over the interior at least. Might be close if the slower solutions materialize.... The Non-Boxing Day interior zones lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 25 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Ironic that a teacher apparently can't read, since I called it a moderate event IMBY. To be fair, Science teacher not a Literature teacher. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 I don't know if the GFS ... GEFs are the right personnel for the extended range job in this case. They carry on with progressive bias most of the time. Sometimes it is only nuanced in the 'feel' of their handling. Else, they are outright coherently obviously annoying - that is particularly true with the operational version. As I demoed yesterday, ...we may be on the verge - post Xmas - of an aspect we have not seen in frankly years! That is, a slowing of the W to E propagation of wave spaces at/or/about the 60 to 70th parallels of the N.H. ... whilst the S ( mainly below the 40th ) remains quasi progressive. That achieves two aspects, actually... 1) it pulls the rug out from under the GFS' enabling ... One wonders if we see a worse-off verification tendencies as we get on in time with that period and look forward ...until such time as whole-scale hemispheric progressivity bias resumes... etc. 2) it may not "see" the phasing potential - ...yet, as I type this, the 12z version comes out and subsumes /phases ...not actually too dissimilar what the Euro's cinema gave us on the 12z run yesterday ... It may also be that this is one of those signals, that transcends. ..interesting... I had previewed the post Xmas favorable pattern with this annotation, just to give an example of this expressing in the runs: ... At the time I was using the Euro to step -wise take the reader thru a perceived analog, ...not intending it to be a formulaic outlook; I'm half thinking to fire up that thread, though. Perhaps head it off with this discourse, because this learning tool does couch in it storm system - I probably should have the ballz to come out and say that... This is rooted in other aspects supporting. The strengthening negative AO phase is almost getting out of hand at CPC ( lol ) ... with a mean nearing -3 SD; although mop-ended ...every member stays negative toward and thru week two, with a few errant ( so it seems?) members unlikely to -4 SD! Meanwhile, the PNA teleconnector failed to go negative even by a little, last week. It stayed positive, and over the next ten days to two weeks -worth of outlook at CPC, it oscillates to relative values above 0 SD ... This creates an implied cyclonic motion ( in the relative sense ...) in the mid latitudes that is synergistic favoring constructive wave interference scenarios. You have to think of in outre form, as gestalt - and that there is a virtual positive (negative) for cyclonic (anticyclonic) tendency. Now ... positive. Atmospheric events in real space and time passing thru ...will "tend" to manifest positive (cyclonic) interference. It's not just true here... Europe/Erasi and the WPC all probably have this favorable look. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 31 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Ironic that a teacher apparently can't read, since I called it a moderate event IMBY. Ironic that I was agreeing with you... hope you are feeling better 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 6 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: To be fair, Science teacher not a Literature teacher. I also get to teach about Ancient Civs now as well... fook Covid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: I also get to teach about Ancient Civs now as well... fook Covid What about ancient astronauts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: What about ancient astronauts? Let's get past India before winter break first... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 4 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: What about ancient astronauts? Hubby streaming re-runs of Ancient Aliens to the students over Zoom. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 That's definitely a high stakes pattern. Either all or nothing it seems...Snow or rain. I suppose we could have one of each. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 I think the Monday/ Tuesday storm is snow or rain changing to thumping snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: I think the Monday/ Tuesday storm is snow or rain changing to thumping snow Far away, but possible. Even the EPS looks like that. Blocky patterns do weird things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 And end of eps snows good things as we move into mid winter. Ironically the only time we pigged was this week and we snowed....but we had kind of a ridge bridge helping I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 How does the SSW look. Still looking likely to happen in the long range? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 4 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: How does the SSW look. Still looking likely to happen in the long range? It does split, but you know how these go. It may not mean anything if the connection to the troposphere is not there. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 30 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Far away, but possible. Even the EPS looks like that. Blocky patterns do weird things. Ricky Bobby says rain. We’ll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It does split, but you know how these go. It may not mean anything if the connection to the troposphere is not there. There's my Feb crushing under development Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mothman Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 2 hours ago, weathafella said: Is the Roscoe Diner still around? It used to be on old route 17-before the highway was built out beyond there. Yes!!! Not what it used to be , but still on old 17. I worked there a few summers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 51 minutes ago, Mothman said: Yes!!! Not what it used to be , but still on old 17. I worked there a few summers. I remember driving to Ithaca from NJ. Pull off onto old 17 and there it was! However we often bypassed it having stopped at this deli in Monticello-can’t remember the name but it also was famous. This was in the late 1960s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 11 minutes ago, weathafella said: I remember driving to Ithaca from NJ. Pull off onto old 17 and there it was! However we often bypassed it having stopped at this deli in Monticello-can’t remember the name but it also was famous. This was in the late 1960s. My dad's name for 17 was butcher boulevard - probably has been used for many roads. Couple years ago my son-in-law's cellphone lady put us on that road while driving from SNJ to Cornwall, NY - may be shorter, or quicker if no one else is on the road, but - yuck. Coming home late that evening I said "No thanks" to the lady and did my usual GSP/Turnpike route, about 30 minutes less time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 1 hour ago, tamarack said: My dad's name for 17 was butcher boulevard - probably has been used for many roads. Couple years ago my son-in-law's cellphone lady put us on that road while driving from SNJ to Cornwall, NY - may be shorter, or quicker if no one else is on the road, but - yuck. Coming home late that evening I said "No thanks" to the lady and did my usual GSP/Turnpike route, about 30 minutes less time. With good lighting and good roads! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 Weeklies ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 Just now, MJO812 said: Weeklies ? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Lots of blocking?. Just need coastals that give us snow instead of rain. Of course track will matter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jeff Grann Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 35 minutes ago, weathafella said: With good lighting and good roads! That's not the same Rt. 17. The one you are referring to is a County road that runs N/S parallel to the NYS Thruway from the NJ border to Harriman. There, the highway portion of Rt 17 (now becoming Interstate 86) which runs E/W begins and goes all the way out through the Southern tier of NY towards Lake Erie. I actually live in Cornwall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 1 hour ago, Jeff Grann said: That's not the same Rt. 17. The one you are referring to is a County road that runs N/S parallel to the NYS Thruway from the NJ border to Harriman. There, the highway portion of Rt 17 (now becoming Interstate 86) which runs E/W begins and goes all the way out through the Southern tier of NY towards Lake Erie. I actually live in Cornwall. It’s the same road. I took it many times until hitting 96 in Owego. It just was 2/3 back country like in those days. Now it’s part of the interstate system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mothman Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 2 hours ago, weathafella said: I remember driving to Ithaca from NJ. Pull off onto old 17 and there it was! However we often bypassed it having stopped at this deli in Monticello-can’t remember the name but it also was famous. This was in the late 1960s. I went to High School in Monticello. You're making me feel familiar. My twin brother and dad went to Cornell, i love that town. SNOWY PLACE! Monticello... I wonder where it was...I bet it was Kaplan's, the old jewish deli that closed before I was born. That's so darn cool! That spot is classic ... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mothman Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 29 minutes ago, weathafella said: It’s the same road. I took it many times until hitting 96 in Oswego. It just was 2/3 back country like in those days. Now it’s part of the interstate system I often fantasize about Old 17 being the only way up ... simpler times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 25 minutes ago, Mothman said: I went to High School in Monticello. You're making me feel familiar. My twin brother and dad went to Cornell, i love that town. SNOWY PLACE! Monticello... I wonder where it was...I bet it was Kaplan's, the old jewish deli that closed before I was born. That's so darn cool! That spot is classic ... That’s it! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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