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December 2020 Discussion


40/70 Benchmark
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8 hours ago, JoshSnow said:

boxing day part ii

coming up

next weekend

Thursday was indeed Boxing Day part II, despite people trying to opine otherwise. Miller A systems have a better shot of:

1) Hugging so that the deformation is well west.

2) Occluding to your SW, so that deformation is weakening by the time if gets here.

I'll take it over last year, but Miller A are usually flawed in this part of the region.

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1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Fa la la La la.. lalala la

 

 

Take A Look At That Damage GIF - Damage LooKAtTheDamage ThatsALotOfDamage -  Discover & Share GIFs

 

 

Can see this being the most irritating grinch of all since it is 2020. Tomorrow some models start to shift east, give us a glimmer of saving snowpack and maybe add a little, then back to big winds and rain to take it all away 00z Tuesday.

 

 

 

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2 hours ago, WinterWolf said:

I guess my point is that upper air look could change next run. Next day.    
 

But It’s all good. 

Cmon Wolfie...it’s ok to say the potential is there 10 days out....our mets in this forum do it all the time.   If some weenie can’t take it if it changes that’s on them.

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Just now, powderfreak said:

That 12z GFS run was slightly better, a rain to snow situation up here in the NW.

BD49D7A5-8CDB-40F1-B98D-A6C4C0BB57D5.thumb.png.9ae7b548d64cc61f130229acb7f40977.png

The torch was much shorter...even down here it’s like maybe 8-10 hours of 50+ and maybe 12-14 of 40+...way more manageable than basically twice those numbers on the euro and earlier GFS runs. 

Problem is we need other guidance to cave that direction. 

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