Ginx snewx Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I’m worried about Pope. Frozen in time 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 6z Euro has mood snow and PF gets refreshed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 On the edge of some pesky ocean clouds here at 14, but day 3 of snow in the air on the cape. That’s cool. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 14 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Was 15.4 here. I did a 5 mile run at 5:00 AM. There was enough wind that I had to put on the face mask . I got thru 3 miles without it, but could feel the cheeks starting to freeze . Amazing the elevation differences with temps Pony Os on the Berks east side 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 19, 2020 Author Share Posted December 19, 2020 1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said: What an awful depiction for next week. 0.3F here. Was not expecting that low I hit 2. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 Low 3.4.. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 33 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Was 15.4 here. I did a 5 mile run at 5:00 AM. There was enough wind that I had to put on the face mask . I got thru 3 miles without it, but could feel the cheeks starting to freeze . Amazing the elevation differences with temps impressive, I walked out on the deck and the inside of my nose froze....not sure how I could even go for a quick jog right now. Bottomed out at -3.5°just after sunrise, a balmy -2.0° at the moment.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 CON down to -8°. Not bad. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 48 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: 1.5” of rains. Temps in the 40s. Wind. Blah. Hopefully it trends east Someone will be happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 We’re actually kind of due for a snow melting grinch if you think about it. We haven’t had a true grinch since 2013? I guess you could count like 80F on xmas eve/Xmas in 2015 but it wasn’t melting anything. Same with the torching cutter a few days before Xmas 2018...wasn’t melting anything for most people. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 59 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Too bad. But have to say, pretty frigging awesome looking here. Definitely have a cake layer. My buddy told me around 3 am there was some rain mixed for an hour while he was plowing. Also said that at one point it was snowing so hard he couldn't see his truck lights. 57 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Your area also had sleet mixing in for an hour or so. It got as far north as Colchester to you to PVD area briefly . Gonna be tough to swallow if it the giant snow eraser comes and erases to the Laurentian shelf . We should have a good idea by tomorrow evening runs Yep, can confirm. Heavy pingers woke me up around 3am or so...lasted at least 30 minutes. Nice layer of ice/sleet in the middle of the pack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: We’re actually kind of due for a snow melting grinch if you think about it. We haven’t had a true grinch since 2013? I guess you could count like 80F on xmas eve/Xmas in 2015 but it wasn’t melting anything. Same with the torching cutter a few days before Xmas 2018...wasn’t melting anything for most people. I think a thorough study of the matter would ultimately show that we get cutters a lot in winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: I think a thorough study of the matter would ultimately show that we get cutters a lot in winter. That’s part of our winter climo. Storms go west of us too. Just how it is even in snowy winters. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 2 minutes ago, JC-CT said: I think a thorough study of the matter would ultimately show that we get cutters a lot in winter. We did a thorough investigation and found a 3 day positive anomaly 23rd to 25th. Statistics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 Just now, JC-CT said: I think a thorough study of the matter would ultimately show that we get cutters a lot in winter. Yes, especially in December and January. Cutters are definitely reduced in frequency in February. There is definitely a historical spike around 12/23-12/25 in temps but I am not at all convinced it is anything other than statistical anomaly. If the distribution of cutters was truly random in December, you would still expect several outliers based on 100+ years of data. It would probably take over 1000 years to weed them out. I haven’t seen an actual meteorological explanation of why we would expect the 12/23-12/25 anomaly to continue. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 Its not just about storms though. Melting high dews as well. How can a statistical anomaly be seen consistently at many long term sites. Not gonna replay this discussion as we completely covered it a couple of years ago with charts, graphs. Some just don't believe it I guess. We also showed the positive anomaly the 3rd week of Jan. Grinch and Jan thaw are real enough to cause long term sites to reflect the propensity for positive anomaly 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Its not just about storms though. Melting high dews as well. How can a statistical anomaly be seen consistently at long term sites. Not gonna replay this discussion has we completely covered it a couple of years ago with charts, graphs. Some just don't believe it I guess. We also showed the positive anomaly the 3rd week if Jan. Grinch and Jan thaw are real enough to cause long term sites to reflect the propensity for positive anomaly You can believe the statistical anomaly exists and still think it is random. The two are not mutually exclusive. You would expect statistical anomalies in a random distribution of n = 100 or 150. I’m open to the possibility that it is not random and there is a legit meteorological explanation, but I haven’t seen it yet. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 Yeah but any mild period in January is called a thaw. That doesn’t mean anything statistically. Of course you’ll have a mild period in January at some point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: You can believe the statistical anomaly exists and still think it is random. The two are not mutually exclusive. You would expect statistical anomalies in a random distribution of n = 100 or 150. I’m open to the possibility that it is not random and there is a legit meteorological explanation, but I haven’t seen it yet. I can’t figure out a reason either. I don’t see how the atmosphere just shifts into east coast torch gear at the same time every year and then reverts back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mothman Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 My area forecast doesn’t resemble any true grinch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 4 minutes ago, Mothman said: My area forecast doesn’t resemble any true grinch. It will Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 47 minutes ago, JC-CT said: I think a thorough study of the matter would ultimately show that we get cutters a lot in winter. If you remember.. When in our snowiest winter of 95-96, we had a big thaw and heavy rains ( I think in Feb ) but went back to snow after that. I'm not sure there has been any winter where every single storm is a coastal or a clipper. It sucks we're having rain Christmas Eve/ day..but..there still a bit of tweaking to be done regarding that storm. However.. Talk of doom and gloom because of this storm heading into the new year...lolololololol. That is funny. Well be fine. Haven't even hit January yet. Relax poeple. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It will Shift the Ukie east like 100 miles and we’re in business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Shift the Ukie east like 100 miles and we’re in business. We hope for a miracle, but prepared for the worst. Blah. I’m gonna pull a James and hope for an inverted finger this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 29 minutes ago, Mothman said: My area forecast doesn’t resemble any true grinch. Winter moths caught in hair Xmas Day while opening gifts? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 Come on NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Torchmas...the rain's coming down. Torchmas...I'm watching folks melt.. fyp 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 Made it to 0°F this morning. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 1 minute ago, dryslot said: fyp I’ll be home for Christmas, As the rain falls on me. Please melt snow, and watch it go. As I burn my Christmas Tree. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 19, 2020 Share Posted December 19, 2020 8 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: With a high in the atlantic? Looks like shit. I realize you really just wanted to set up the "Looks like shit" repeater joke in this post/reply of yours.. but, just for "shits" and giggles - I think what he/she was after ( though perhaps lacks the confidence to advance ? ) is that high in the Atlantic or not, if that trough exerts any more E than New England could just as well end up on the W side of that baroclinic wall - even if by small amount would be different ball game.. Just sayn' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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