JC-CT Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: There is none. He meant he's blocking you, and going outside to enjoy the snow falling before it finally shuts off later today. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 How's that mini-warmup and potential xmas grinch rainer looking? We going back to bare ground? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 I wouldn't gladly take the storm on the 25th, But i would gladly take the next 3 thereafter. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 5 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: 50s with 1-2" RA AUG-RUM. Grinch with a cage full of skunks. We going back to bare ground? Not impossible but doubtful, with the crusty stuff beneath yesterday's dump. If it's warm/wet enough to go to brown ground, expect some flood warnings. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB_Wchstr Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 47 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Let me guess, it will "feel" the snowpack. Maybe it will “feel” the xmas spirit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 I’m just gonna assume it couldn’t possibly be rain and 50s all the way up here on freakin’ Christmas. No way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 4 minutes ago, PhineasC said: I’m just gonna assume it couldn’t possibly be rain and 50s all the way up here on freakin’ Christmas. No way. GFS has BML reaching 50 with 1.2" qpf. Has looked a bit worse with each run, time to start moving the other way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 10 minutes ago, PhineasC said: I’m just gonna assume it couldn’t possibly be rain and 50s all the way up here on freakin’ Christmas. No way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 Is it too early to start the Christmas eve severe thread? James may get blown into Santa's sleigh 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 5 minutes ago, tamarack said: GFS has BML reaching 50 with 1.2" qpf. Has looked a bit worse with each run, time to start moving the other way? I can't wait for the tropical storm warnings to be hoisted for Xmas Eve and xmas day........At least we get to watch Kyrie play on xmas day..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 54 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Radarscope is 10 bucks a year. Pretty darn affordable for that service. Thanks everybody. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 There's plenty of time to flatten out the Xmas eve/Xmas system. Even if it just turns into kind of a dry FROPA where a low goes NW of us but it is not a phased stemwinder....in that case, you'd just get a fairly mild Xmas eve but no 55-60F downpours and then FROPA happens that night. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 Lets just get a fropa with a wave. That's what I am hoping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 17 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Is it too early to start the Christmas eve severe thread? James may get blown into Santa's sleigh An early thread would be a great way to kill this threat. Please go ahead and get it started. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Lets just get a fropa with a wave. That's what I am hoping. Don't some models show back end snow's on Christmas morning? 6z GFS shows this.Really it doesn't look like a typical cutter.Looks like a frontal passage with hard freeze after the passage and some snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 4 minutes ago, PhineasC said: An early thread would be a great way to kill this threat. Please go ahead and get it started. If moisture return was much stronger ahead of the trough across the Southeast and mid-Atlantic this would probably be a sizable severe weather event. Could certainly see some low topped convection up this way but I think in the end the dynamics will actually be too strong. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: ?? They have a new site for that. But, Weather.cod has radar. 1 hour ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Who can suggest a good free-site for local radars, now that the NWS has terminated our service? Yeah, new site, did u see it? Its an abomination. Unuseable. I use weathertap its great. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 29 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: There's plenty of time to flatten out the Xmas eve/Xmas system. Even if it just turns into kind of a dry FROPA where a low goes NW of us but it is not a phased stemwinder....in that case, you'd just get a fairly mild Xmas eve but no 55-60F downpours and then FROPA happens that night. I'm not even finger's crossed for that ... More like considering that as a real correcting need. I've stated my case a few pages ago/yesterday - quickly again... the longer term atmospheric tendency toward progression and speed, does not lend to a slowing down, full-latitude continental breadth, curved flow structures - That's the base-line contention. Yeah, I guess ... persistence is like the Law - it doesn't work in extreme situations. That's code for admitting it could still happen - saying correction possibility means the meridional amplitude variation is still on the table. Beyond that.. .there are other clues, like ..the PNA from the GEFs is neutral-positive, not positive. That's a subtlety in the interpretive usage that also does not really support huge N/S curvilinear loading. The signal there is to maintains a west to east correction tendency ( or vector ). You know... we put down a band of historic snow yesterday, but the important and (perhaps scary if we wan't to get into it) one is, pun on purpose, 'under the radar'. 30+ " of snow over that vast an area was verified in 12 hours! It is not just the d(Q)/dt, it is the * mass! That's got to be some kind silent record, if not damn close. Lot of storms of lore and yore put down hip height snow, but to do so at that speed and short duration ...over the state of Nebraska.. That said ?? We're not getting out of a warm sector...It's a matter of weather it's rotted polar air that is of the 52/38 variety, or as you say 54/53 S windy white noise through barren tree tops in strata streeted misty rains... I give it 50/50 shot of either version. I don't think said persistence is related to the pattern in situ, as it has been a multi-modal, multi-seasonal/decadal thing at this point... It's persisted through Ninas and Ninos and -AO and +AOs and EPOs of both ilk and NAO too... and is caused by a separate issue altogether - but don't have to broach what that is, just knowing that it's likely to at least factor, probably should give an extra consideration to persistence in this case. As a quick afterthought ... one could wonder fairly if a bigger meridian structured ordeal would also just gestate in and out of existence quicker, too - ultimately limiting the time spend in the car wash - How about the extended GFS though - man...that 00z guidance loaded the last 7 days of that run with sweet pulsing -3 SD west base NAO ...that's the way you want NAO, pulsing! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 6 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Yeah, new site, did u see it? Its an abomination. Unuseable. I use weathertap its great. Yesterday I took a look at the new radar page...I thought I had stumbled upon some jr high kid's site........ 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drstuess Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 This is nuts. Let’s watch this all shunt each run here on in Thats a nice wave maker. Nice xmas south swell. Beauty of skiing and surfing, make lemonade out of grinches.Sent from my SM-G960U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 Looks active after the grinch storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 5 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: Yesterday I took a look at the new radar page...I thought I had stumbled upon some jr high kid's site........ I don't know what they were thinking I really don't. I know they had to create something new because of flash but this is just.... No words. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said: I don't know what they were thinking I really don't. I know they had to create something new because of flash but this is just.... No words. I tried using it last night when I saw the tweet about it. It’s terrible. Takes too long, graphics look outdated. The old one was fine lol , they didn’t have to completely change the whole thing right? I don’t know anything about graphic design or programming so unsure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 18, 2020 Author Share Posted December 18, 2020 I actually thought there was a little more stream interaction on the 00z, as opposed to the 06z EURO for that next event... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 Yeah, I was a bit nonplussed that they'd pull the trigger on a new technology solution during that storm yesterday ... that's an odd operations call if you ask me. I haven't delved into that new product, but I don't like it for PC so far... We'll see when the weather turns active again how it performs. I don't know if perhaps that is intended to be easier/boot-strap -able for remote tech. It's clear the technology is increasingly adaptive to a phone and portable -device world. It may be the case,.. I am noticing that as these new variance GUIs emerge, their compatibility with PCs .. you can tell there is a silent incompatibility ... The usage is quirky if not awkward ...sometimes lags and gaps in web-based rendering... etc... We're going to bottle neck technology and humanity intelligentsia I'm afraid along with it... such that when the Carrington Event strikes, it makes sure it is whole scale, swift and particularly holocaustic - ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I actually thought there was a little more stream interaction on the 06z, as oppose dto the 00z EURO for that next event... Some noticeable trends for this to clip eastern zones at least, imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 18, 2020 Author Share Posted December 18, 2020 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Some noticeable trends for this to clip eastern zones at least, imo. Sorry, I made a mistake...I meant 00z was better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 10 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: Looks active after the grinch storm If there is a grinch storm. Hopefully the low which rides the front trends favorable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mothman Posted December 18, 2020 Share Posted December 18, 2020 It was a 65degree torcher monsoon by me a couple days ago - trend is good. Plus as Ginx said, hasn’t accounted for tons of snow cover Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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