ORH_wxman Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Start a thread and grow up Jesus Christ… Either that or start a new December thread as things got over 100 pages pain in the ass You’re up...there’s some ducks on the pond too. Knock ‘em in. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: You’re up...there’s some ducks on the pond too. Knock ‘em in. He did ok with last week’s threat and thread. This time let’s get some cold antecedent air though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That was still a great storm at least here. Had about 13 inches and then some sleet/freezing drizzle. The WCB in that was pretty awesome. Obviously it would have been nice to get the 87 inches that fell in Stowe, but I’d sign on the dotted like for another one right now if offered. The WCB was intense. Picked up like 10” in 3 hours that morning. Ended up with 14”. Kind of a letdown though how in and out it was. Then the sleet and mood flakes for the rest of the day. Most forecasts had Danbury for 18-24” so when you ‘fall short’ with 14” it never sits well. NWCT had some 20” amounts and then west into NY is where it really piled up with 30-40”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 11, 2020 Author Share Posted December 11, 2020 38 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Iirc the ‘shift’ had more to do with mid level tracks going across SNE but models still putting out 18+ south of it so many forecasters were hesitant to put up big amounts but still did. But then the rule of ‘never go higher than 12” if mid levels are north of you’ was discussed, even if models are printing more. Yea, I learned that the hard way in Feb 2009. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 11, 2020 Author Share Posted December 11, 2020 I feel like it will be a CT jackpot if the transfer is that far south....big if. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, I learned that the hard way in Feb 2009. It’s helped me for sure. I look from the top down now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I feel like it will be a CT jackpot if the transfer is that far south....big if. Big if but the block certainly helps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I feel like it will be a CT jackpot if the transfer is that far south....big if. Pray Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 ICON is pretty sloppy thru 132 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Delayed but not denied. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 So much for any blocking on that run..rain storm for most in SNE in that depiction. Just another possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 ICON’s 500 mb is succumbing to the Miami rule ... that’s why it’s smearing that out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Icon is a Rainer for most of SNE.... good snows NH VT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: So much for any blocking on that run..rain storm for most in SNE in that depiction. Just another possibility. Pay no attention to that thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: So much for any blocking on that run..rain storm for most in SNE in that depiction. Just another possibility. A storm isn't running into that strong high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Icon...is ok for trends but I would not sweat the specifics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Pay no attention to that thing. Just now, MJO812 said: A storm isn't running into that strong high Agreed..just commenting on what that showed. Doesn’t make a whole lot of sense assuming the big players are in place. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 7 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Agreed..just commenting on what that showed. Doesn’t make a whole lot of sense assuming the big players are in place. Even if it had a 3ft bomb, just pass. I’m not even sure when it became a plausible model. The less models we look at, the better imo. Information, especially trash, over-load. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 That ICON run will prove to be the outlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Gfs is coming in slightly more amped and more confluence to the north so far. This should be interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Gfs is coming in slightly more amped and more confluence to the north so far. This should be interesting Maybe for you. That confluence is serious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 2 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Maybe for you. That confluence is serious. I deserve snow Your area gets a ton of snow =) 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Gfs is coming in slightly more amped and more confluence to the north so far. This should be interesting Can you get on the mic in your squad car and announce that? A weenie pbp by a cop on the mic to random people walking around would be pretty funny. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: I deserve snow Your area gets a ton of snow =) First winter away from coast full time, I don't deserve to suffer any longer. We have a slide job on GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Congrats to Metsfan. That hit a brick wall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 1 minute ago, Ericjcrash said: Congrats to Metsfan. That hit a brick wall Definitely can be a possibility...too much of a good thing? At this point it’s just another possible solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 2 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Congrats to Metsfan. That hit a brick wall You could see it at hr 144 with the contour of the isobars indicating an E movement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Just now, WinterWolf said: Definitely can be a possibility...too much of a good thing? At this point it’s just another possible solution. Dec 2010ish on a smaller scale iirc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 SE Mass special on the gfs..... congrats James on that run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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