CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Who said anything at all about that? I have never seen someone get so defensive when people talk about about models and alternative outputs. Chill Because people are delusional. Other than the GFS, I don't see much hope for colder outcomes especially down here, but even CNE perhaps. Maybe a little frozen on the front end? I dunno...I feel like the Grinch storm made everyone insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Because people are delusional. Other than the GFS, I don't see much hope for colder outcomes especially down here, but even CNE perhaps. Maybe a little frozen on the front end? I dunno...I feel like the Grinch storm made everyone insane. Well just talking about the CMC GFS UKMET ICON outputs isn't a crime. They sense a colder scenario. Day 5 is a long way out. With Ens not on board its unlikely today but stay frigging tuned with an open mind is all we say Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Well just talking about the CMC GFS UKMET ICON outputs isn't a crime. They sense a colder scenario. Day 5 is a long way out. With Ens not on board its unlikely today but stay frigging tuned with an open mind is all we say Because weenies end up getting their hopes up and then whine incessantly when it doesn't go their way. Look at the last two days. Place is unreadable. I almost feel bad as it seemed the Grinch storm took precedence over the Christmas Holiday itself with some people. A shame. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 Quite the change at 90h on 06z euro. Even compared to 00z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Because weenies end up getting their hopes up and then whine incessantly when it doesn't go their way. Look at the last two days. Place is unreadable. I almost feel bad as it seemed the Grinch storm took precedence over the Christmas Holiday itself with some people. A shame. Lol pretty sure no one is worked up other than you 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 How much middle ground would there be? It’s one or the other in this set up no? If we get a shift it would be substantial yes? Or there won’t be a shift. I would wait for more of the biggies to come on board or perhaps the next couple of nam runs give a clue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Lol pretty sure no one is worked up other than you I'm fine, but this place is not. I feel bad. I'm certainly content. There's more to life than snow. Hopefully REH knows that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Because weenies end up getting their hopes up and then whine incessantly when it doesn't go their way. Look at the last two days. Place is unreadable. I almost feel bad as it seemed the Grinch storm took precedence over the Christmas Holiday itself with some people. A shame. DT video on his Twitter feed is a good overview. Kinda simple for the Mets but easy to understand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Yup 42 here this am and barely breaking 60 for a high for the third day in a row. We had the coldest Christmas in 25 years! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Quite the change at 90h on 06z euro. Even compared to 00z Going to be an interesting tracking week. If Scooter allows us to discuss alternatives without ridicule Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Going to be an interesting tracking week. If Scooter allows us to discuss alternatives without ridicule I wouldnt be shocked to see this trend more south. Don't take your eye off it if you live in New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 24 minutes ago, dendrite said: Surprised you’re using the old FV3. Using the Ukie mainly. It was the first model to show the Monday deal as a cut / fropa. It’s done very well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 Hard to go bullish on wintry wx until euro looks better. Most other guidance is coming on board though (Ukie/GFS/GGEM) with icing to at least interior CNE if not northern SNE. Problem is the euro is still holding a lot of that energy back and consolidating it allowing the storm to wind up to the west after the northern stream clears out. May or may not be its old bias in effect...but we’ll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 2 minutes ago, REH said: Huh? I had a wonderful Christmas. You are the one that seems miserable on here. You must be a joy at parties I don't think there is a Christian person in here who placed snow over the holiday or a non Christian either. Some weird accusations flying this morning. Hangovers r us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 19 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Because people are delusional. Other than the GFS, I don't see much hope for colder outcomes especially down here, but even CNE perhaps. Maybe a little frozen on the front end? I dunno...I feel like the Grinch storm made everyone insane. So you are saying Walt’s post was delusional? He backed it up with several models that do show it , as well as science 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 7 hours ago, PhineasC said: Ukie looks like it would be really nice based on the precip maps at least. I wonder how many people on the board get mildly discouraged everytime Phin (or freak) say something looks 'really nice'. 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Well this is a horse of a different color. Colder yet What am I missing here? It shows much higher accumulations in SNH than by 1:00pm on Friday. By 1:00pm Saturday, the snow depth in MA not only exceeds that of SNH, but the amounts in SNH drop significantly. What am I missing? If I'm reading it correctly, I guess we toss. 22 minutes ago, dendrite said: Surprised you’re using the old FV3. In any given situation, use whatever shows an iota of damage possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 6 minutes ago, REH said: Huh? I had a wonderful Christmas. You are the one that seems miserable on here. You must be a joy at parties You just seem like a pro snow person who doesn't like to hear otherwise. Christmas was great, tuned out the funeral in here. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: So you are saying Walt’s post was delusional? He backed it up with several models that do show it , as well as science Lots to consider here going forward. The Euro is still amped but showing a completely different solution than just yesterday. Models are struggling with this pattern. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 8 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: Yup 42 here this am and barely breaking 60 for a high for the third day in a row. We had the coldest Christmas in 25 years! And we had our warmest Christmas since moving to Maine in 1973. Have to go back to 1965 in NNJ to find one warmer. Irony is fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Lots to consider here going forward. The Euro is still amped but showing a completely different solution than just yesterday. Models are struggling with this pattern. We’ll want to see the northern stream clear pretty far south ahead of the southern stream to have significant winter wx into SNE I think. Need the high to build in a real airmass otherwise it’s probably not enough down here. Having deeper cold push would help NNE get more snow too which they need badly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Lots to consider here going forward. The Euro is still amped but showing a completely different solution than just yesterday. Models are struggling with this pattern. And with the pattern in general for weeks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 Just now, REH said: Not at all. I just enjoy discussing weather which is what this board is for. The twitter comment was to Anthony who unfortunately sees all the nonsense posted from people who just throw crap out there. Social media can be great, but there is a lot of nonsense out there. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 2 minutes ago, tamarack said: And we had our warmest Christmas since moving to Maine in 1973. Have to go back to 1965 in NNJ to find one warmer. Irony is fun. Not as good as Will, Jerry, or Steve but wondering if any Analogs that line up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 This further backs up the fastest and biggest melt in history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 Just now, ORH_wxman said: We’ll want to see the northern stream clear pretty far south ahead of the southern stream to have significant winter wx into SNE I think. Need the high to build in a real airmass otherwise it’s probably not enough down here. Having deeper cold push would help NNE get more snow too which they need badly. Totally rooting for NNE for sure. People need outlets and skiing is probably the safest "crowd" outlet there is. Seems Killington and Sugarloaf made a little comeback off the disaster. Mountains are a different animal 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 4 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: Not as good as Will, Jerry, or Steve but wondering if any Analogs that line up. There was a subtle hint in my post lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 1 minute ago, REH said: I don’t follow Twitter. Too much crap and hype. Honestly I agree with you that NYD except for NNE is probably a cold rain, which is far different than the warm rain the models were showing just 24 hours ago. But rain is rain. I think we have to wait until January 10th and after for a better pattern to take hold. Until then I think crap wins out Yes sir 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 27, 2020 Share Posted December 27, 2020 SST 2011 and 2020. Can see the Pac west coast problem but damn the SH is cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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