78Blizzard Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 14 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Weeks 2 (1/4-1/11) and 3 look really good. Week 3 actually pops a nice +PNA in conjunction with the -NAO. The weeklies do keep the -NAO all the way into clown range (week 6) but those are hardly worth looking at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 2 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said: I’m built in a way where I get over things very quickly, but I don’t think I’ll ever fully heal from knowing that some members of my family spent their final days alone, died alone, and couldn’t receive a full and proper burial. I’ll just leave it at that. Don that is absolutely the worst. A week ago that easily could have been my fate. Instead tonight I got to spend time with my grand and great grandkids. God bless you and Merry Christmas 28 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 31 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Don that is absolutely the worst. A week ago that easily could have been my fate. Instead tonight I got to spend time with my grand and great grandkids. God bless you and Merry Christmas Man you have lost weight! I love the beard! Merry Christmas Steve. i drove down to Chinatown to pick up ur Christmas Eve and Christmas food. Lott’s of melting around the common and public garden. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 Just now, weathafella said: Man you have lost weight! I love the beard! Merry Christmas Steve. i drove down to Chinatown to pick up ur Christmas Eve and Christmas food. Lott’s of melting around the common and public garden. Getting eviscerated here. The rain has begun but will still make midnight with over an inch so technically white. I am dying for Chinese now lol. My daughter had us over for traditional Ham etc. Yea I lost like 45 lbs this fall. Gonna see if I can beard all summer lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Getting eviscerated here. The rain has begun but will still make midnight with over an inch so technically white. I am dying for Chinese now lol. My daughter had us over for traditional Ham etc. Yea I lost like 45 lbs this fall. Gonna see if I can beard all summer lol. I started my beard in early August. Summer is fine with it. Once we retire it’s our time-and as I told someone asking what I’ll do with my time it’s whatever you want to do today time. Grow a beard, enjoy nature, stay up for the euro-whatever we want. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 1 hour ago, 78Blizzard said: No arctic air in that depiction. Shitty chances for above average snow pike south with that gruesome PAC look. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: I started my beard in early August. Summer is fine with it. Once we retire it’s our time-and as I told someone asking what I’ll do with my time it’s whatever you want to do today time. Grow a beard, enjoy nature, stay up for the euro-whatever we want. Pic? I think there will be many a Euro night after the NY. I think you and I have more cumulative late Euro nights than anyone on this board lol. Dr No is fiend or friend but soon to be our best bud. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 4 minutes ago, WeatherX said: No arctic air in that depiction. Shitty chances for above average snow pike south with that gruesome PAC look. Dude hark back to just 30 months ago and tell me this again 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 10 minutes ago, WeatherX said: No arctic air in that depiction. Shitty chances for above average snow pike south with that gruesome PAC look. Uh ? We don't need a positive PNA with a huge block. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Pic? I think there will be many a Euro night after the NY. I think you and I have more cumulative late Euro nights than anyone on this board lol. Dr No is fiend or friend but soon to be our best bud. I think your 2010-11 call was brilliant. Let’s see what happens. 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 Dude hark back to just 30 months ago and tell me this againIf we can polish up the EPO a bit and trim the NAO, it’s gang busters. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 12 minutes ago, weathafella said: I think your 2010-11 call was brilliant. Let’s see what happens. Step on my throat, you rudely large man. Break my fingers, you brooding mountain. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: There really is no block. Grinch storm retros to like Baffin Island and we’re left with this weak sauce ridging south of Greenland for like a week afterward....it’s really after the New Years system that the NAO block tries to build in. That weak sauce ridgiing south of Greenland? A week ago the models had that as a better formed block. Faux NAO blocks go to nothing and now this operational GFS run goes all the way out of 7 January and there’s no sign across conus of any kind of -NAO climate flow whatsoever. I don’t know we just seem to have trouble with any standing NAO in the models and I think a lot of it has to do with velocity saturation in the general ambience of the whole circulation system. I mean it gets amazing to consider the AO It’s so negative… Yet it’s counterpart EPO and NAO domain spaces have trouble formulating blocking... at what point are peoples eyebrows going to raise hello. It appears we are suffering some kind of bizarre anomaly where the AO is very large like it’s going negative but it’s not weak despite collapsing south in latitude ; the flow around the terminus is still very strong and fast and it’s inherently going against curved surfaces so you can’t formulate blocking that way… Fascinating in a not so pleasing way 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 31 minutes ago, weathafella said: I think your 2010-11 call was brilliant. Let’s see what happens. Where's the cowboy hat? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 10 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: That weak sauce ridgiing south of Greenland? A week ago the models had that as a better formed block. Faux NAO blocks go to nothing and now this operational GFS run goes all the way out of 7 January and there’s no sign across conus of any kind of -NAO climate flow whatsoever. I don’t know we just seem to have trouble with any standing NAO in the models and I think a lot of it has to do with velocity saturation in the general ambience of the whole circulation system. I mean it gets amazing to consider the AO It’s so negative… Yet it’s counterpart EPO and NAO domain spaces have trouble formulating blocking... at what point are peoples eyebrows going to raise hello. It appears we are suffering some kind of bizarre anomaly where the AO is very large like it’s going negative but it’s not weak despite collapsing south in latitude ; the flow around the terminus is still very strong and fast and it’s inherently going against curved surfaces so you can’t formulate blocking that way… Fascinating in a not so pleasing way Yeah we’ll see. The post-New Years blocking could fail too, though the signal is a lot stronger than this week ever was...so there’s that going for it. But the GFS run definitely shows us how it could fail...we basically get this block 500-1000 miles south of where we originally hoped, lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 17 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: Where's the cowboy hat? Winter Stetson will have to do..but it won’t upload due to size... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 Sucks but winter is basically done. Probably won't even be able to ice fish this year down here. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 1 hour ago, weathafella said: I think your 2010-11 call was brilliant. Let’s see what happens. Sex machine 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 New Years is a replay of this last storm. Total dumpster fire on the models. Disaster. Maybe by the second week of January the mythical epic pattern will materialize. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 18 minutes ago, PhineasC said: New Years is a replay of this last storm. Total dumpster fire on the models. Disaster. Maybe by the second week of January the mythical epic pattern will materialize. Patience 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 9 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Patience It would be nice if we could just avoid the “atmospheric river” BS while we are waiting patiently. Does this crappy pattern period have to be quite so crappy? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mothman Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 We snooze for a while 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 Merry Christmas, Weenies! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 Yeah GEFS and GEPS looked like a step back in the lr. Hopefully wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 Merry Christmas! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 7 hours ago, PhineasC said: New Years is a replay of this last storm. Total dumpster fire on the models. Disaster. Maybe by the second week of January the mythical epic pattern will materialize. The number of grotesque cutters this year with zero high in Quebec has been quite unique. Usually there’s at least some level of resistance as they eventually cut to the west, but this year, we’ve seen a couple (and seemingly another on NYD) that have free reign to Hudson Bay and Baffin Island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 Nothing to look forward to . As far out as models go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Nothing to look forward to . As far out as models go. Overnight runs were pretty hideous. Even the ensembles weren’t that great. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Overnight runs were pretty hideous. Even the ensembles weren’t that great. The GEFS and GEPS were incredibly ugly all the way out to the end. The EPS wasn’t really any bargain either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Overnight runs were pretty hideous. Even the ensembles weren’t that great. That rat has always been in the back of my mind . I thought maybe we’d avoided it in Dec , with a good month. Should have known Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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