Typhoon Tip Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 On 12/24/2020 at 6:20 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: We're fine...all fairly mild cases. Expand That's the most likely progression of inconvenience the average joe and marry will go through ... I'm assuming covid-19 ? Phones, PC's and televisions ... Oh My!!!! These are the metaphorical lions, tigers and bears of the modernity. They are monsters in surrealism that are presently guiding the modern experience, and perception ( faux) about Nature. It just makes me roll eyes at every turn... Look out the window ( not 'you' per se - I'm musing here) .. that is how fast "IT" is coming get you. Everything else is inside a drama bubble created by humanity that is enabled to do so. There is a truth out there re the spectrum of shit that can come and harm.. of course! But, that reality is eclipsed by the shining light of media histrionics. C-19? It's a flu ... for most, it's inconvenient... for some it's severe... For even less, it is deadly. The media focus on the latter half of this, and there is an insidious(covert) ploy behind doing so. It is a 'soft-conspiracy' when all media works toward the same greed-goal, they end up operating in cooperation though they do not actually arrange or cabal. Rather, happen to be apart of it by convention. That's the softness ... people ( digression ) confuse this form of inadvertenty cooperation as being by functional design - but that's a different issue. Anyway, the general media conglomerate focuses on the dread, because duh - dread sells.. So do fear and sex...etc.. .blah blah.. .we all know that... But they are hiding their gas-lighting for ratings turned into profit intention handling of Pandemia behind a facade of virtue and responsibility, taking advantage of the psychotropic addictive aspect of media stimulation's power ... Hope you feel well soon, Ray. I will tell you... a year ago this last November...about mid month in 2019... I had a progression of symptoms that were text-book C-19 ... This was one month before the Pandemic was officially decreed by WHO and so forth...and the CNN's out there fired up the panic mill ... I have a relative who works in the front line, and she's telling me there's evidence that predates November even ..by months - months! I hadn't had the flu in 20 years... may it was, may it wasn't. But I I was out in a week... Just sayn' 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 24, 2020 Author Share Posted December 24, 2020 On 12/24/2020 at 6:48 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: Cutterville on guidance Expand Yea, I've checked out FTFF. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 On 12/24/2020 at 6:48 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: Cutterville on guidance Expand It gets better in 2021. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 24, 2020 Author Share Posted December 24, 2020 On 12/24/2020 at 7:02 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It gets better in 2021. Expand Give me Dec 2007 over this crap, any year. Take your blocks and shove 'em. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 On 12/24/2020 at 6:52 PM, Typhoon Tip said: That's the most likely progression of inconvenience the average joe and marry will go through ... I'm assuming covid-19 ? Phones, PC's and televisions ... Oh My!!!! These are the metaphorical lions, tigers and bears of the modernity. They are monsters in surrealism that are presently guiding the modern experience, and perception ( faux) about Nature. It just makes me roll eyes at every turn... Look out the window ( not 'you' per se - I'm musing here) .. that is how fast "IT" is coming get you. Everything else is inside a drama bubble created by humanity that is enabled to do so. There is a truth out there re the spectrum of shit that can come and harm.. of course! But, that reality is eclipsed by the shining light of media histrionics. C-19? It's a flu ... for most, it's inconvenient... for some it's severe... For even less, it is deadly. The media focus on the latter half of this, and there is an insidious(covert) ploy behind doing so. It is a 'soft-conspiracy' when all media works toward the same greed-goal, they end up operating in cooperation though they do not actually arrange or cabal. Rather, happen to be apart of it by convention. That's the softness ... people ( digression ) confuse this form of inadvertenty cooperation as being by functional design - but that's a different issue. Anyway, the general media conglomerate focuses on the dread, because duh - dread sells.. So do fear and sex...etc.. .blah blah.. .we all know that... But they are hiding their gas-lighting for ratings turned into profit intention handling of Pandemia behind a facade of virtue and responsibility, taking advantage of the psychotropic addictive aspect of media stimulation's power ... Hope you feel well soon, Ray. I will tell you... a year ago this last November...about mid month in 2019... I had a progression of symptoms that were text-book C-19 ... This was one month before the Pandemic was officially decreed by WHO and so forth...and the CNN's out there fired up the panic mill ... I have a relative who works in the front line, and she's telling me there's evidence that predates November even ..by months - months! I hadn't had the flu in 20 years... may it was, may it wasn't. But I I was out in a week... Just sayn' Expand Being in the ICU covid ward was eye opening to me. Nasty mfer disease. The stories the nurses told me were heartbreaking. No joke. Dying all alone ugh. So many are long haulers too, with lots of symptoms they can't shake. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 On 12/24/2020 at 7:00 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, I've checked out FTFF. Expand We are setting up for a Jan 05 Feb 13 March 18 . I have total faith in thinking this. Hey maybe I am wrong but as I said patience grasshoppers 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 Shut the shades, pour some egg-nog. The lawn thread will become active soon enough. Merry Grinchmas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 24, 2020 Author Share Posted December 24, 2020 On 12/24/2020 at 7:07 PM, Ginx snewx said: We are setting up for a Jan 05 Feb 13 March 18 . I have total faith in thinking this. Hey maybe I am wrong but as I said patience grasshoppers Expand I just mean for the next week to ten days....I've seen enough to not care to join @MJO812 in hoping for miracles. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 On 12/24/2020 at 7:08 PM, moneypitmike said: Shut the shades, pour some egg-nog. The lawn thread will become active soon enough. Merry Grinchmas. Expand 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 On 12/24/2020 at 7:05 PM, Ginx snewx said: Being in the ICU covid ward was eye opening to me. Nasty mfer disease. The stories the nurses told me were heartbreaking. No joke. Dying all alone ugh. So many are long haulers too, with lots of symptoms they can't shake. Expand Yup - for some it is like that... for most, it is not - For the record, ( not that my opinion means jack shit ...) ... I agree that society(s) et al should be masking and distancing, and working on 110% reactor power toward finding vaccines - I've maintained from the get go: why engender all this technological wherewithal and then not use it ...? we can't just sit around on our hands enjoying the spoils of it, while shit's taking lives. That's not gon' work neither. That's terrible macro-morality and feckless as a human culture, and if we do that...we deserve a tomb stone scribed 'opulence' in the rock for aliens to happen by and go, "looks like we got another Fermi Paradox result over here ladies and gentlemen". It's not who we are as a species - so it is hoped... Some are like that but let's not get into that - most aren't. Anyway, I was just op -edding over the mechanizing for profit, and herding of the masses into profit potential ... using fear-sentiments and reactionary/incendiary rhetorical manipulation by big media as the sheep dogs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 On 12/24/2020 at 7:03 PM, MJO812 said: Expand That's a lot better than whatever crap the gfs was dishing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 On 12/24/2020 at 7:23 PM, SnoSki14 said: That's a lot better than whatever crap the gfs was dishing Expand CMC was somewhat similar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 On 12/24/2020 at 7:23 PM, SnoSki14 said: That's a lot better than whatever crap the gfs was dishing Expand Eps shows a nice signal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 For the last couple of days the pattern looks a lot better after New Years. The blocking isn’t really present before that. There was a time where it looked like it may set up a little sooner, but the grinch storm took care of that. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 I still think Jan 5-6 is when we get our next chance at something big, and it won't be rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 On 12/24/2020 at 7:31 PM, 78Blizzard said: I still think Jan 5-6 is when we get our next chance at something big, and it won't be rain. Expand 1996 redux ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 On 12/24/2020 at 7:26 PM, ORH_wxman said: For the last couple of days the pattern looks a lot better after New Years. The blocking isn’t really present before that. There was a time where it looked like it may set up a little sooner, but the grinch storm took care of that. Expand No argument from me ... Not sure about the transition/timing though. Guess that's typical. I'm just not ever trusting or confident in the handling of NAO formats for blocking. That has never been well handled ever ... period. at D7 ...let along 10. It's magnitude, and placement...have disparate verification that don't even appear to be dependent on one another. It could be -1... -3... while, west, neutral or easterly biased... No correlation with one another, and only poorly correlated to whatever mean/guidance ensemble system is sniffing, too. The -AO over-arching is where I side with the "blocking" ... The current AO sell at the GEFs store kicks-in around NYs ... with concerted plummet thereafter. The members run astray toward latter week 2, but for the most part stay negative. The mean appears pretty deep though - around neg 2 or even neg 3. That may be pulling the EPO and NAO's down more so than they are actually negative? Something to consider, because they share domain space in partiality. The operatoonal Euro and GFS .. thru D10 don't really look that negative up there ..they have a ridging, but it appears more subtropical in nature perhaps overlapping the lower domain lip of the NAO space. Not a bona fide -NAO look in the D7-10 for those... That' getting into the first week of Jan so.. I do wonder if the NAO part of this proves a sore butt red herring yet again... And the AO in conjunction with oscillations in the PNAP may parlay better. Either way, no one's gon' give a ratz ass if it's snow off either scenario. lol ...it's like okay, fine make the fugger happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 On 12/24/2020 at 4:48 PM, IowaStorm05 said: Total Tshirt weather today. But I was looking at the NAO and it looks favorable a week plus out! We would just need everything else to Come together Obviously you all are aware of that but I just needed a reason to come say hello! Expand Every time I see your screen name I think of the John Irving book “Hotel New Hampshire” 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 On 12/24/2020 at 7:04 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Give me Dec 2007 over this crap, any year. Take your blocks and shove 'em. Expand Shove this: 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 24, 2020 Author Share Posted December 24, 2020 On 12/24/2020 at 7:59 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Shove this: Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 On 12/24/2020 at 7:19 PM, Typhoon Tip said: Yup - for some it is like that... for most, it is not - For the record, ( not that my opinion means jack shit ...) ... I agree that society(s) et al should be masking and distancing, and working on 110% reactor power toward finding vaccines - I've maintained from the get go: why engender all this technological wherewithal and then not use it ...? we can't just sit around on our hands enjoying the spoils of it, while shit's taking lives. That's not gon' work neither. That's terrible macro-morality and feckless as a human culture, and if we do that...we deserve a tomb stone scribed 'opulence' in the rock for aliens to happen by and go, "looks like we got another Fermi Paradox result over here ladies and gentlemen". It's not who we are as a species - so it is hoped... Some are like that but let's not get into that - most aren't. Anyway, I was just op -edding over the mechanizing for profit, and herding of the masses into profit potential ... using fear-sentiments and reactionary/incendiary rhetorical manipulation by big media as the sheep dogs. Expand Oh I agree about the hype that is MSM no doubt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScituateWX Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 Weeklies? Merry Christmas to all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 On 12/24/2020 at 11:13 PM, ScituateWX said: Weeklies? Merry Christmas to all! Expand Weeks 2 (1/4-1/11) and 3 look really good. Week 3 actually pops a nice +PNA in conjunction with the -NAO. The weeklies do keep the -NAO all the way into clown range (week 6) but those are hardly worth looking at. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 How NYE storm look? Continue the positive trend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 On 12/24/2020 at 11:25 PM, Damage In Tolland said: How NYE storm look? Continue the positive trend? Expand That has looked almost worse every run imho. I don’t expect anything out of that but there’s still some time for a change in the general synoptic look...but it better start soon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 On 12/24/2020 at 11:25 PM, Damage In Tolland said: How NYE storm look? Continue the positive trend? Expand Terrible at 18z across all guidance. It better start looking better soon. Maybe after this current POS passes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 On 12/24/2020 at 11:28 PM, ORH_wxman said: That has looked almost worse every run imho. I don’t expect anything out of that but there’s still some time for a change in the general synoptic look...but it better start soon. Expand That is not good. Thought maybe the block would help trend south 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 On 12/24/2020 at 11:31 PM, PhineasC said: Terrible at 18z across all guidance. It better start looking better soon. Maybe after this current POS passes. Expand Seems like once Jan hits, all hell breaks loose 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 On 12/24/2020 at 11:40 PM, Damage In Tolland said: That is not good. Thought maybe the block would help trend south Expand There really is no block. Grinch storm retros to like Baffin Island and we’re left with this weak sauce ridging south of Greenland for like a week afterward....it’s really after the New Years system that the NAO block tries to build in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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