USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Amazon Author Central - James Nichols 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 GFS will come in good again. Prob not HECS this time but that look is just classic. Nice to have longwave features in place because it provides more wiggle room. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raindancewx Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 18z GFS looks like its getting the boot NE this run well south of CNE/NNE and fringes SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 On 12/10/2020 at 4:49 PM, CTWeatherFreak said: Connecticut valley Jack? Yeah, right Expand its happened before.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 On 12/10/2020 at 8:48 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Oh, agreed. Its not a concern for snowfall. Frankly, if you need 24 to drop over a foot of snow, than then you have some paltry dynamics. Expand Totally unrelated but I had a crash course in this. In the 72 hours ending at 3am this morning, there were 52 hourly obs of snow here in Charlotte and a temp that ranged from 24F to 29F. For a whopping 3.6" of snow. And, a max of 2.9" OTG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 On 12/10/2020 at 10:13 PM, dryslot said: 18z GFS looks like its getting the boot NE this run well south of CNE/NNE and fringes SNE. Expand Congrats ACK. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Gfs is a whiff... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 On 12/10/2020 at 10:10 PM, raindancewx said: Expand Big happenings in my former home, Des Moines!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 On 12/10/2020 at 10:17 PM, Ericjcrash said: Gfs is a whiff... Expand That has a higher prob then a cutter as i mentioned earlier, But anything at this lead should be taken with a grain of salt on OP model runs, Stay with the ensembles. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Looks fine from my vantage point 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 On 12/10/2020 at 10:22 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Looks fine from my vantage point Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJsnow89 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 On 12/10/2020 at 10:17 PM, Ericjcrash said: Gfs is a whiff... Expand Less amplified trend in recent runs 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 On 12/10/2020 at 10:00 PM, Zeus said: Expand Two of the all timers! Zeus and Beetlejuice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 No trend. Just d7 op variance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Radio show? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 On 12/10/2020 at 10:22 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Looks fine from my vantage point Expand I’ll take my chances with that look vs a storm plowing into RI 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 18z icon looked jacked up at 120 hrs hotdog.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Thought it would be better based on upper air at 120-132. Either way, very strong setup. These wiggles will happen. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 On 12/10/2020 at 10:25 PM, dryslot said: Expand 3-6” verbatim in mid December is a win 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 On 12/10/2020 at 10:35 PM, Wentzadelphia said: 18z icon looked jacked up at 120 hrs hotdog.jpg Expand Post it if you can. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 On 12/10/2020 at 10:38 PM, WinterWolf said: Post it if you can. Expand 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 On 12/10/2020 at 10:29 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I’ll take my chances with that look vs a storm plowing into RI Expand Plowing it right up your fanny is desired and preferred. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Watch the 1st wave Gefs is more north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 On 12/10/2020 at 10:54 PM, MJO812 said: Watch the 1st wave Gefs is more north Expand For Monday? Probably a sell . When models have two storms close together, it always turns into one medium to large scale event . There’s not going to be two 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 On 12/10/2020 at 10:36 PM, ORH_wxman said: Thought it would be better based on upper air at 120-132. Either way, very strong setup. These wiggles will happen. Expand Nobody wants to be jacked consistently at this lead time. Just keep the signal there with the features in place and we’ll hyper analyze once this gets inside d4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 The storm for Christmas looks like the much better option actually ... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 On 12/10/2020 at 10:17 PM, Ericjcrash said: Gfs is a whiff... Expand you are over reacting to the 18z GFS 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 AT THIS RANGE THE ONLY THING THAT MATTERS ARE ensembles and does the op run MATCH the ensemble mean ( or close to it ) 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 On 12/10/2020 at 8:19 PM, CoastalWx said: Nothing wrong with a 6-10" deal either. It's like all or nothing these days. Expand I was just musing about this at work the other day.....a geologist brought it up on a call......"do you remember when we used to get 1-3" of snow. Now we either get 12" or nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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