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December 2020 Discussion


40/70 Benchmark
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  On 12/10/2020 at 10:36 AM, Wentzadelphia said:

I believe with the block and the 50/50 low this storm will trend farther south as we move closer. Aka it will be colder. Think this is the first philly to Boston storm of the year. Well see

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Don't for get the RNA....should be a mainly NE deal.

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  On 12/10/2020 at 11:49 AM, Mothman said:

That CAD idea this weekend has legs....and hmmm, I'll be damned but...the models pretty much giving us the goods. Looks like we could get something significant before the solstice. 

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Could? If we do not, them something is tragically wrong.

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  On 12/10/2020 at 12:10 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Call me a grinch, but I’m not overly excited about the next week to 10 days. Any one of those SW could easily end up as a Rainer for a good chunk of SNE, as some models show.

I’d feel a lot better if I was north of like Southern NH and Vermont for these.

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I think you are too pessimistic.

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  On 12/10/2020 at 12:35 PM, CoastalWx said:

Not sure what people are expecting, but it looks active with certainly some wintry chances in the northeast. It's called climo. Favored areas are N and W in December. However, it doesn't mean we all can't see something over the next couple of weeks. It looks better than it did a week ago IMO. Does it mean we score? No, it does not guarantee anything...but it's better than many December looks we've had previously.

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This pattern looks somewhat better than climo to me.

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  On 12/10/2020 at 1:32 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

NBD if it 40-45. More coming next week 

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You'll prob keep at least some of the pack in the non-torch spots where the afternoon sun doesn't hit it.

But regardless, there's a good chance we reload next week. I think we're going to hit on one of these threats over the next 10-12 days.

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  On 12/10/2020 at 1:38 PM, CoastalWx said:

I just meant that the chances are naturally better N and W. I think people believe a good pattern is snow from BTV to ACK. That isn't always the case.

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Yea, I guess the distribution may be redolent of climo, but I think the ceiling is significantly higher..especially over SNE.

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  On 12/10/2020 at 1:39 PM, ORH_wxman said:

You'll prob keep at least some of the pack in the non-torch spots where the afternoon sun doesn't hit it.

But regardless, there's a good chance we reload next week. I think we're going to hit on one of these threats over the next 10-12 days.

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Completely agree.

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  On 12/10/2020 at 1:45 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, I guess the distribution may be redolent of climo, but I think the ceiling is significantly higher..especially over SNE.

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I agree...but there's gonna be some that bitch if they don't have a foot OTG by Christmas. I'm optimistic going forward through the end of the month.

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  On 12/10/2020 at 1:39 PM, ORH_wxman said:

You'll prob keep at least some of the pack in the non-torch spots where the afternoon sun doesn't hit it.

But regardless, there's a good chance we reload next week. I think we're going to hit on one of these threats over the next 10-12 days.

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Scooter does all he can to have it melt. He can’t stand it when there’s pack and his is bare. I know how he works so I know why he’s posting that 

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