Heisy Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 3 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said: how does it compare to weatherbell and other paid sites? Does it have UKMET 6hr qpf/mslp panels? i also relaly miss the soundings for the ECMWF on pivotal its behind a paywall now. You also get the 6z 18z euro which pivotal doesn’t have yet. I love stormvistas interface for some reason. Images load faster etc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 NAM has the back door down into NYC this weekend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 6 hours ago, MJO812 said: Trough isn't negative titled at all Cmc is a huge snowstorm for interior areas and all rain for coastal sections except for new england. CMC is a fairly long duration, strung out system. Looks nice...but they tend to consolidate like the ICON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 53 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: I believe with the block and the 50/50 low this storm will trend farther south as we move closer. Aka it will be colder. Think this is the first philly to Boston storm of the year. Well see We lose the PNA so there'll be a tendency for storms to cut. That's guaranteed if the Atlantic blocking isn't as strong as forecast though the progressive nature of the Pacific driven pattern could offset that to an extent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 8 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said: Id also rather have 4 6" events than one 24" event. Say for the month of December. I think most in NYC would agree that 15-16 was a shit winter and they got a lot more than average from one storm, but i dont think theyd be saying that if they got like a few small events in december, jan and feb spread out mostly evenly. I think most in NYC would agree that most winters are shit winters. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mothman Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 That CAD idea this weekend has legs....and hmmm, I'll be damned but...the models pretty much giving us the goods. Looks like we could get something significant before the solstice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 5 hours ago, MJO812 said: Not really I'd lock that in a second. That's my whole winter of '19-'20 with inches to spare! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 14 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: I think most in NYC would agree that most winters are shit winters. Eh not really. You live in a snowier area than we do so I see why you think like that. A shit winter for NYC is 20” or less Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 CAD signal is fairly weak. A cool rain and warm weather Sunday south of the pike. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: CAD signal is fairly weak. A cool rain and warm weather Sunday south of the pike. Yeah.... I was going to say.... it’s a rainstorm. I’m not sure why people are holding out hope they’ll be glazed up... ain’t happening. Accept and move on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Call me a grinch, but I’m not overly excited about the next week to 10 days. Any one of those SW could easily end up as a Rainer for a good chunk of SNE, as some models show. I’d feel a lot better if I was north of like Southern NH and Vermont for these. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 I thought this was the New England forum, not NY. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Yeah.... I was going to say.... it’s a rainstorm. I’m not sure why people are holding out hope they’ll be glazed up... ain’t happening. Accept and move on. Agree...it's not even what I consider a classic CAD setup. Maybe for NH & ME, sure but for MA not seeing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 6z euro at 90 hours is more robust with that follow up event. It is also diving the northern branch farther south which could end up phasing. Imo the stronger this first event trends the better cold air in place for the day 7 event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 At 90 hours there’s almost a phase on the 6z euro while the 00z euro had the 2 branches well apart. 12z could be very interesting if this trend continues. I’m a bit low confidence on cold air being available for coastal plain on the mid week storm, but the end of the week storm different story maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 23 minutes ago, Hoth said: I'd lock that in a second. That's my whole winter of '19-'20 with inches to spare! All downhill from here. Getting jacked at d7 is no beuno. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 It’s an active pattern though but favored for the interior. Gfs tries to deliver a Christmas miracle. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 7 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: At 90 hours there’s almost a phase on the 6z euro while the 00z euro had the 2 branches well apart. 12z could be very interesting if this trend continues. I’m a bit low confidence on cold air being available for coastal plain on the mid week storm, but the end of the week storm different story maybe. Hurtzadelphia? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Oooooohhhh its highzenberg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Hurtzadelphia? Haha I want to go back to my original username, icez, but I forget how to change usernames. 6z Eps should be interesting with those changes at H5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 21 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Call me a grinch, but I’m not overly excited about the next week to 10 days. Any one of those SW could easily end up as a Rainer for a good chunk of SNE, as some models show. I’d feel a lot better if I was north of like Southern NH and Vermont for these. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 19 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Call me a grinch, but I’m not overly excited about the next week to 10 days. Any one of those SW could easily end up as a Rainer for a good chunk of SNE, as some models show. I’d feel a lot better if I was north of like Southern NH and Vermont for these. The stars are more aligned for SNE, specifically for EMA, when the TBlizz index is negative. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Not sure what people are expecting, but it looks active with certainly some wintry chances in the northeast. It's called climo. Favored areas are N and W in December. However, it doesn't mean we all can't see something over the next couple of weeks. It looks better than it did a week ago IMO. Does it mean we score? No, it does not guarantee anything...but it's better than many December looks we've had previously. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: The stars are more aligned for SNE, specifically for EMA, when the TBlizz index is negative. Must be poo smelling well water again. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 ICON the dark horse 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 8 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Today was the most snow we’ve had in Greenfield since October 30 .25” Yay! Damn.....you need to move left or right bro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Not sure what people are expecting, but it looks active with certainly some wintry chances in the northeast. It's called climo. Favored areas are N and W in December. However, it doesn't mean we all can't see something over the next couple of weeks. It looks better than it did a week ago IMO. Does it mean we score? No, it does not guarantee anything...but it's better than many December looks we've had previously. For sure. I had a few days off but earlier this week it wasn't looking as good as it does now for second half of the month. Trending in the right direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: NAM has the back door down into NYC this weekend Really jealous of your 50s on Sunday. Wish we could melt out a bit too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Just now, dendrite said: Really jealous of your 50s on Sunday. Wish we could melt out a bit too. Ouch. Dagger in Tolland. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 15 minutes ago, Whineminster said: Damn.....you need to move left or right bro. West of here has not fared much better. Your yard has probably had 3x the Berkshires. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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