UnitedWx Posted December 8, 2020 Share Posted December 8, 2020 35 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: Freezing drizzle in Windham County in CT into Worcester County. Multiple accidents along I 395 from Auburn Ma to Plainfield CT Just heard about this on the way in, be careful everyone. Clear over here in the valley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 8, 2020 Share Posted December 8, 2020 It's happening James! OES on the Cape this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 8, 2020 Share Posted December 8, 2020 Freezing drizzle disaster 26⁰ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 8, 2020 Share Posted December 8, 2020 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Freezing drizzle disaster 26⁰ Yeah--everything's glazed up. Sander went by earlier. I suspect a challenging walk of the dog this morning (going down a very steep hill). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 8, 2020 Share Posted December 8, 2020 2 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Yeah--everything's glazed up. Sander went by earlier. I suspect a challenging walk of the dog this morning (going down a very steep hill). Multiple accidents on 395 and 95. Side roads are pure ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 8, 2020 Share Posted December 8, 2020 Woke up to about a half inch here. We’re on the board for 20-21! 0.5” new 0.5” season to date 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 8, 2020 Author Share Posted December 8, 2020 5 hours ago, weathafella said: 1955-56. Biggest March of my life There are exceptions...but odds are against it, especially with a moderate to strong peak. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 8, 2020 Author Share Posted December 8, 2020 5 hours ago, raindancewx said: I am pretty optimistic for you guys for March. My NAO indicator seems to have worked at least a little bit for December, with the index at least nominally negative. I think the blend I had said -0.2 for December. It had March more negative than December. Nino 4 has been following 2007 (but warmer) all year. If it continues to do that, you do have a strong wet signal for the Ohio Valley in February, and then a weak wet signal for New England. Should still be cold enough for a lot of snow. Nino 4 is likely to finish Dec/Jan the coldest it has been in 5-10 years, maybe more. The warm signal from a cold Nino 4 January doesn't really extend into all of New England either in February. It took until Dec/Jan but the 2007-08 La Nina did see Nino 4 eventually drop below 27.0C, which is very cold for that area, even by 1951-2010 averages. It should happen in the next six weeks. You'll know the effect has kicked in if you see a big snowstorm in say, Kentucky, in mid-January or February. Also a cold signal for you guys in Spring. The correlations aren't super strong, but with Nino 4 set to run ~2C colder in the next few months compared to last year, it should have a big imprint on the patterns. We're not getting jack out here once the Spring correlations kick in, winter is less of an issue though Yea, I have some hope for March, but I am not crazy about the big JFM idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted December 8, 2020 Share Posted December 8, 2020 1 hour ago, Modfan2 said: Freezing drizzle in Windham County in CT into Worcester County. Multiple accidents along I 395 from Auburn Ma to Plainfield CT Sheer ice in spots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2020 Share Posted December 8, 2020 Dusting here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScituateWX Posted December 8, 2020 Share Posted December 8, 2020 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Nice little OES in Plymouth county. Probably 1-2” in a narrow band. Solid here in Cohasset nice wintery appeal for today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 8, 2020 Share Posted December 8, 2020 22 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Dusting here. ditto Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2020 Share Posted December 8, 2020 Might get a little wedgy Saturday night and perhaps icy in NNE. Think just a cold rain elsewhere if the euro is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 8, 2020 Share Posted December 8, 2020 On 12/6/2020 at 3:04 PM, WinterWolf said: I was 9, and would turn 10 about 5 wks later when the Blizzard of 78 hit. That was a very good winter obviously. The 80’s had a lot of suck..but there were some bright spots too thrown in. April of 82, Feb of 83, March of 84 just to name a few brighter spots. Thanksgiving of 89 had a nice snowstorm. Funny you mention that Thanksgiving storm. We were on the Cape in Truro for Thanksgiving. (was James around then?) I remember waking up and hearing a prediction for a dusting to an inch or two. All through the day the forecasters couldn't keep up...we ended up with 17 inches! It was so surreal seeing as before that we had only been to the cape in the summer. And the april '82 I was 12 and babysitting our neighbors house. First adult responsibility and I locked the keys in the house. I trudged through 18 inches of snow and found an unlocked window to sneak in! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2020 Share Posted December 8, 2020 I'm still meh on the long range. Might be a window near mid month for 1-2 events to break right...but nothing really imminent or eye opening. Optimistic view is to hope something is timed right, but reality is to also accept it may stink. Not a fan of the EPS look. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 8, 2020 Share Posted December 8, 2020 23 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Might get a little wedgy Saturday night and perhaps icy in NNE. Think just a cold rain elsewhere if the euro is right. Does it still furnace to 60 Sunday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2020 Share Posted December 8, 2020 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Does it still furnace to 60 Sunday? Maybe 50? Tough to say, it would be a prolonged wet event though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2020 Share Posted December 8, 2020 I would just watch the weekends trends, especially up north. Maybe interior SNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2020 Share Posted December 8, 2020 Full fledged ice storm on the 6z EPS in central and northern New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 8, 2020 Share Posted December 8, 2020 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Full fledged ice storm on the 6z EPS in central and northern New England. Phin will be angry to miss that. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted December 8, 2020 Share Posted December 8, 2020 Dawn has Awoken to some nice OES here in Onset. About an inch of fluff, wet roads. Coming down nicely 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 8, 2020 Share Posted December 8, 2020 14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Full fledged ice storm on the 6z EPS in central and northern New England. Wow really? That will be an ORH special again and I’ll be 34 rain . Locked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 8, 2020 Share Posted December 8, 2020 That weekend deal is coming in flatter and flatter each run....the arctic does kind of support stuff trending colder with that...lot of blocking up there right now, so wouldn't be surprised to see further PV lobe pushes south. Below is the 06z EPS at 96 hours. I marked the ridges/blocks in the arctic/subarctic regions that will be important and then the PV lobe that may impact any potential for colder solutions.....we want to force that a bit further south. It has trended steadily south in the past 4 or 5 runs. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 8, 2020 Author Share Posted December 8, 2020 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Wow really? That will be an ORH special again and I’ll be 34 rain . Locked CNE implies N of ORH to me....I take that as Bershires through Monadkocks and SNH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 8, 2020 Share Posted December 8, 2020 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: That weekend deal is coming in flatter and flatter each run....the arctic does kind of support stuff trending colder with that...lot of blocking up there right now, so wouldn't be surprised to see further PV lobe pushes south. Below is the 06z EPS at 96 hours. I marked the ridges/blocks in the arctic/subarctic regions that will be important and then the PV lobe that may impact any potential for colder solutions.....we want to force that a bit further south. It has trended steadily south in the past 4 or 5 runs. I will be in MD, but the weekend deal on the Euro looks more like snow to ice to snow here now versus a driving rainstorm. Some sleet and ZR would definitely create a pack glacier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 8, 2020 Author Share Posted December 8, 2020 Latitude > elevation this weekend. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 8, 2020 Share Posted December 8, 2020 Just now, PhineasC said: I will be in MD, but the weekend deal on the Euro looks more like snow to ice to snow here now versus a driving rainstorm. Some sleet and ZR would definitely create a pack glacier. I fully expect NNE to be locked into the cold at the surface in this one now....the only question iswhether the cold is deep enough so that it is more snow versus more sleet/ZR. Maybe the trend will reverse, but we've seen this movie many times. It will keep trending colder before it does the classic SWFE bump back north inside of 48 or 60 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 8, 2020 Share Posted December 8, 2020 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: CNE implies N of ORH to me....I take that as Bershires through Monadkocks and SNH. If there’s going to be an icestorm ORH will be in the thick of it . Iron clad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 8, 2020 Author Share Posted December 8, 2020 Just now, ORH_wxman said: I fully expect NNE to be locked into the cold at the surface in this one now....the only question iswhether the cold is deep enough so that it is more snow versus more sleet/ZR. Maybe the trend will reverse, but we've seen this movie many times. It will keep trending colder before it does the classic SWFE bump back north inside of 48 or 60 hours. Yea....expect this to be the theme of December. People are expecting 50's and driving rains wondering what happened once a winter storm is imminent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 8, 2020 Author Share Posted December 8, 2020 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: If there’s going to be an icestorm ORH will be in the thick of it . Iron clad Not doubting that. I am just speaking to my interpretation of CNE, which ORH is not. Doesn't matter, anyway because trend is likely not done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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