Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,611
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    NH8550
    Newest Member
    NH8550
    Joined

December 2020 Discussion


40/70 Benchmark
 Share

Recommended Posts

3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Hope you are feeling better Ginx

The run to run model consistency makes me feel good all over

One day at a time Dave, thanks. That run is pretty cool and in the windshield wash zone now. So its a 975 up the Hudson to a 975 BM slider. We zone in day by day

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

You know ...there may be a fascinating story-line evolving with this particular "winter" storm - ... 

Usually, it comes down to storm track as to whether x or a location gets it, and what ... 

This?  

We may nail down the track guidance surprisingly well ...and still have to now-cast our way through ( specifically ...) whether dynamics succeed in flipping over to snow, and that's a damn peculiar and uneasy metric to have to rely on the model accuracy for I'll tell ya - ...

I mean, we've seen supposed paltry ( modeled ) systems go over the parachutes at 38...

We've seen CCB heads "unjustly" stay cat paws while level 3 green rad slabs away midst 35 F 

I can't recall ..I think it was five years ago 6 years ago Feb 2014 ...but there was a coastal with the Euro had a nice CCB head at 33 F and it stayed rain - in fact I think it busted the model by doing so...  

Anyway, this may end up a unique metrical challenge for NWS Box if they have to decide on Adv/warn or nill based more solely on thermodynamic accuracy

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

Looks earlier than all other models. Ideal run for SNE ORH west

Yeah but it's been later and later on each euro run for the past 3-4 runs. At some point the trend will stop. Hopefully it goes one more tick and then stops, lol.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...