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December 2020 Discussion


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  On 12/2/2020 at 6:22 PM, Whineminster said:

Well we all know if it doesn't mean snow for Methuen then it's a garbage track and storm and we all should just stop posting about it. :ph34r:

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If that exact solution evolved, then I'd probably post more about it than I would if it jackpotted me.

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You know ...there may be a fascinating story-line evolving with this particular "winter" storm - ... 

Usually, it comes down to storm track as to whether x or a location gets it, and what ... 

This?  

We may nail down the track guidance surprisingly well ...and still have to now-cast our way through ( specifically ...) whether dynamics succeed in flipping over to snow, and that's a damn peculiar and uneasy metric to have to rely on the model accuracy for I'll tell ya - ...

I mean, we've seen supposed paltry ( modeled ) systems go over the parachutes at 38...

We've seen CCB heads "unjustly" stay cat paws while level 3 green rad slabs away midst 35 F 

I can't recall ..I think it was five years ago 6 years ago Feb 2014 ...but there was a coastal with the Euro had a nice CCB head at 33 F and it stayed rain - in fact I think it busted the model by doing so...  

Anyway, this may end up a unique metrical challenge for NWS Box if they have to decide on Adv/warn or nill based more solely on thermodynamic accuracy

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