MJO812 Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: 12z GFS pretty much a whiff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 GFS takes the srn stream s/w and just scoots due east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 Actually mid levels throw some love here in the form of a flip to snow in interior SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 Ya that NAM was a pipe dream. I’m fine with a whiff if it’s not gonna be interesting. We’ve had enough rain fir a while here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 I’ll take a middling solution for $1000 Alex. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 1 minute ago, dryslot said: 12z GFS pretty much a whiff. It will come back, and then go away again. Then . . . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 Late tug back NW as it develops late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 GFS has a very warm 850ish layer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 Just now, tamarack said: It will come back, and then go away again. Then . . . ...somehow find a way to jackpot Weymouth, leaving Methuen in -SN exhaust. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Ya that NAM was a pipe dream. I’m fine with a whiff if it’s not gonna be interesting. We’ve had enough rain fir a while here. Nam and Euro ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 2 GFS whiffs in a row... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 GFS CAA at 925 in this as it passes east, but warms at 850. Seems strange. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 That was an odd development and track at the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: GFS takes the srn stream s/w and just scoots due east. Quick assessment ...it's purely phasing proficiency - GFS has less in that regard than every other guidance ... that I've seen - and that includes the non traditional bag guidance types...like the Brazilian - heh... Seriously though... I "think" ( less than certain ) that since the GFS seems to carry on with a speed/velocity issue most of the time, that model inherently favors destructive interference more so than the constructive side ? It's like it's "synergy" packaging is always blowing stream interaction asunder and ending up with inharmonics there in... In this case, you can see the SE Canadia N/stream is just simply evacuating E and leaving the S/stream cannon ball sitting in cafe' stood up, wondering what he done wrong to turn her desire away... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 2, 2020 Author Share Posted December 2, 2020 5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Ya that NAM was a pipe dream. I’m fine with a whiff if it’s not gonna be interesting. We’ve had enough rain fir a while here. I don't think that the GFS is phased enough. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Revenge of runnawayiceberg against all the E MA peeps whole have been stealing his snow for years. Not happenning friend. When the nammy jacks you, you know you’re dead to rights. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 2, 2020 Author Share Posted December 2, 2020 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Quick assessment ...it's purely phasing proficiency - GFS has less in that regard than every other guidance ... that I've seen - and that includes the non traditional bag guidance types...like the Brazilian - heh... Seriously though... I "think" ( less than certain ) that since the GFS seems to carry on with a speed/velocity issue most of the time, that model inherently favors destructive interference more so than the constructive side ? It's like it's "synergy" packaging is always blowing stream interaction asunder and ending up with inharmonics there in... In this case, you can see the SE Canadia N/stream is just simply evacuating E and leaving the S/stream cannon ball sitting in cafe' stoop up, wondering what he done wrong to turn her desire away... Yea, same page. Question is how much of a compromise with respect to degree of phasing...my guess is that it will phase, but later than the NAM/EURO scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Not happenning friend. When the nammy jacks you, you know you’re dead to rights. Only time you want a NAM jackpot is less than 24 hours out, preferably 12 hours out to be safe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 2, 2020 Author Share Posted December 2, 2020 I like interior Maine most in this situation. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 Cmc is coming in further east compared to 0z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 12 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Ya that NAM was a pipe dream. I’m fine with a whiff if it’s not gonna be interesting. We’ve had enough rain fir a while here. The 18z nammy will be congrats James or congrats PF. Close thy eyes, spin the bottle, and see who it rubs one out for next. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 The thrill of the chase. This is what it’s all about. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 Yeah, at the edge of my seat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: The thrill of the chase. This is what it’s all about. Agree. Always love the chase but the boy gets tired when constant chases end in repeated blue balls. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 I wouldn’t be chasing either on the ocean in SE Mass 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah, at the edge of my seat. Lean forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 for that matter ... the entire GFS run ..right out to D7 is one constant parade of stream/ destructive wave-spacing interference ... sort of ends up with moderate cold ...unrealized PNA otherwise. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: for that matter ... the entire GFS run ..right out to D7 is one constant parade of stream/ destructive wave-spacing interference ... sort of ends up with moderate cold ...unrealized PNA otherwise. Yeah, I expect a break for several days before something maybe later second week or beyond. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 Congrats St Agatha on the GGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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