40/70 Benchmark Posted December 2, 2020 Author Share Posted December 2, 2020 What a horrific solution, which thankfully is on the longer range NAM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston Bulldog Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 NAM doing NAM things. Would be an understatement to say it's wise to short that solution. Howeva, might have to plan an escape up to Sunapee this weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: What a horrific solution, which thankfully is on the longer range NAM. Ginxy flip to snow, while you rain? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: What a horrific solution, which thankfully is on the longer range NAM. Yeah, I’m all set with the storms that snow down. To Atlanta on the west side while it rains here and the rest of eastern New England 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: What a horrific solution, which thankfully is on the longer range NAM. From a whiff to a nuke in 6 hrs lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Yeah, I’m all set with the storms that snow down. To Atlanta on the west side while it rains here and the rest of eastern New England AEMATT! It’s so early in the season that I won’t be too upset if it panned out like the NAM shows. In a month, I’ll be more annoyed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 2, 2020 Author Share Posted December 2, 2020 Just now, WxWatcher007 said: Ray joining Phin on the edge of the bridge by the weekend? Dec 96 2.0 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 Just now, WxWatcher007 said: Ray joining Phin on the edge of the bridge by the weekend? Gotta love the models. When I went to bed, I was cursing the Euro, now I’m rooting for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 Snows is coming y’all’s 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 Nothing says that doesn't end up that way either, Lot of moving parts and depending on where the phase happens will determine the eventual track and i think its going to take more time to figure this out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 wouldn't be a bad solution for winter enthusiast in later innings *IF* that capture is more proficient, because that's probably a frame away from a slow down or even stall while that wind max curls under. The low does seem to ride across the jet axis ... and ends up on the left entrance/mid stream region of the mlv wind max.. That's what happens during capture scenarios. Here it's going through the motions but the movie ends at 84 hours so don't know what came next - lol ...Anyway, once lows get caught in that region of the trough, they tend to slow down as captures do - . Anyway, pretending for a moment that a slightly more proficient undercutting wind max does in fact take place, the whole column probably flashes to snow as that's typically when the rain snow line does that rapid collapse SE - right when that happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 I just saw the NAM. Good ‘ol NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 A few flakes in the air here today... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 Revenge of runnawayiceberg against all the E MA peeps whole have been stealing his snow for years. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 I like the flip to sleet and rain In Randolph NH while New Haven snows. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Revenge of runnawayiceberg against all the E MA peeps whole have been stealing his snow for years. He literally has dreams of this. I could see this solution coming up and then he's crossing out lists of people to kill in EMASS, like Steve Buscemi did on Billy Madison. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Revenge of runnawayiceberg against all the E MA peeps whole have been stealing his snow for years. yes please...I am like 4-5 miles NW of him, sitting in the valley here though might not bode so well for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 This statement oughta lassou some enthusiasts... ...as far as I'm aware, the NAM has a NW bias - particularly beyond 36 hours ... - with western Atlantic/near-by coastal cyclogenesis scenarios. Assuming it's even right about the rapid deepening to and likely beneath 980ness of this thing going by Boston Light/Logan like that... a notion more up the Islands/arm of the Cape fits a plausible correction - Which concomitantly means that it's probably a flipping to a colder profile scenario in the interior eastern CT/NW RI, sooner - To say nothing of the fact that it is entirely f'ing ludicrous to spend this much time on any NAM solution much beyond 30 hours in the first place - 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: He literally has dreams of this. I could see this solution coming up and then he's crossing out lists of people to kill in EMASS, like Steve Buscemi did on Billy Madison. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 Deets TBD , but this ones gonna be a longitude storm . West best 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 I’ll take my 15.5” and run! Lol. Kind of like Feb 2010..when it was a full on blizzard in NYC...and everything Northeast was pouring rain. Except this gets more of western SNE as depicted. Very low probability of that..NAM is tripping as usual. Nonetheless entertaining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Deets TBD , but this ones gonna be a longitude storm . West best Just like the last one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: This statement oughta lassou some enthusiasts... ...as far as I'm aware, the NAM has a NW bias - particularly beyond 36 hours ... - with western Atlantic/near-by coastal cyclogenesis scenarios. Assuming it's even right about the rapid deepening to and likely beneath 980ness of this thing going by Boston Light/Logan like that... a notion more up the Islands/arm of the Cape fits a plausible correction - Which concomitantly means that it's probably a flipping to a colder profile scenario in the interior eastern CT/NW RI, sooner - To say nothing of the fact that it is entirely f'ing ludicrous to spend this much time on any NAM solution much beyond 30 hours in the first place - Yeah I don't think anyone is actually taking this solution that seriously....all one has to do is look at the last 3-4 model runs of any piece of guidance to see how much flip-flopping is going on. I do agree with you that it could be too warm given that type of dynamic solution....I feel like the atmosphere is basically imploding over BID into Buzzards Bay and PYM....that prob collapses the S+ almost to BOS in that scenario....even a model like the NAM prob couldn't resolve that type of mico-nuke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Revenge of runnawayiceberg against all the E MA peeps whole have been stealing his snow for years. revenge of the Millenium storm, super lite edition Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: I’ll take my 15.5” and run! Lol. Kind of like Feb 2010..when it was a full on blizzard in NYC...and everything Northeast was pouring rain. Except this gets more of western SNE as depicted. Very low probability of that..NAM is tripping as usual. Nonetheless entertaining. I was thinking of that and/or the Millenium storm, super lite version. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 28 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That is a hell of a bomb. It has srfc wind vectors practically pointing into the low center. I don't know what to make of it. Looks like it's about to cut over my head...Might be making a stop in Rutland if this keeps up, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 25 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: What a horrific solution, which thankfully is on the longer range NAM. Resembles the 6z Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Deets TBD , but this ones gonna be a longitude storm . West best And they will change, many times. Morning GFS op was east, a near whiff. Seems likely, as I had the snows put on the pickup this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 NAM is often a crowd-pleaser. Still time for even zanier runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: I don't know what to make of it. Looks like it's about to cut over my head...Might be making a stop in Rutland if this keeps up, lol I wouldn't make any plans off that. Hell if we still have disagreement at 12z, I wouldn't make any decision yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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