40/70 Benchmark Posted December 1, 2020 Author Share Posted December 1, 2020 11 minutes ago, FRWEATHA said: Would love to see a repeat of this storm. Very impactful and memorable storm down here. Wind stayed N and NNW avoiding any changeover. https://www.nytimes.com/1981/12/07/us/unpredicted-storm-brings-new-england-up-to-2-feet-of-snow.html My memory was that winter was good overall here and great for CNE and NNE. Had the early April blizzard too. Sent from my iPhone That is the one that gave my area 18" and ORH like 5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 Cold front finally arrived from Georgia. Gusting again and temp finally into the upper 40s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 jesus... just when we're ready to pull the trigger on tossing accolades at the GFS ...it immediately puts out a cycle that looks like they detonated an a-bomb on the mother board of the Cray stack Firstly, it's not going to success in evacuating that intense N/stream arced flow over Ontario just in convenient time to take that stupid thing that far NW like that... too much mass displacement - .. It's almost like they deliberate parameterized the GFS not to phase - ..it's progressive bias just kills it... I saw the NAM and thought well...there's the Euro nod ...then the GFS seems to purposefully do odd whole-scale things to avoid it lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 Let's go 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 It’s a screamer. Time to move on to the next butt banger 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: At least it’s better than discussing a yawning drought and that Dave guy over and over again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 32 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That is the one that gave my area 18" and ORH like 5". No, you’re thinking of 12/29/76. 12/5-6/81 gave ORH like 10-11”. E MA was the jackpot though for sure. Just not quite the obscene gradient as the ‘76 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: No, you’re thinking of 12/29/76. 12/5-6/81 gave ORH like 10-11”. E MA was the jackpot though for sure. Just not quite the obscene gradient as the ‘76 storm. What was the Enso state the 81-82 winter?? I know you have written about 75-76 as being similar to this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 Dr Dewstein post hr 300 cutters............lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 16 minutes ago, FRWEATHA said: What was the Enso state the 81-82 winter?? I know you have written about 75-76 as being similar to this year. Neutral. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 8 minutes ago, dryslot said: Dr Dewstein post hr 300 cutters............lol What a troller that one is. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 59 in Caribou right now and 35 in Gainsville, FL. Wild 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 18z Euro, SLP right over phins head in MD on 12/5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 Euro is even more amped at 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Euro is even more amped at 18z Need maps. One mans over amped is another's perfection. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Euro is even more amped at 18z May end up tracking west of yesterday’s. That’s initially where models had it last week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 2 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Need maps. One mans over amped is another's perfection. 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: May end up tracking west of yesterday’s. That’s initially where models had it last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 12 minutes ago, dryslot said: 18z Euro, SLP right over phins head in MD on 12/5. Another terrible run. Amazing how quickly the models turn gold into garbage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 Just now, PhineasC said: Another terrible run. Amazing how quickly the models turn gold into garbage. This one on the 5th is more of a thread the needle with a marginal air mass in place, I would prefer the follow up wave on the 7/8th with a slightly better air mass if we had a choice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 9 minutes ago, dryslot said: This one on the 5th is more of a thread the needle with a marginal air mass in place, I would prefer the follow up wave on the 7/8th with a slightly better air mass if we had a choice. We want the first to cut way west if you want baroclinic zone close to coast for that one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: We want the first to cut way west if you want baroclinic zone close to coast for that one It won't get far enough west, It will be west enough to just fuk up the next one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: We want the first to cut way west if you want baroclinic zone close to coast for that one The 7th-8th event is probably a non-event if 12/5 phases like we’re seeing on the euro now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 Just now, dryslot said: It won't get far enough west, It will be west enough to just fuk up the next one. West enough to rain on all of us followed by out to sea sounds about right. Any chance 12/7 turns into a blizzard for Norfolk? That would just feel right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 Just now, PhineasC said: West enough to rain on all of us followed by out to sea sounds about right. Any chance 12/7 turns into a blizzard for Norfolk? That would just feel right. The most likely outcome as it stands, Lets get this to trend east some so at least the NW areas up here can salvage something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 30 minutes ago, MJO812 said: 96 would've been more telling for me, but that's enough to see it's a disaster. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: All he brings to the table is a toxic blend of confusion and weenies. And when I saw the thank you-I’m thinking-Wolfie. I’m good! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 4 minutes ago, PhineasC said: West enough to rain on all of us followed by out to sea sounds about right. Any chance 12/7 turns into a blizzard for Norfolk? That would just feel right. At least you’re prob getting good upslope behind the 12/5 system. More favorable look than the trash this current system will give. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 I would be wary still of the euro being overamped at this range as it seems to be consistently the last 5 years. It was insanely overamped with tomorrow's evolution of this very system over OK/TX 3 days ago and has since gone the other way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 Just now, SnowGoose69 said: I would be wary still of the euro being overamped at this range as it seems to be consistently the last 5 years. It was insanely overamped with tomorrow's evolution of this very system over OK/TX 3 days ago and has since gone the other way. We will see if the others cave to it tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 18z EPS still a little less amped? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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