40/70 Benchmark Posted December 1, 2020 Author Share Posted December 1, 2020 On 12/1/2020 at 10:40 PM, FRWEATHA said: Would love to see a repeat of this storm. Very impactful and memorable storm down here. Wind stayed N and NNW avoiding any changeover. https://www.nytimes.com/1981/12/07/us/unpredicted-storm-brings-new-england-up-to-2-feet-of-snow.html My memory was that winter was good overall here and great for CNE and NNE. Had the early April blizzard too. Sent from my iPhone Expand That is the one that gave my area 18" and ORH like 5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 Cold front finally arrived from Georgia. Gusting again and temp finally into the upper 40s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 jesus... just when we're ready to pull the trigger on tossing accolades at the GFS ...it immediately puts out a cycle that looks like they detonated an a-bomb on the mother board of the Cray stack Firstly, it's not going to success in evacuating that intense N/stream arced flow over Ontario just in convenient time to take that stupid thing that far NW like that... too much mass displacement - .. It's almost like they deliberate parameterized the GFS not to phase - ..it's progressive bias just kills it... I saw the NAM and thought well...there's the Euro nod ...then the GFS seems to purposefully do odd whole-scale things to avoid it lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 Let's go 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 It’s a screamer. Time to move on to the next butt banger 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 On 12/1/2020 at 10:05 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: At least it’s better than discussing a yawning drought and that Dave guy over and over again. Expand 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 On 12/1/2020 at 10:52 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: That is the one that gave my area 18" and ORH like 5". Expand No, you’re thinking of 12/29/76. 12/5-6/81 gave ORH like 10-11”. E MA was the jackpot though for sure. Just not quite the obscene gradient as the ‘76 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 On 12/1/2020 at 11:26 PM, ORH_wxman said: No, you’re thinking of 12/29/76. 12/5-6/81 gave ORH like 10-11”. E MA was the jackpot though for sure. Just not quite the obscene gradient as the ‘76 storm. Expand What was the Enso state the 81-82 winter?? I know you have written about 75-76 as being similar to this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 Dr Dewstein post hr 300 cutters............lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 On 12/1/2020 at 11:34 PM, FRWEATHA said: What was the Enso state the 81-82 winter?? I know you have written about 75-76 as being similar to this year. Expand Neutral. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 On 12/1/2020 at 11:46 PM, dryslot said: Dr Dewstein post hr 300 cutters............lol Expand What a troller that one is. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 59 in Caribou right now and 35 in Gainsville, FL. Wild 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 18z Euro, SLP right over phins head in MD on 12/5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 Euro is even more amped at 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 On 12/2/2020 at 12:33 AM, MJO812 said: Euro is even more amped at 18z Expand Need maps. One mans over amped is another's perfection. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 On 12/2/2020 at 12:33 AM, MJO812 said: Euro is even more amped at 18z Expand May end up tracking west of yesterday’s. That’s initially where models had it last week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 On 12/2/2020 at 12:37 AM, Ericjcrash said: Need maps. One mans over amped is another's perfection. Expand On 12/2/2020 at 12:37 AM, Damage In Tolland said: May end up tracking west of yesterday’s. That’s initially where models had it last week. Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 On 12/2/2020 at 12:26 AM, dryslot said: 18z Euro, SLP right over phins head in MD on 12/5. Expand Another terrible run. Amazing how quickly the models turn gold into garbage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 On 12/2/2020 at 12:40 AM, PhineasC said: Another terrible run. Amazing how quickly the models turn gold into garbage. Expand This one on the 5th is more of a thread the needle with a marginal air mass in place, I would prefer the follow up wave on the 7/8th with a slightly better air mass if we had a choice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 On 12/2/2020 at 12:50 AM, dryslot said: This one on the 5th is more of a thread the needle with a marginal air mass in place, I would prefer the follow up wave on the 7/8th with a slightly better air mass if we had a choice. Expand We want the first to cut way west if you want baroclinic zone close to coast for that one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 On 12/2/2020 at 1:01 AM, Damage In Tolland said: We want the first to cut way west if you want baroclinic zone close to coast for that one Expand It won't get far enough west, It will be west enough to just fuk up the next one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 On 12/2/2020 at 1:01 AM, Damage In Tolland said: We want the first to cut way west if you want baroclinic zone close to coast for that one Expand The 7th-8th event is probably a non-event if 12/5 phases like we’re seeing on the euro now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 On 12/2/2020 at 1:07 AM, dryslot said: It won't get far enough west, It will be west enough to just fuk up the next one. Expand West enough to rain on all of us followed by out to sea sounds about right. Any chance 12/7 turns into a blizzard for Norfolk? That would just feel right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 On 12/2/2020 at 1:09 AM, PhineasC said: West enough to rain on all of us followed by out to sea sounds about right. Any chance 12/7 turns into a blizzard for Norfolk? That would just feel right. Expand The most likely outcome as it stands, Lets get this to trend east some so at least the NW areas up here can salvage something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 On 12/2/2020 at 12:38 AM, MJO812 said: Expand 96 would've been more telling for me, but that's enough to see it's a disaster. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 On 12/1/2020 at 10:50 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: All he brings to the table is a toxic blend of confusion and weenies. Expand And when I saw the thank you-I’m thinking-Wolfie. I’m good! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 On 12/2/2020 at 1:09 AM, PhineasC said: West enough to rain on all of us followed by out to sea sounds about right. Any chance 12/7 turns into a blizzard for Norfolk? That would just feel right. Expand At least you’re prob getting good upslope behind the 12/5 system. More favorable look than the trash this current system will give. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 I would be wary still of the euro being overamped at this range as it seems to be consistently the last 5 years. It was insanely overamped with tomorrow's evolution of this very system over OK/TX 3 days ago and has since gone the other way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 On 12/2/2020 at 1:23 AM, SnowGoose69 said: I would be wary still of the euro being overamped at this range as it seems to be consistently the last 5 years. It was insanely overamped with tomorrow's evolution of this very system over OK/TX 3 days ago and has since gone the other way. Expand We will see if the others cave to it tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 2, 2020 Share Posted December 2, 2020 18z EPS still a little less amped? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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