CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 Weenie solution on the gfs and Canadian haha. Gfs goes nuts day 8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 7 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: Check out the 00z Canadian for an even wilder scenario, snowstorm from Philly to Maine, and an absolute monster for the NW crew I saw it ... it seems the PNA evolution is playing havoc with N/stream wave spacing and timing and the op. versions are cyclically relaying/emphasizing between regions of amplitude ... this is an “on” run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 Phineas you better have an open guest room for rent for a chase! You basically fulfilled my dream. Since high school I wanted to move from Philly to NE for snow purposes of course. Very jealous. models tend to have issues with northern branch phases. Plus there’s going to be issues with how much energy is left behind from the first (2nd event) down south so a lot is going to change 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Weenie solution on the gfs and Canadian haha. Gfs goes nuts day 8. You ready to give in to the dark side or still clinging to your damned "science" and "facts"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 Just now, Wentzadelphia said: Phineas you better have an open guest room for rent for a chase! You basically fulfilled my dream. Since high school I wanted to move from Philly to NE for snow purposes of course. Very jealous. models tend to have issues with northern branch phases. Plus there’s going to be issues with how much energy is left behind from the first (2nd event) down south so a lot is going to change Stop smoking weed and get a high-level security clearance and I will get you a job, bro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 I would suggest the Euro comes in > 50% in agreement with these two players ... 12z almost gave impression of suspended physical process while en route to this sort of frame up as it is and I’ve seen this in the past where a guidance more fully commits and sort of “finishes where it left off” on ensuing run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 30, 2020 Author Share Posted November 30, 2020 29 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Actually ends up bombigen’ed pretty good near Portland Maine but “Bun”lieve it or not that could’ve taken place sooner… It tried to escape a bit of the vestigial southern stream and attendant early convective out to sea ...slows the inevitable from happening - it probably in reality would take place sooner that’s a deep humdinger there but ooph Are you BOX's secret weapon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 4 minutes ago, PhineasC said: You ready to give in to the dark side or still clinging to your damned "science" and "facts"? We cling. Not sure I buy the Canadian whiskey yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 LOL @Ian Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Are you BOX's secret weapon? Weenie NM office. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: We cling. Not sure I buy the Canadian whiskey yet. Guzzle with a maple syrup chaser. CMC would never let you down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 Ok..so any chance to see what these model runs are showing? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 Just now, Snowcrazed71 said: Ok..so any chance to see what these model runs are showing? tropicaltidbits.com 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 9 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Stop smoking weed and get a high-level security clearance and I will get you a job, bro. Hmm well I don’t smoke weed & I worked at a casino for 4 years so can pass any background check, where do I apply?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 2 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: Hmm well I don’t smoke weed & I worked at a casino for 4 years so can pass any background check, where do I apply?! Try Northrop Grumman or General Dynamics first. Get the clearance and intro to the community for 6 months and then send me a PM. I do have potential Met openings coming soon. Trying to expand my DoD weather business to keep my current mets employed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Weenie NM office. Or the U.P. for that matter ... I mean there’s mall towns in between meth labs up there otherwise it’s just beaver dams and duck shit 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 Ok..so wow. The GFS and the Euro both show something juicy for the northeast next Tuesday timeframe ( even the cmc ). This weekend still looks iffy, but improved somewhat from previous runs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 Small tidbit but the 12z UKIE 144hr had that northern branch piece in the same spot the 00z Canadian did at same time. Wonder if it would have played out the same and if it’s a signal it’s not crazy. Curious how the 00z will look, and of course the euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raindancewx Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 The Euro has now had a several run display of a huge storm coming into New Mexico around 12/5 or 12/6, and then leaving around 12/8. There was a huge storm in that time frame here in December 2007, on 12/10 or so. My guess is that sucker is the one that blew up into the first big snowstorm of December 2007 for Boston. We'll see how it goes, but I feel like I did my homework this year. That's the start of it. This is the peak - now shown three runs in a row. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 6 hours ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Ok..so wow. The GFS and the Euro both show something juicy for the northeast next Tuesday timeframe ( even the cmc ). This weekend still looks iffy, but improved somewhat from previous runs. Wake me on Sunday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 30, 2020 Author Share Posted November 30, 2020 Looks like a grinch period possible leading into the holidays...hopefully more of a gradient deal, then a torch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Looks like a grinch period possible leading into the holidays...hopefully more of a gradient deal, then a torch. Killing me smalls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 Here we go. Ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 14 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Looks like a grinch period possible leading into the holidays...hopefully more of a gradient deal, then a torch. I just want wall to wall cold and snowy winter for once. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: I just want wall to wall cold and snowy winter for once. Hadley Cell gonna eat you up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 The worries were legit . Knew it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 30, 2020 Author Share Posted November 30, 2020 29 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Killing me smalls. Disagree? Looks more la ninaish, but my guess is the arctic will determine whether its more gradient or gave yard. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 19 minutes ago, MJO812 said: I just want wall to wall cold and snowy winter for once. Moving to Antarctica? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 30, 2020 Author Share Posted November 30, 2020 I am hopeful that it will be more gradient because I don't think the arctic will be awful...at least not until some point in January. Frankly, I am surprised that we are seeing much of any PNA at all in December, so certainly not shocked that the end is in sight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Disagree? Looks more la ninaish, but my guess is the arctic will determine whether its more gradient or gave yard. I was just having fun. It may get a little more gradient, but we'll have money in the bank then. There is no pig. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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