SteelCity87 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 1 hour ago, Mailman said: Oh boy. Just one run but it is concerning considering how consistent it's been with a thumping the past couple days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 18z HRRR looks good after wave 1. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 19 minutes ago, Mailman said: 18z HRRR looks good after wave 1. Highest totals are here, sothat's all we can ask for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Taking a break from Monday night, we have some very slick conditions developing this evening. Glad they issued a WWA. This freezing drizzle is sometimes worse because it accrues more efficiently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Highest totals are here, sothat's all we can ask for.We know that we need to be super close if we are going to get the highest totals. We are going to sweat for the next 60 straight hours. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Freezing Fog is no joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Ron Smiley'd... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 2 minutes ago, Mailman said: Ron Smiley'd... I'll take it. Ron Smiley is pretty good. His totals are fairly accurate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 I'll take it. Ron Smiley is pretty good. His totals are fairly accurate.He’s generally fairly conservative too. I’ve had a few chances to talk with him. Good guy who loves the weather and knows his stuff. I’ll take this map and hope we over perform and get 12+ here in the south hills. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Just now, MikeB_01 said: He’s generally fairly conservative too. I’ve had a few chances to talk with him. Good guy who loves the weather and knows his stuff. I’ll take this map and hope we over perform and get 12+ here in the south hills. . And not conservative for the sake of being conservative, there is thought and you can see he really takes all models into account. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 And not conservative for the sake of being conservative, there is thought and you can see he really takes all models into account.Definitely. No Jeff V here. He is probably still calling for “snow showers”. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 3 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said: Definitely. No Jeff V here. He is probably still calling for “snow showers”. . Lol. I always did like Jeff, he is just waaaaay too conservative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 21 minutes ago, Ahoff said: I'll take it. Ron Smiley is pretty good. His totals are fairly accurate. Smiley hit the nail on the head with, yes, the infamous 2019 storm yet again. (Image below is for the 2019 storm about 48 hours out). I think he lowered a little further in the mix zone the next day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Euro holding the line 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southpark Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 12 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: Euro holding the line Barely...but it is. that cutoff is BRUTAL. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southpark Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted February 14, 2021 Author Share Posted February 14, 2021 17 minutes ago, southpark said: My driveway is a sheet of ice. I had 2 people fall early this evening. Be careful out there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 2 hours ago, Mailman said: 18z HRRR looks good after wave 1. I was about to post the same “probably too early” look at it as well. It’s showing that first wave to be pretty robust. 5” by noon Monday would be off and running 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 1 hour ago, TimB84 said: Smiley hit the nail on the head with, yes, the infamous 2019 storm yet again. (Image below is for the 2019 storm about 48 hours out). I think he lowered a little further in the mix zone the next day. Okay, yes that was a bad storm, and a bad miss, in a bad season. This season has been going our way. Let's stay positive. If it misses us, so be it, we still have gotten 50" so far this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 51 minutes ago, Ahoff said: Okay, yes that was a bad storm, and a bad miss, in a bad season. This season has been going our way. Let's stay positive. If it misses us, so be it, we still have gotten 50" so far this season. Oh I agree. I wasn’t suggesting that this storm will be similar to that one, I was saying Ron Smiley was one of the few that was right on that one and expressing optimism that he’ll be right on this one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 The 00z NAM trending in the wrong direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 The NAM looks weird before it had the low going to the coast now its showing up ramming up into our area and dry slotting us. Pretty big change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 1 minute ago, Rd9108 said: The NAM looks weird before it had the low going to the coast now its showing up ramming up into our area and dry slotting us. Pretty big change. That’s two models that screw us now. We know how this ends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just now, TimB84 said: That’s two models that screw us now. We know how this ends. Indeed. Once the WTOD shows up its game over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 The NAM looks weird before it had the low going to the coast now its showing up ramming up into our area and dry slotting us. Pretty big change. Yeah, that is a pretty significant change in one run this close. Hopefully the NAM isn't on to something. GFS and Euro will be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 2 minutes ago, blackngoldrules said: 6 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: The NAM looks weird before it had the low going to the coast now its showing up ramming up into our area and dry slotting us. Pretty big change. Yeah, that is a pretty significant change in one run this close. Hopefully the NAM isn't on to something. GFS and Euro will be interesting. 18z GFS, (if you believe in its validity), has already picked up this trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southpark Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 26 minutes ago, TimB84 said: Oh I agree. I wasn’t suggesting that this storm will be similar to that one, I was saying Ron Smiley was one of the few that was right on that one and expressing optimism that he’ll be right on this one. Sorry, kind of misread, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Well let's see if the other models pick up on this trend. If they do I think its safe to say game over on a heavy snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just now, Ahoff said: Sorry, kind of misread, lol. I’m still not suggesting this storm will be anything like that one (for one, I don’t think there’s much if any chance of plain rain, let alone a prolonged period of it, with this one), but I’m starting to think we end up with similar snow totals to that storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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