Rd9108 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Out west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 3 minutes ago, Ahoff said: It looks like the radar is drying up. Was it modeled that way and where would these bands be coming from? The NAM so far has really nailed this. If you look at it from last night you could see it depicting a lot of dry air intruding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Rd9108 said: Out west. But isn't that supposed to deteriorate a bit as the primary transfers to the coastal? Hopefully we get some good banding this afternoon but this is a very touch and go situation as far as decent totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj3 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 8 minutes ago, Ahoff said: It looks like the radar is drying up. Was it modeled that way and where would these bands be coming from? The heavier returns in Ohio are eventually going to rotate through southern pa. Not sure if we are going to get a lull before that happens or if the current band moving through will back fill a bit. Around a half inch here so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, KPITSnow said: But isn't that supposed to deteriorate a bit as the primary transfers to the coastal? Hopefully we get some good banding this afternoon but this is a very touch and go situation as far as decent totals. Yea it will but the question is how quick it transfers. I'm at the point that I don't really care about the totals we get. I'm at work so as much it would suck I wouldn't care if this busted low. I usually don't say that about our storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 XLuoDaW.png RGEM gives us some love finally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 In any case, we will see what happens. I just think a lot of folks are seeing these ten inch totals but then discounting the impact that it is spread over such a long period. Hours of .25 inches per hour rates are going to have a hard time adding up when it is 30 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 22 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: XLuoDaW.png RGEM gives us some love finally. Is it relying out a big coastal total for us? Just seems unlikely at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity87 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 19 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: In any case, we will see what happens. I just think a lot of folks are seeing these ten inch totals but then discounting the impact that it is spread over such a long period. Hours of .25 inches per hour rates are going to have a hard time adding up when it is 30 degrees. Again, we had a 8-10" storm 3 years ago that had light rates over duration. This fell in mid March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Again, we had a 8-10" storm 3 years ago that had light rates over duration. This fell in mid March. Agree. I think we will get to 6+, but we need to be patient while we wait for the radar to fill in. Still fighting off the dry air. Best snow comes last this afternoon and into tonight. . 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj3 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 I’m just happy snow is gonna be flying most of the day. It will stick especially as we move towards late afternoon and evening. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity87 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 5 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said: Agree. I think we will get to 6+, but we need to be patient while we wait for the radar to fill in. Still fighting off the dry air. Best snow comes last this afternoon and into tonight. Was actually one of my favorite storms. I was amazed myself that how much it accumulated with the sun angle and the 10" was the most I measured since 2010 lol. Definitely more concerned about the dry air rather than low rates accumulating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 6 minutes ago, SteelCity87 said: Again, we had a 8-10" storm 3 years ago that had light rates over duration. This fell in mid March. It wasn't over 36 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 3 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: It wasn't over 36 hours. It was more like 24 hrs - but it also had some nice bursts. Hoping the same here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity87 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 minute ago, KPITSnow said: It wasn't over 36 hours It was definitely a longer storm but the point is I don't think there's any need to worry about low rates accumulating over duration. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity87 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Burghblizz said: It was more like 24 hrs - but it also had some nice bursts. Hoping the same here 24 hours and on the first day of spring. I'm expecting a very similar storm here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Its Feb and the ground is freezing. Its gonna accumulate. We just need the bands and QPF to allow it to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 It will be interesting to see which model verifies the best. Canadian still wants to keep our snow going until Wednesday afternoon. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 12 minutes ago, dj3 said: I’m just happy snow is gonna be flying most of the day. It will stick especially as we move towards late afternoon and evening. That’s my feeling too; should have snow in the air during daylight hours for the next 2 days. Having that blockbuster December has made it easy to just sit back and enjoy whatever else we get without fretting if we miss a storm it might be the last chance of the season. At the end of this maybe you can’t go stick a ruler in your yard and measure 6 because it came over a longer period but so long as we stay below freezing at the surface the frozen ground and still low sun angle should aid our efforts. If we miss it would be more likely due to lack of qpf from a quicker transfer or further south track. The NAM did show a bit of a lull / light precip late morning / early afternoon before it picked back up this evening. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Hey I want to be clear...everything after December is gravy. I’m not complaining, just pointing out concerns in the evolution of the system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj3 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 10 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: Hey I want to be clear...everything after December is gravy. I’m not complaining, just pointing out concerns in the evolution of the system. All good man. Feels like we’re always walking a fine line so I get your concerns. Snow picking back up now, I think we’re in for a good afternoon and evening. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Not even snowing here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 18 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: Hey I want to be clear...everything after December is gravy. I’m not complaining, just pointing out concerns in the evolution of the system. All good! I know you weren’t really tracking this one the whole time, but this is the way it’s been really the last few days. It’s always been kind of a long duration, moderate event, with this outside shot of scoring big. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj3 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Ahoff said: Not even snowing here. Yea back to very light here as well. Maybe another hour or two before we get back into some good bands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 I like this look from the HRRR for this evening 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 NWS point and click says 5-10" total through Monday day, Still mentioning snow likely Monday night also. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southpark Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Burghblizz said: I like this look from the HRRR for this evening Question is can it be trusted? Let's hope so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Burghblizz said: I like this look from the HRRR for this evening Yep ill take that. I love moderate/heavy snow. That's why in my opinion ill take a 1994 storm over 2010 any day. Of course I'd love to see a 1993 storm since I was 2 when that hit but that's a once in a lifetime storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southpark Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 9 minutes ago, Ahoff said: Not even snowing here. Just started to see some snow flakes here again but really light Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 minute ago, Rd9108 said: Yep ill take that. I love moderate/heavy snow. That's why in my opinion ill take a 1994 storm over 2010 any day. Of course I'd love to see a 1993 storm since I was 2 when that hit but that's a once in a lifetime storm. 2010 didn’t quite have the extreme ‘93 and 94 rates (3-4” hour), but it have some have prolonged really good rates. I remember getting like 8” in 5 hours from 7 to midnight. And then there was another period from like 3 to 6 AM where we tacked on another 5” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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