MikeB_01 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 6 minutes ago, Mailman said: RGEM has four feet in Allentown. Good lord 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 TWC point and click is 5"-13", so really narrowed down there. NWS still has the range at 3-4", weird. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 31, 2021 Author Share Posted January 31, 2021 I’m going 6-10 and I will be happy with it. Who knows maybe it will over perform again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, north pgh said: I’m going 6-10 and I will be happy with it. Who knows maybe it will over perform again. Yep I think the same. Would like to stay up for the Euro but I have to go to sleep. Here's to it bringing us the goods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 12 minutes ago, Ahoff said: TWC point and click is 5"-13", so really narrowed down there. NWS still has the range at 3-4", weird. They have 6-8 in their discussion. I think they just need to update their graphics. Probably middle of the night 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 HRRR still likin us 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 40 minutes ago, north pgh said: I’m going 6-10 and I will be happy with it. Who knows maybe it will over perform again. I’m still ok with that call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rickymortyx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 should be snowing by the time we wake up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 2 hours ago, Ahoff said: TWC point and click is 5"-13", so really narrowed down there. NWS still has the range at 3-4", weird. I think the confusion is stemming from the advisory period vs total storm duration. They have 3-4 inches over a 24 hour period starting at (10pm Saturday - 10pm Sunday) but storm totals ending Tuesday of 6-8 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Waking up and the radar looks pretty crappy. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj3 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Yea I am surprised I woke up to about 80 flakes on my porch and nothing else. Hopefully the radar fills in, it does look like garbage at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 19 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: Waking up and the radar looks pretty crappy. Yep looks terrible. We will be lucky to get 2 inches from this crap.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Very disappointing. Looks like a big whiff. 3-4" might be too much. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj3 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 I’d be surprised if the radar doesn’t start filling in quite a bit in the next few hours. Back to some small flakes reaching the ground right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 3 minutes ago, dj3 said: I’d be surprised if the radar doesn’t start filling in quite a bit in the next few hours. Back to some small flakes reaching the ground right now. I hope, but the models had been hinting at this especially the NAM. Like I said sure it showed .6 or .7 QPF but over 36 hours or so, and that really isn’t going to accumulate very well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj3 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 4 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: I hope, but the models had been hinting at this especially the NAM. Like I said sure it showed .6 or .7 QPF but over 36 hours or so, and that really isn’t going to accumulate very well. Yea it’s going to be a different storm than what we’re used to for sure. Just had on Kdka and they mentioned 1-2” per hr rates later this afternoon so we’ll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southpark Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 8 minutes ago, dj3 said: Yea it’s going to be a different storm than what we’re used to for sure. Just had on Kdka and they mentioned 1-2” per hr rates later this afternoon so we’ll see. Once the primary gets closer I think we will start seeing better rates. I will take this any day over the usual wet nose that Brings us rain or sleet in a lot of these set ups. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Where is the primary currently? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Radar filling in nicely now although the warm tongue looks close..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 31, 2021 Author Share Posted January 31, 2021 22 minutes ago, southpark said: Once the primary gets closer I think we will start seeing better rates. I will take this any day over the usual wet nose that Brings us rain or sleet in a lot of these set ups. I agree. Models only showed us getting 1 or 2 inches into early today. Look for heavier rates this afternoon. Have faith. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Hope Teaysvalley is ok. Hasn’t been around for most of the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Seems like most of the guidance showed a decent burst of snow later today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Very disappointing. Looks like a big whiff. 3-4" might be too much.This is what I was talking about in my concerns. Radar will fill in as the day goes on. We are like 6 hours in to a 36 hour event. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southpark Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 11 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said: This is what I was talking about in my concerns. Radar will fill in as the day goes on. We are like 6 hours in to a 36 hour event. . I think the December storm may have spoiled some of us lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 The storm totals to our west in places like Chicago and Indiana seem to align with models. Reports in the 6-12" range all over. A couple model runs were too far south with these figures, but overall that's gone largely as expected. 15 minutes ago, Ahoff said: Where is the primary currently? The primary is over southern Indiana right now. 1004 mb. That's a bit further north than we'd normally like, but it is progged to roll underneath us as it moves east to transfer. Some of the newest model runs are also showing an earlier transfer, between 18Z today and 0Z Monday, and much further south than initially expected (down to Georgia/South Carolina instead of NC/Virginia). This is all the nowcasting stuff we have to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj3 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Coming down nicely right now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 20 minutes ago, southpark said: I think the December storm may have spoiled some of us lol All three spoiled us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 hour ago, dj3 said: Yea it’s going to be a different storm than what we’re used to for sure. Just had on Kdka and they mentioned 1-2” per hr rates later this afternoon so we’ll see. She was saying that on Twitter too. We’ll see if it materializes. We didn’t come out guns blazing this time, but still will be interesting. About an inch or so in Monroeville. Relatively windy with this current burst Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 A dusting here so far with light snow coming down. We are really into nowcast time, but all the models still look good and NWS still thinks a band will develope with 1-2 inch per hour rates. Still need to give it time to play out before start sweating a bust. We've been good this year meeting or exceeding expectations, hopefully we can continue that theme for this storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 It looks like the radar is drying up. Was it modeled that way and where would these bands be coming from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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