Rd9108 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Just now, Ahoff said: Now I'm scared, lol. Aren't the off hours (6z and 18z), usually a bit weird vs. the 0z and 12z. Not always. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Now I'm scared, lol. Aren't the off hours (6z and 18z), usually a bit weird vs. the 0z and 12z.Still a long way out. No need to be scared lol . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 3 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said: Still a long way out. No need to be scared lol . True, I'm thinking it's Friday today, so we have an extra day there. Plus, I guess we can't stay in a "bullseye" for 3-4 days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 26 minutes ago, Ahoff said: Now I'm scared, lol. Aren't the off hours (6z and 18z), usually a bit weird vs. the 0z and 12z. I chalk up the less than favorable 18z runs to bad data assimilation due to another crashed weather ballon in Roswell NM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 NAM stops the bleed South, actually ticked back North this run. Still a solid Precip shield over us at hour 84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 1 minute ago, RitualOfTheTrout said: NAM stops the bleed South, actually ticked back North this run. Still a solid Precip shield over us at hour 84. Looks 12z Euro-ish. Exception might be some mixing in the middle, but looks like still a solid fetch of moisture going at the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 still snowing too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 3 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: still snowing too Sucks for me in the laurels but yinz need to win another one!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Just now, ChalkHillSnowNut said: Sucks for me in the laurels but yinz need to win another one!! Hey maybe its an overperformer. Two double digit storms would be pretty awesome for us if it happens. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Just now, ChalkHillSnowNut said: Sucks for me in the laurels but yinz need to win another one!! I have a feeling beyond 84, that little screw zone would catch up a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 From earlier today, but I think it’s worth showing. Euro in a good spot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 19 minutes ago, ChalkHillSnowNut said: Sucks for me in the laurels but yinz need to win another one!! That screw zone will likely move around still, I think if in general our area does well you should be ok, plus maybe a shot at some upslope after the storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 ICON is drunk lol, 1.25in qpf in northern Allegheny. I don't follow it closely but I'd be willing to bet that is overdone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 23 minutes ago, Burghblizz said: I have a feeling beyond 84, that little screw zone would catch up a bit. Doubtful but could catch up a bit....but I’m seriously pumped for you guys again-no matter what we busted totals this winter with this!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Just now, RitualOfTheTrout said: ICON is drunk lol, 1.25in qpf in northern Allegheny. I don't follow it closely but I'd be willing to bet that is overdone. Or just hear me out. Maybe it is right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Just now, Rd9108 said: Or just hear me out. Maybe it is right we can hope right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 36 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: still snowing too That looks nice and with it still snowing it would be amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 SREF plumes not looking to good. Mean is barely of two inches, weird. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 17 minutes ago, Ahoff said: SREF plumes not looking to good. Mean is barely of two inches, weird. Hmm that is weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 29, 2021 Author Share Posted January 29, 2021 0Z Gfs gives central Ohio 2 inches. 0Z NAM gives same area 15 inches. Something’s gotta give. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Just now, north pgh said: 0Z Gfs gives central Ohio 2 inches. 0Z NAM gives same area 15 inches. Something’s gotta give. Yeah I'm not getting my hopes up. Let's see what the Euro does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 The differences are crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 29, 2021 Author Share Posted January 29, 2021 Canadian still looks like a solid 5 inches with mix staying south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 When I saw this set up a few days ago, I thought this would be an event where we would get 1-2” on the front end, mix/rain, then 1” on the back. As the models rolled big over the last few runs, my hopes got a little higher, but I’m not surprised to see the lower GFS run. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Ukmet looks decent, pretty similar to NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 11 minutes ago, RitualOfTheTrout said: Ukmet looks decent, pretty similar to NAM. Euro should follow. So basically GFS is either gonna score a coup or its in lala land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Game over Euro looks more like the GFS with the faster dying primary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Euro seems to stay frozen the whole time for us. Not showing big totals here, but I won't complain about 4-6" from a Miller B. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Just now, Mailman said: Euro seems to stay frozen the whole time for us. Not showing big totals here, but I won't complain about 4-6" from a Miller B. This is also true. I meant game over for the big totals before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Rather have the Euro and UK in our camp. GFS has not been great this season for us. And realistically we all knew 1' was unlikely, so a 3-6", 4-8" is a definite win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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