Burghblizz Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 2 hours ago, Mailman said: Euro has improved. I would say so! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Long Range NAM still looks good with the initial thump. We are back to tracking atleast. The euro would make many of us happy on here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OutnOakmont Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just checked the Euro and almost fell out of my chair!!! Holy moly what an improvement! Hopefully we can hang on to the momentum and not see a deteriorating situation. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj3 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Euro hits us with the initial WAA and pulls the coastal low inland after transferring. Pretty much everything we needed to happen, now the question is how realistic would that be? Great overnight trends either way though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 5 hours ago, Burghblizz said: I would say so! Holy Sh*t! Massive improvement. Keep our fingers crossed. TWC point and click up to 6-12"! Also SREF Plumes up to 3" at 18z Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Heavy big flakes right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 28, 2021 Author Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 minute ago, Ahoff said: Heavy big flakes right now. Another over performer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 6 minutes ago, north pgh said: Another over performer Yes, lol. Ground is rewhitened and streets are covered. Precursor to Sunday, . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PghPirates27 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 let's go!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 A lot could definitely go wrong. Not sure we have an analog with a good storm that cuts that far west, and then hits a brick wall and slides east in time to 1) give us heavy precip and 2) not pull warm air in. That makes it a little more thread of the needle. I will say the nightmare snow hole scenario looks less likely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PghPirates27 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Snowing like crazy near Evans city. Got a quick 1/2” I’ll take it lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 hour ago, dj3 said: Euro hits us with the initial WAA and pulls the coastal low inland after transferring. Pretty much everything we needed to happen, now the question is how realistic would that be? Great overnight trends either way though. Yeah that was perfect on 00z Euro for the WAA, then the capture and and riding inland helped get some of the coastal snow back our way. The 00z op did seem to be an outlier though among it's ensembles , and 6z isn't nearly as good. 6z GFS though finally stopped driving the primary to Cleveland. 12z runs today should be interesting to see if we start seeing more evidence last nights Euro gains support. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 28, 2021 Author Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 hour ago, Ahoff said: Holy Sh*t! Massive improvement. Keep our fingers crossed. TWC point and click up to 6-12"! Also SREF Plumes up to 3" at 18z Sunday. Anyway if we get 48 straight hours or so of snow at varying rates, 6-12 inches would not be out of the question. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 A quick 1-2" is possible under the more stationary bands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 12z GFS doesn't look like it's going to make any friends in our section of the world, drives the primary into SWPA, so a lot of the front thump is sleet / zr / rain then the coastal doesn't throw much back to us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Seems the gfs caving to the euro somewhat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, RitualOfTheTrout said: 12z GFS doesn't look like it's going to make any friends in our section of the world, drives the primary into SWPA, so a lot of the front thump is sleet / zr / rain then the coastal doesn't throw much back to us. Good news it will change. For better or worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj3 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 9 minutes ago, RitualOfTheTrout said: 12z GFS doesn't look like it's going to make any friends in our section of the world, drives the primary into SWPA, so a lot of the front thump is sleet / zr / rain then the coastal doesn't throw much back to us. As depicted it sucks but I think it is taking a step towards the euro has far as the coastal being tucked in. We need it to be wrong on the warmth it brings with the primary though for sure. It is the most bullish on precip for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 28, 2021 Author Share Posted January 28, 2021 Canadian still seems to be a monster for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 34 minutes ago, RitualOfTheTrout said: 12z GFS doesn't look like it's going to make any friends in our section of the world, drives the primary into SWPA, so a lot of the front thump is sleet / zr / rain then the coastal doesn't throw much back to us. Luckily the Euro is more on our side at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 37 minutes ago, north pgh said: Canadian still seems to be a monster for us. UKMET looks good with it's track of the primary, looks like it keeps it south of us similar to Canadian, most of the mix stays south of M/D line. That's my main focus, the hail marry miracle inland coastal we saw on 00z Euro probably is not going to happen based on other 12z models so far today, but if the Euro throws that out there again maybe we start seeing if there are hints of that in future runs of the other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 6 minutes ago, RitualOfTheTrout said: UKMET looks good with it's track of the primary, looks like it keeps it south of us similar to Canadian, most of the mix stays south of M/D line. That's my main focus, the hail marry miracle inland coastal we saw on 00z Euro probably is not going to happen based on other 12z models so far today, but if the Euro throws that out there again maybe we start seeing if there are hints of that in future runs of the other models. In the Central forum they were worried the UK was so south, is that just because of the coastal being to far south? It wouldn't effect us as much, because we get most of ours from the primary? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 26 minutes ago, Ahoff said: In the Central forum they were worried the UK was so south, is that just because of the coastal being to far south? It wouldn't effect us as much, because we get most of ours from the primary? Yes. Our precip is almost entirely coming from the primary. The snow that hangs around is not from the coastal, but it is from a secondary trough of LP that is coming down after the primary comes through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 UK looks good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Euro looking good again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj3 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Primary looks like it is dying in a good spot on the 12z Euro, this should be decent. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, Mailman said: Euro looking good again. Yes, it's going to be a good run, maybe not last night worthy, (remains to be seen) but so far tracks the primary in a very good spot for us and not stingy on WAA stuff. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 28 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said: Yes. Our precip is almost entirely coming from the primary. The snow that hangs around is not from the coastal, but it is from a secondary trough of LP that is coming down after the primary comes through. Gotcha, then I'm good with that, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 8 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: UK looks good. That is nice looking. Really only the GFS isn't too good, but, that's not too bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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