north pgh Posted November 21, 2020 Share Posted November 21, 2020 Let’s open the Winter discussions 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PghPirates27 Posted November 21, 2020 Share Posted November 21, 2020 Boooo La Niña Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted November 22, 2020 Share Posted November 22, 2020 It would be nice for once to cash in early ala Dec 1974. Models showing possible troughing closer to Dec. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted November 24, 2020 Author Share Posted November 24, 2020 Looks like something to watch next next Monday Tuesday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj3 Posted November 24, 2020 Share Posted November 24, 2020 CMC and GFS both looking like a rain to snow scenario for Monday next week. Looks like things could interesting if the cold push timing is correct. Glad to have something to track again 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj3 Posted November 24, 2020 Share Posted November 24, 2020 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OutnOakmont Posted November 24, 2020 Share Posted November 24, 2020 Currently, very slick on my front porch from some totally unexpected sleet here in Oakmont. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted November 24, 2020 Share Posted November 24, 2020 That snowfall map above looks quite familiar... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted November 27, 2020 Share Posted November 27, 2020 Looks like first accumulating snowfall on Tuesday. I consider anything in November/December as bonus snow for the season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted November 27, 2020 Share Posted November 27, 2020 8 hours ago, Mailman said: Looks like first accumulating snowfall on Tuesday. I consider anything in November/December as bonus snow for the season. Yea imby possible 2-4” scenario from overnight Monday through Tuesday day....hoping for now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 With temps being the biggest question, specifically how quickly the column cools, the NWS outlook is reasonable. Just an OT side note, but it's kinda funny how the algorithm for these model snow maps make most of Allegheny county a giant UHI. In reality it's mostly just the valley floors, that lose a lot of snowfall accumulation. Obviously these maps are taken with a giant grain of salt, just something I've noticed the past few years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted November 29, 2020 Share Posted November 29, 2020 Can’t complain about a 1-3 to start Meteorological Winter. This will be interesting to see how fast temperatures can crash. Afterwards, pattern looks active. Given it’s still early and LaNina favored climo, cold air might be problematic but at least for now doesn’t appear we will be in a shutout pattern to start the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted November 29, 2020 Share Posted November 29, 2020 Other than '17-'18 (13.3"), we've had a brutal run for December snow over the last six years. If this season unfolds as expected, any snow early is worthwhile, even needed. This won't be the blockbuster we'd all hope for, but perhaps we can muster a minor event out of it for the first accumulation. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted November 29, 2020 Share Posted November 29, 2020 PBZ ups totals... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted November 29, 2020 Share Posted November 29, 2020 Hoping you guys have a nice, solid snowfall to enjoy for a couple days! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 Everyone under an advisory now. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 Honestly, chances for 4+ looking pretty good. I will say, I am a little nervous and skeptical about this one. Relying on the backend of a system to cool the column enough to start snowing is something that I have a hard time relying on. It just never seems to happen fast enough without drying out the column at the same time. Model support seems good this time, but i wouldn't be surprised to see the low end of these amounts either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 Regardless this should be a fairly fun storm since we are going to have winds gusting near 30mph tomorrow so should be a nice scene. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 2 hours ago, MikeB_01 said: Honestly, chances for 4+ looking pretty good. I will say, I am a little nervous and skeptical about this one. Relying on the backend of a system to cool the column enough to start snowing is something that I have a hard time relying on. It just never seems to happen fast enough without drying out the column at the same time. Model support seems good this time, but i wouldn't be surprised to see the low end of these amounts either. There was a storm in January I think a few years ago that was a major blizzard up in New York but we had a 5-6 hour backend where we got near an inch an hour. That is also a rarity though, so I agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 RGEM nails the AGH snow-hole, or inverted bullseye. Lock it in, boys! Also, cut the amounts by 25-50%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 5 hours ago, MikeB_01 said: Honestly, chances for 4+ looking pretty good. I will say, I am a little nervous and skeptical about this one. Relying on the backend of a system to cool the column enough to start snowing is something that I have a hard time relying on. It just never seems to happen fast enough without drying out the column at the same time. Model support seems good this time, but i wouldn't be surprised to see the low end of these amounts either. I think the main difference here is the storm stalls out for a bit once we get on the cold side. That combined with some lake enhancement should prolong the window vs a storm taking the same track that just zips off to the NE. Not saying to expect high end of any of the totals but I have more confidence than usual given the setup. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 Really windy here now up here in Farmington/Chalk Hill....I can smell the Snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted November 30, 2020 Author Share Posted November 30, 2020 Was anyone else getting excited to see the Steelers Ravens play in the snow Tuesday? I was. Now moved to Wednesday. That Blows. We have not had snow for a home Steeler game in like 15 years. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 23 minutes ago, north pgh said: Was anyone else getting excited to see the Steelers Ravens play in the snow Tuesday? I was. Now moved to Wednesday. That Blows. We have not had snow for a home Steeler game in like 15 years. Absolutely I was set to sit by the fireplace and call off Wednesday morning! So frustrating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 Flakes falling for the last 20 min....let’s see what we awake to! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 Looks like it should be snowing here, but it's just virga. Column looks mostly saturated so I guess the precip is still too light. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 This is probably going to be a better storm than any we had all last winter. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 Woke up to about 4” so far-wish I could post a pic of my pup in it-Keeps saying the file is too big 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted December 1, 2020 Share Posted December 1, 2020 1 hour ago, ChalkHillSnowNut said: Woke up to about 4” so far-wish I could post a pic of my pup in it-Keeps saying the file is too big Elevation FTW. Had about 1.5 - 2" on the car this morning, bit of a surprise. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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