GATECH Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 It’s been a pleasure and an honor being 2020-2021snowfall contest leader for the last 2 months. Best of luck to the eventual winner! -GATECH PS- I will take donations for lowballing next years contest as well, obviously this reverse psychology stuff works! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted January 31, 2021 Author Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 hour ago, GATECH said: It’s been a pleasure and an honor being 2020-2021snowfall contest leader for the last 2 months. Best of luck to the eventual winner! ...are you sure you’re going to lose? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 1, 2021 Author Share Posted February 1, 2021 This is just an interim update based on this evening's CLI reports. Our current leader is now @NoVaWx and it's a very close contest. @GATECH is now the first player that's been mathematically eliminated. BWI: 4.4" DCA: 1.7" IAD: 4.8" RIC: 4.2" 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 26 minutes ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: This is just an interim update based on this evening's CLI reports. Our current leader is now @NoVaWx and it's a very close contest. @GATECH is now the first player that's been mathematically eliminated. BWI: 4.4" DCA: 1.7" IAD: 4.8" RIC: 4.2" I would like a recount of all the flakes that have fallen so far! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 1, 2021 Author Share Posted February 1, 2021 52 minutes ago, GATECH said: I would like a recount of all the flakes that have fallen so far! That shouldn’t be hard, especially at DCA 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 1, 2021 Author Share Posted February 1, 2021 Updated: BWI: 5.9" DCA: 2.6" IAD: 5.6" RIC: 4.2" @NoVaWx maintains the lead. I believe @RickinBaltimore and @biodhokie have also been mathematically eliminated now, but I'm not 100% sure on that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RodneyS Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 11 minutes ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: Updated: BWI: 5.9" DCA: 2.6" IAD: 5.6" RIC: 4.2" @NoVaWx maintains the lead. I believe @RickinBaltimore and @biodhokie have also been mathematically eliminated now, but I'm not 100% sure on that. You're correct about @RickinBaltimore and @biodhokie. The former trails by 2.6 and can pick up only 1.6 (if he gains the maximum at DCA), and the latter trails by 4.3 and can pick up only 2.2 (1.2 at BWI and 1.0 at DCA). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 1, 2021 Author Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 minute ago, RodneyS said: You're correct about @RickinBaltimore and @biodhokie. The former trails by 2.6 and can pick up only 1.6 (if he gains the maximum at DCA), and the latter trails by 4.3 and can pick up only 2.2 (1.2 at BWI and 1.0 at DCA). You also have to count the leader’s numbers getting worse too by the same amount, so it can get tricky, but yeah, it looks like they’re eliminated. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RodneyS Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 hour ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: You also have to count the leader’s numbers getting worse too by the same amount, so it can get tricky, but yeah, it looks like they’re eliminated. Right. The key is when someone already has a negative departure any additional snow increases that departure, whereas if someone has a positive departure any additional snow decreases that departure up to the point the departure is eliminated. So, for example, if Contestant A has a negative departure at all four locations whereas Contestant B has a positive departure of at least an inch at all four locations, a 1-inch snowfall at each location results in a loss for Contestant A of four points and a gain for Contestant B of four points -- an eight-point swing in Contestant B's favor. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 1, 2021 Author Share Posted February 1, 2021 Updated from CLI reports today: BWI: 6.3" DCA: 2.6" IAD: 6.3" RIC: 4.2" @NoVaWx still has the lead. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 2, 2021 Author Share Posted February 2, 2021 New totals- BWI revised down, IAD and DCA revised up: BWI: 6.0" DCA: 2.8" IAD: 8.1" RIC: 4.2" Our new leader is @Clueless Grayed out members have been mathematically eliminated. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 3, 2021 Author Share Posted February 3, 2021 Update: BWI: 6.1" DCA: 3.5" IAD: 8.3" RIC: 4.3" @Clueless still leads. @MillvilleWx is now stuck rooting for a suppressed storm for RIC @Rhino16 somehow has to get an event that jackpots... DCA 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 Half the field would benefit from a nice juicy coastal at this point. Cold air incoming, but models can't find much energy. We live in hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RodneyS Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 41 minutes ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: Update: BWI: 6.1" DCA: 3.5" IAD: 8.3" RIC: 4.3" @Clueless still leads. @MillvilleWx is now stuck rooting for a suppressed storm for RIC @Rhino16 somehow has to get an event that jackpots... DCA I think Rhino16 is now a slight favorite, but MillvilleWx is eliminated. The latter has negative departures in three locations, and so can't pick up there. While he can pick up 1.8 on Clueless in Richmond, he trails by 3.1. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 3, 2021 Author Share Posted February 3, 2021 @RodneyS you’re right, MillvilleWx is out for good. I gave that little quip without actually looking closely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 Sig updated! 6" in CHO and 6.6" in Arlington. Feel good about my contest numbers. This is gonna be my year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 I've got my whip out and the track steward and the spca are waiting for me at the finish line 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 2 hours ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: @RodneyS you’re right, MillvilleWx is out for good. I gave that little quip without actually looking closely. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 3, 2021 Author Share Posted February 3, 2021 2 hours ago, NorthArlington101 said: Sig updated! 6" in CHO and 6.6" in Arlington. Feel good about my contest numbers. This is gonna be my year. You're in a good spot- close to Olaf, and we know it's always a good thing to be close to Olaf 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 hour ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: You're in a good spot- close to Olaf, and we know it's always a good thing to be close to Olaf And I'm in a precarious spot down there near Roger Smith and Jebman! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 All we need down in that part of the table is two decent storms, nothing massive, 6-8" type events x 2 or 4-6" x 3 would suit our requirements, and I already see one good candidate around day 8-10 on guidance. And you're closer to mappy than me and the Jebman, seems like solid company to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 7, 2021 Author Share Posted February 7, 2021 Updated: BWI: 6.2" (wtf? how did they only get 0.1" today!?) DCA: 3.8" IAD: 10.1" RIC: 4.3" @Clueless is finding every way possible to hold onto the lead. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Quote BWI: 6.2" (wtf? how did they only get 0.1" today!?) Frankly, they slant-sticked it to get it up to that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 7, 2021 Author Share Posted February 7, 2021 35 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: Frankly, they slant-sticked it to get it up to that... Yeah, I have family in Glen Burnie who just confirmed the shutout to me. Even DCA got 0.3”- it’s like it snowed in every other direction. Awful... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 hour ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: Updated: BWI: 6.2" (wtf? how did they only get 0.1" today!?) DCA: 3.8" IAD: 10.1" RIC: 4.3" I don’t think I know the rules for snowfall... what is necessary to be eliminated? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 hour ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: Updated: BWI: 6.2" (wtf? how did they only get 0.1" today!?) DCA: 3.8" IAD: 10.1" RIC: 4.3" @Clueless is finding every way possible to hold onto the lead. My winning streak is going to end. It HAS to, dammit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 7, 2021 Author Share Posted February 7, 2021 3 minutes ago, Rhino16 said: I don’t think I know the rules for snowfall... what is necessary to be eliminated? The person who has the lowest absolute value departures at all four airports is the winner. The first post in this thread has a link that explains it in more detail. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RodneyS Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 5 minutes ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: The person who has the lowest absolute value departures at all four airports is the winner. The first post in this thread has a link that explains it in more detail. This doesn't change the top of the leaderboard, but apparently RIC managed to get 0.1 today, to bring the seasonal total to 4.4. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 7, 2021 Author Share Posted February 7, 2021 13 minutes ago, RodneyS said: This doesn't change the top of the leaderboard, but apparently RIC managed to get 0.1 today, to bring the seasonal total to 4.4. Thanks- last I checked, the CLI for RIC hadn’t been issued yet today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RodneyS Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 2 hours ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: Thanks- last I checked, the CLI for RIC hadn’t been issued yet today. A day like today in the Mid-Atlantic, where the temperature was above freezing the entirety of the snowstorm, presents a challenge for snow measurers. According to the National Weather Service: "While acknowledging there is no perfect way of measuring snowfall, the following best practice accommodates the observer while ensuring the best consistency. If the snow event ends well before the end of the 24-hour observing period make the 24-hour measurement at the end of the snow event, if possible. For example if the snow event ends at 1PM, make the snowfall measurement at that time." See https://www.weather.gov/media/coop/Snow_Measurement_Guidelines-2014.pdf However, even by the time the snow ended today, which was around 1 PM in my area, a lot had already melted. When I first observed the snow coming down hard around 9 AM, I thought I would have to shovel for about an hour after the storm ended. In reality, no shoveling at all was required. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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