Torchageddon Posted November 7, 2020 Share Posted November 7, 2020 1 hour ago, Chicago Storm said: If things go as they may the next few days, this stretch will be very comparable to Morch 2012. Don't toy with my heart like that!! I don't think its comparable to the ultimate (I pray it ends up being anyways), but more like the Dec 2015 heat event which at first I thought would edge this out, but now I'm putting this in front of it. My avg temp during this part of Nov is 7ºC so I'm getting +13-14C departures. Sitting at 21C now, sensor may be wonky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted November 8, 2020 Share Posted November 8, 2020 On 11/6/2020 at 4:37 PM, fluoronium said: I'm astonished how nice the weather has been! A well needed slice of heaven in an otherwise terrible year. Haven't broken any daily records here yet but the duration of this warmth is impressive to say the least. That topped with bright sunshine is hard to beat. The only thing that would make it better would be finishing off this warm spell with a nice fall severe setup. Not happening. Instability will be too weak on Tuesday. 2013 this ain't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted November 8, 2020 Share Posted November 8, 2020 2 hours ago, CheeselandSkies said: Not happening. Instability will be too weak on Tuesday. 2013 this ain't. I would be cautious about the instability numbers at this point things still slant to climo and it won't take much to rapidly change this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted November 8, 2020 Share Posted November 8, 2020 58 minutes ago, Stebo said: I would be cautious about the instability numbers at this point things still slant to climo and it won't take much to rapidly change this. I would be delighted to be proven wrong, but I'm just not seeing anything to pique my interest 4 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 8, 2020 Share Posted November 8, 2020 17 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said: I would be delighted to be proven wrong, but I'm just not seeing anything to pique my interest 4 days out. Agree. The wind fields and at least a little skinny CAPE should allow for a lower end/marginal risk type setup, but the threat would be substantially more robust with just a bit better mid level lapse rates and surface heating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted November 8, 2020 Share Posted November 8, 2020 Doesn't take much cape this time of year to set things off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted November 8, 2020 Share Posted November 8, 2020 I was outside doing some yard work today and actually worked up a sweat. IND hit 79°, beating their old record of 76°. FWA not only set a record, they crushed the old one. RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 440 PM EST SUN NOV 8 2020 ...RECORD DAILY HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT FORT WAYNE... ...RECORD WARMTH SO LATE IN THE SEASON... A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE HAS BEEN SET TODAY AT FORT WAYNE. THE HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 78 DEGREES WAS SET AT 257 PM EST. THE PREVIOUS RECORD WAS 73 DEGREES SET IN 1915. THIS IS ALSO THE WARMEST TEMPERATURE RECORDED SO LATE IN THE SEASON. THE PREVIOUS RECORD WAS 78 DEGREES SET ON NOVEMBER 6, 1975. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 8, 2020 Share Posted November 8, 2020 31 minutes ago, IWXwx said: I was outside doing some yard work today and actually worked up a sweat. Me too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted November 8, 2020 Share Posted November 8, 2020 48 minutes ago, IWXwx said: I was outside doing some yard work today and actually worked up a sweat. IND hit 79°, beating their old record of 76°. FWA not only set a record, they crushed the old one. RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 440 PM EST SUN NOV 8 2020 ...RECORD DAILY HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT FORT WAYNE... ...RECORD WARMTH SO LATE IN THE SEASON... A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE HAS BEEN SET TODAY AT FORT WAYNE. THE HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 78 DEGREES WAS SET AT 257 PM EST. THE PREVIOUS RECORD WAS 73 DEGREES SET IN 1915. THIS IS ALSO THE WARMEST TEMPERATURE RECORDED SO LATE IN THE SEASON. THE PREVIOUS RECORD WAS 78 DEGREES SET ON NOVEMBER 6, 1975. Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted November 8, 2020 Share Posted November 8, 2020 *Severe weather is possible Tuesday* Relatively good agreement amongst models on cold frontal passage late Tuesday afternoon and evening. Shear will not be an issue as ample low level and deep layer shear will be present. As is typical for transition season events, especially those transitioning into the cool season, instability may be the limiting factor. Even in the presence of only weak instability however, strong dynamics may be enough to force a shallow convective line along the front with an attendant damaging wind threat. The area is not currently outlooked but would not be surprised to see the risk area shift eastward in subsequent updates. CIPS severe analog risk percentages continue to increase and have shifted further toward the area in the last 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman_ind Posted November 8, 2020 Share Posted November 8, 2020 Indy's 79 is also the record for warmest so late in the season. I believe the previous 79's were also on November 1, where the record high was 81 that day. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted November 8, 2020 Share Posted November 8, 2020 High of 76 at ORD today, which broke daily record of 73 (1931). . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted November 8, 2020 Share Posted November 8, 2020 53 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said: *Severe weather is possible Tuesday* Relatively good agreement amongst models on cold frontal passage late Tuesday afternoon and evening. Shear will not be an issue as ample low level and deep layer shear will be present. As is typical for transition season events, especially those transitioning into the cool season, instability may be the limiting factor. Even in the presence of only weak instability however, strong dynamics may be enough to force a shallow convective line along the front with an attendant damaging wind threat. The area is not currently outlooked but would not be surprised to see the risk area shift eastward in subsequent updates. CIPS severe analog risk percentages continue to increase and have shifted further toward the area in the last 24 hours. Not bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted November 9, 2020 Share Posted November 9, 2020 592 SXUS71 KILN 082204 RERDAY RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 504 PM EST SUN NOV 08 2020 ...RECORD MONTHLY HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT DAYTON OH... ...RECORD DAILY HIGH TEMPERATURES SET AT DAYTON OH... A RECORD MONTHLY HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 80 WAS SET AT DAYTON OH TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 79 MOST RECENTLY SET IN 2016. A RECORD DAILY HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 80 WAS SET AT DAYTON OH TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD DAILY RECORD OF 75 SET IN 1945. THE 80 DEGREE TEMPERATURE IS ALSO THE LATEST OBSERVATION OF 80 DEGREES OR WARMER FOR THE CALENDAR YEAR. THE PREVIOUS RECORD OF OCTOBER 31, WAS MOST RECENTLY SET IN 1950. First time we ever hit 80 in November 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 9, 2020 Share Posted November 9, 2020 6th 70+ degree day in a row here. Another on the way for tomorrow. MLI hit 76 today. That latest 80 at MLI is Nov 1st, so they gave that record a good run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted November 9, 2020 Share Posted November 9, 2020 73 at DTW breaking record of 71, tomorrow might be pushing it as the record is 75, but Tuesday could be crushed, record is only 68. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 9, 2020 Share Posted November 9, 2020 68 degrees at midnight on Nov 9th. Pretty impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted November 9, 2020 Share Posted November 9, 2020 Low of 63° at ORD. Likely going to break daily record high min temp of 59 (1999)...and also puts in play the all time monthly record high min of 63° (6th/1924 & 7th/1975). . 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 9, 2020 Share Posted November 9, 2020 EPS looking warm in the extended again... might as well really 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted November 9, 2020 Share Posted November 9, 2020 Might luck out 1-2” of snow tomorrow. My gut says the narrow band will setup better to the southeast but we shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted November 9, 2020 Share Posted November 9, 2020 1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said: EPS looking warm in the extended again... might as well really As much as I love cold and snowy, I am not minding this weather right now. It's good to get outside and have the windows open. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted November 9, 2020 Share Posted November 9, 2020 17 hours ago, Chicago Storm said: High of 76 at ORD today, broke daily record of 73 (1931). . This is only the 2nd warmest temp in Chicago for so late in the season...which is hard to believe. It was 78 on 11/14/1971. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted November 9, 2020 Share Posted November 9, 2020 2 hours ago, KokomoWX said: As much as I love cold and snowy, I am not minding this weather right now. It's good to get outside and have the windows open. No point in burning cold now. Save it for December and beyond. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted November 9, 2020 Share Posted November 9, 2020 Already over 70 here should end up around 75-78 for most of the area today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted November 9, 2020 Share Posted November 9, 2020 5 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: EPS looking warm in the extended again... might as well really December pattern setting up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted November 9, 2020 Share Posted November 9, 2020 Euro and GEFS both have a massive ridge setting up over the Plains next week. Let's not forget the pig vortex over AK and flat NPAC ridge. Looks like 2011. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted November 9, 2020 Share Posted November 9, 2020 Cold front has blasted its way through. Temps have dropped ~15 degrees in the past hour and change. Hi-Res models are beginning to come into focus on tomorrow’s snow and the totals are becoming more robust. Might end up more like a 2-4” event around here or somewhere close by. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted November 9, 2020 Share Posted November 9, 2020 4 minutes ago, OrdIowPitMsp said: Cold front has blasted its way through. Temps have dropped ~15 degrees in the past hour and change. Hi-Res models are beginning to come into focus on tomorrow’s snow and the totals are becoming more robust. Might end up more like a 2-4” event around here or somewhere close by. Pretty good signal for TSSN and/or TSPL with the deepening lows passing by too. Heck of a way to end a warm spell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted November 9, 2020 Share Posted November 9, 2020 55 minutes ago, purduewx80 said: Pretty good signal for TSSN and/or TSPL with the deepening lows passing by too. Heck of a way to end a warm spell. NWS service agrees. Winter Storm Watch for 4-7” of snow tomorrow afternoon. If this verifies Minneapolis will be having one heck of a hot streak this autumn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted November 9, 2020 Share Posted November 9, 2020 Let’s see if this pans out. Inside 24hrs so it’s basically a nowcast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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