FLweather Posted November 8, 2020 Share Posted November 8, 2020 13 minutes ago, turtlehurricane said: Actually, I think it is a classic case of a sub-tropical hurricane at this point. That's why the impacts are happening at such a large radius, and why it's intensifying without much central convection. True last few frames of IR are telling. As far as Hwrf is concerned.... Has there ever really been a case like this? Or is this some 2020 weird shyt. Globals decay this storm for the most part. But hwrf has it at a solid cat2. Idk if I ever remember a storm going from tropical to subtropical back to tropical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted November 8, 2020 Share Posted November 8, 2020 1 hour ago, Akeem the African Dream said: My massive mangrove row has been uprooted and fell on my home taking out my satellite dish nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted November 8, 2020 Share Posted November 8, 2020 35 minutes ago, turtlehurricane said: Actually, I think it is a classic case of a sub-tropical hurricane at this point. i thought we decided that subtropical hurricanes arent a real thing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FloridaTracker Posted November 8, 2020 Share Posted November 8, 2020 1 minute ago, the ghost of leroy said: i thought we decided that subtropical hurricanes arent a real thing Well as far as coming out of the Gulf, Eta never regained hurricane status. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted November 8, 2020 Share Posted November 8, 2020 Dry air entrainment really did a job on the convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FloridaTracker Posted November 8, 2020 Share Posted November 8, 2020 Dania Beach, FL - Pier Cam 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cptcatz Posted November 8, 2020 Share Posted November 8, 2020 Looks like some big convection popping up just offshore of Palm Beach County which should roll through my house soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Akeem the African Dream Posted November 8, 2020 Share Posted November 8, 2020 sustained tropical storm conditions here now sustained at 42 with gusts to 51 in rain band that’s moving in now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted November 8, 2020 Share Posted November 8, 2020 I would not be surprised if the 5pm advisory ETA is labeled as PTC. That dry air did a number. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
finatic jason Posted November 8, 2020 Share Posted November 8, 2020 15 minutes ago, Akeem the African Dream said: sustained tropical storm conditions here now sustained at 42 with gusts to 51 in rain band that’s moving in now Just south of you in Jupiter. This is the most consistent and highest wind of the day for sure. We had a coupe good ones late morning with a lull. Much more consistent now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted November 8, 2020 Share Posted November 8, 2020 There's still plenty of convection, it's just occurring in the bands north of the center. This is what sub-tropical systems look like. There are extremely powerful squalls in that convection, looks like it'll be on the SE FL coast within a couple hours. We could get hurricane force gusts from those. In the meantime we are getting constant tropical storm gusts and light-moderate rain. I do wonder how NHC will react to these changes though. I don't think a sub-tropical transition was exactly what was expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
finatic jason Posted November 8, 2020 Share Posted November 8, 2020 Probably worth a mention that we have thankfully had very unimpressive rainfall amounts so far. I hope it continues. The back of my property just finished drying out from all the rain in October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted November 8, 2020 Share Posted November 8, 2020 Precisely... this puts SE FL in the prime spot this evening through tomorrow morning for Hurricane force wind gusts. It should be noted that although the latest model guidance and track forecast shows landfall in the Florida Keys, the strongest winds are occurring, and are expected to occur, well to the north and east of the center. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cptcatz Posted November 8, 2020 Share Posted November 8, 2020 1 minute ago, finatic jason said: Probably worth a mention that we have thankfully had very unimpressive rainfall amounts so far. I hope it continues. The back of my property just finished drying out from all the rain in October. I got 1.56 inches yesterday and am up to 2.81 inches today. Not gonna get the 10-15 like some forecasts were calling but I can see getting another couple inches through midnight and then another one or two tomorrow on the backside, totaling 6-8 inches overall in three days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted November 8, 2020 Share Posted November 8, 2020 Eta appears to be tracking more nw than west; decent banding about to hit Ft Lauderdale Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RT1980 Posted November 8, 2020 Share Posted November 8, 2020 So is this post tropical as the experts advised? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted November 8, 2020 Share Posted November 8, 2020 2 minutes ago, RT1980 said: So is this post tropical as the experts advised? No... Foremost experts are the NHC and they have it as a tropical storm to minimal hurricane for at least the next five days. INIT 08/2100Z 23.9N 79.5W 55 KT 65 MPH 12H 09/0600Z 24.7N 81.1W 60 KT 70 MPH 24H 09/1800Z 24.6N 83.4W 65 KT 75 MPH 36H 10/0600Z 23.6N 84.8W 65 KT 75 MPH 48H 10/1800Z 24.0N 85.1W 65 KT 75 MPH 60H 11/0600Z 25.1N 85.0W 65 KT 75 MPH 72H 11/1800Z 25.8N 84.8W 60 KT 70 MPH 96H 12/1800Z 27.1N 84.0W 55 KT 65 MPH 120H 13/1800Z 29.0N 82.8W 50 KT 60 MPH 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RT1980 Posted November 8, 2020 Share Posted November 8, 2020 2 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said: No... Foremost experts are the NHC and they have it as a tropical storm to minimal hurricane for at least the next five days. INIT 08/2100Z 23.9N 79.5W 55 KT 65 MPH 12H 09/0600Z 24.7N 81.1W 60 KT 70 MPH 24H 09/1800Z 24.6N 83.4W 65 KT 75 MPH 36H 10/0600Z 23.6N 84.8W 65 KT 75 MPH 48H 10/1800Z 24.0N 85.1W 65 KT 75 MPH 60H 11/0600Z 25.1N 85.0W 65 KT 75 MPH 72H 11/1800Z 25.8N 84.8W 60 KT 70 MPH 96H 12/1800Z 27.1N 84.0W 55 KT 65 MPH 120H 13/1800Z 29.0N 82.8W 50 KT 60 MPH Who would have guessed the NHC had a clue of what they were talking about! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cholorob Posted November 8, 2020 Share Posted November 8, 2020 Reporting from the (slightly elevated) ground of coconut grove - wind consistently in the 30s (probably bursts above that but seems like more of an event further north from what I’m reading here) and wet, but no lightning strikes or thunder of any sort. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Akeem the African Dream Posted November 8, 2020 Share Posted November 8, 2020 44/57 really impressive storm here on the coast decent water rise at high tide as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cptcatz Posted November 8, 2020 Share Posted November 8, 2020 Getting the strongest winds of the day now in Boca Raton (4.5 miles inland) 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
finatic jason Posted November 9, 2020 Share Posted November 9, 2020 Rainy and windy in Jupiter for sure .... but to be honest this is like a windy cold front just blowing from the opposite direction. Lol. Just glad the rain totals haven’t worked out so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted November 9, 2020 Share Posted November 9, 2020 Tampa Bay/Gulfport: Gust to 39 mph at the Sunshine Skyway Bridge fishing pier, 41 mph at Surfside Condos on Clearwater Beach. We've had several gusts around 33 mph here in Gulfport. It's been windy for well over 24 hours. No measurable rain to speak of, but we are quite a bit north right now. We do expect some later tonight as there is a band on the radar that could make it here. So far it's not the strongest storm of the year for us, but watching closely in case it does strengthen and turn back to the Gulf Coast in a few days. It does have that "feel" that we all know so well in tropical system areas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted November 9, 2020 Share Posted November 9, 2020 27 minutes ago, Prospero said: Tampa Bay/Gulfport: Gust to 39 mph at the Sunshine Skyway Bridge fishing pier, 41 mph at Surfside Condos on Clearwater Beach. We've had several gusts around 33 mph here in Gulfport. It's been windy for well over 24 hours. No measurable rain to speak of, but we are quite a bit north right now. We do expect some later tonight as there is a band on the radar that could make it here. So far it's not the strongest storm of the year for us, but watching closely in case it does strengthen and turn back to the Gulf Coast in a few days. It does have that "feel" that we all know so well in tropical system areas. Could get a little dicey around here Thursday into Friday. That's from Tampa following the I4 corridor into Orlando. According to the Hwrf. Edit. Still breezy. But winds have dropped a little since the sun went down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted November 9, 2020 Share Posted November 9, 2020 Just now, FLweather said: Could get a little dicey around here Thursday into Friday. That's from Tampa following the I4 corridor into Orlando. According to the Hwrf. That's what we are keeping in the back of our minds in my home. Hoping Eta does not fire up in the Gulf like it did before hitting the Mosquito Coast. I doubt that will happen, but a TS could be visiting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted November 9, 2020 Share Posted November 9, 2020 4 minutes ago, Prospero said: That's what we are keeping in the back of our minds in my home. Hoping Eta does not fire up in the Gulf like it did before hitting the Mosquito Coast. I doubt that will happen, but a TS could be visiting. Same thoughts here. But its 2020 and probably also on Friday the 13th. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted November 9, 2020 Share Posted November 9, 2020 Powerful deep convection, the deepest convection in the whole system, is firing in a band north of the center, and this feature will hit the SE FL coast. This band may have the most powerful winds in the entire storm. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso2-14-200-1-10-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined Already the conditions out there are solidly tropical storm force, with lots of wind and torrential squalls moving through very often. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted November 9, 2020 Share Posted November 9, 2020 2 hours ago, Modfan2 said: Eta appears to be tracking more nw than west; decent banding about to hit Ft Lauderdale Does look farther north than expected to me. Edit: I can't seem to find a radar right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Calderon Posted November 9, 2020 Share Posted November 9, 2020 9 minutes ago, turtlehurricane said: Powerful deep convection, the deepest convection in the whole system, is firing in a band north of the center, and this feature will hit the SE FL coast. This band may have the most powerful winds in the entire storm. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso2-14-200-1-10-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined Already the conditions out there are solidly tropical storm force, with lots of wind and torrential squalls moving through very often. Looks to angle itself right into Broward County, so the cams in downtown FTL, Dania Beach Pier, & Hollywood Beach are going to get really good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted November 9, 2020 Share Posted November 9, 2020 5 minutes ago, turtlehurricane said: Powerful deep convection, the deepest convection in the whole system, is firing in a band north of the center, and this feature will hit the SE FL coast. This band may have the most powerful winds in the entire storm. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso2-14-200-1-10-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined Already the conditions out there are solidly tropical storm force, with lots of wind and torrential squalls moving through very often. Wonder how much longer the LLC will hang on before opening and broadening? Looking at IR, the Northwest shield is growing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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