Amped Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 2020NOV02 235017 6.1 944.1 117.4 6.1 6.3 7.7 1.3T/6hr OFF OFF OFF OFF -11.78 -78.83 EYE 8 IR 20.0 14.32 82.48 ARCHER GOES16 18.8 Only one other storm had a raw T above 7.5 in the last week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 12 minutes ago, Normandy said: We are at the point now where I think the question isn't if it's a category 5 anymore....the question is how strong of a Cat 5 it is. On pins and needles waiting for recon now. My guess: 155 knots. 904 mb. I’m thinking more like 145 knots 920. Unless we see even more tightening before arrival. Water temps support super high end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderately Unstable Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 Place yer bets folks! Come one come all, try your luck! Guess the pressure and winds! Only 5 cents! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 I think 920 is more reasonable than 905 given how small it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jpeters3 Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 1 minute ago, the ghost of leroy said: I think 920 is more reasonable than 905 given how small it is. I'm going sub-900. 895. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Normandy Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 Just now, jpeters3 said: I'm going sub-900. 895. That's what I wanted to say but I'm too chickenshit 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 Just now, jpeters3 said: I'm going sub-900. 895. Damn bro. I’ll be excited if that’s the case but it’s just so hard to get to that level that I’d never predict that in an Atlantic storm that isn’t an obvious Wilma. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderately Unstable Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 I'm going with 917, 145 knots. Edit: Upped from 140 to 145 on speed based on pressure. I feel like 140 is more likely but I'm going to go ahead and swing high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sojitodd Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 914 to 917 is my guess(might as well join the crowd). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 890mb, Wind Speed High-End EF4 Tornado. (180 mph) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 I'm going with 910mb, 175 mph winds. Eye is completely cleared out again on satellite. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 913, 150 kts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Master of Disaster Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 921. 160mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 59 minutes ago, jpeters3 said: Just looked it up. Looks like it's a C-130. I guess they attached the rocket booster. (sorry for the banter) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doc Jon Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 888/180 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 9 minutes ago, Moderately Unstable said: Place yer bets folks! Come one come all, try your luck! Guess the pressure and winds! Only 5 cents! 925/160 mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OhioWX Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 145kts/923mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 I’m thinking 145 kts (165) and 917mb. Around or under 2 hours until recon makes it in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 Sounds like we will have several straight hours of recon this evening/overnight. Two planes currently expected to go in over night, counting the one on the way now. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 915mb/170 mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Master of Disaster Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 1 minute ago, MUWX said: Sounds like we will have several straight hours of recon this evening/overnight. Two planes currently expected to go in over night, counting the one on the way now. Looked like one returned. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderately Unstable Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 ESTIMATED PRESSURE/WIND CONTEST--SO FAR: Note: Entries and edits close once the aircraft enters the storm. LongBeachSurfFreak: 920mb/145kt The Ghost of Leroy: 920mb jpeters3: 895mb Moderately Unstable: 917mb/145kt sojitodd: 914-917mb Snowlover22: 890mb/155kt Newman: 910mb/150kt olafminesaw: 913mb/150kt Master of Disaster: 921mb/140kt Doc Jon: 888mb/155kt Will-Rutgers 925mb/140kt OhioWX: 923mb/145kt DDweatherman: 917mb/145kt yotaman: 915mb/145-150kt 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 Put this one in the spank bank. You won’t find a more hilarious radar grab from a microcane ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 Eye temp of +0.9C. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 Watching the satellite, Eta's eye just got even BETTER defined, and those extreme cold cloudtops now make up the entire CDO. Similar to Wilma, to be honest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 I'll say 922 mb/140 kt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BYG Jacob Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 1 minute ago, Moderately Unstable said: ESTIMATED PRESSURE/WIND CONTEST--SO FAR: LongBeachSurfFreak: 920mb/145kt The Ghost of Leroy: 920mb jpeters3: 895mb Moderately Unstable: 917mb/145kt sojitodd: 914-917mb Snowlover22: 890mb/155kt Newman: 910mb/150kt olafminesaw: 913mb/150kt Master of Disaster: 921mb/140kt Doc Jon: 888mb/155kt Will-Rutgers 925mb/140kt OhioWX: 923mb/145kt DDweatherman: 917mb/145kt yotaman: 915mb/145-150kt I'll go 913 mb 145 knots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cardinalland Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 904mb, 185mph (160kts) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 9 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: 913, 150 kts I'm going to go ahead and say ETA makes up for Delta being a bust before recon gets there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 919mb/145kt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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