justanotheruser Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 155 kts (178.4 mph) Dropsonde surface. What. Is that real? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 Bust cancel 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cptcatz Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 Umm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Normandy Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 Big winds now starting to come out to play Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted November 3, 2020 Author Share Posted November 3, 2020 Some left the party too fast. lol... Eta is still reaching for peak. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jpeters3 Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 1 minute ago, Windspeed said: Some left the party too fast. lol... Eta is still reaching for peak. Still here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 The new recon is aborting just shy of the storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 1 minute ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: The new recon is aborting just shy of the storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 7 minutes ago, cptcatz said: Umm... I think the argument can be made that the data is there for a low-end cat 5 at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 2 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: The new recon is aborting just shy of the storm I haven't seen an update from the old recon in 45minutes other than the sonde. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 Why have three recons turned around in 24 hrs? What in the world?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 3 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: The new recon is aborting just shy of the storm Seriously....why?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jpeters3 Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 Just now, Floydbuster said: Why have three recons turned around in 24 hrs? What in the world?? Just now, StormChaser4Life said: Seriously....why?! Evil exists. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 Watch it will truly peak as a cat 5 now then by the time a plane gets there an ewrc will occur and we will miss max intensity #2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doc Jon Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 3 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said: Seriously....why?! 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 Just now, Doc Jon said: 2020 You see the end of my post? Lol. I put #2020. Haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raindancewx Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 Mitch killed 10,000 people in 1998 with 180 mph sustained winds at its peak if my memory is right. Similar path and time of year to this. Pretty sure the models didn't get the path right on Mitch - have to watch for that in the coming days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 1 minute ago, raindancewx said: Mitch killed 10,000 people in 1998 with 180 mph sustained winds at its peak if my memory is right. Similar path and time of year to this. Pretty sure the models didn't get the path right on Mitch - have to watch for that in the coming days. Mitch was down to a 1 by landfall, though. It was all rainfall-induced landslides. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 1 minute ago, raindancewx said: Mitch killed 10,000 people in 1998 with 180 mph sustained winds at its peak if my memory is right. Similar path and time of year to this. Pretty sure the models didn't get the path right on Mitch - have to watch for that in the coming days. Mitch did not hit this same area on this same path as Eta. Mitch went north of Honduras and then turned south and made landfall in central north coast of Honduras and then meandered around. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 Tropical Tidbits recon data has not updated in nearly an hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doc Jon Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 2 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said: You see the end of my post? Lol. I put #2020. Haha yep. This is the year of Murphy's Law squared. This year, if it might, kinda, sorta, barely, potentially possibly go wrong... it WILL!!!... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 Just now, hawkeye_wx said: Tropical Tidbits recon data has not updated in nearly an hour. I guess it's an issue with the connection to the plane but they're still in the storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 924 mb per dropsonde..... Tidbits finally updated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderately Unstable Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 New VDM. Mesovortices. Would like to see the radar loop if they can put it up on twitter after the mission. 302 URNT12 KNHC 030403 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL292020 A. 03/03:10:10Z B. 14.03 deg N 082.61 deg W C. 700 mb 2435 m D. 925 mb E. 290 deg 14 kt F. CLOSED G. C7 H. 135 kt I. 127 deg 3 nm 03:07:00Z J. 232 deg 127 kt K. 135 deg 4 nm 03:06:30Z L. 125 kt M. 043 deg 5 nm 03:13:30Z N. 135 deg 125 kt O. 043 deg 5 nm 03:13:30Z P. 11 C / 3037 m Q. 20 C / 2998 m R. 3 C / NA S. 12345 / 07 T. 0.02 / 0.5 nm U. AF304 0429A ETA OB 15 MAX FL WIND 137 KT 193 / 5 NM 02:18:00Z MANY MESOVORTICES ROTATING ON INSIDE EYEWALL. ; Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 Still not finding any higher FL winds than 137 knots? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 VDM says it strengthened to 135 knots, 2-knots to category five Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doc Jon Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 2 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Mitch did not hit this same area on this same path as Eta. Mitch went north of Honduras and then turned south and made landfall in central north coast of Honduras and then meandered around. Mitch hit a fairly populated coast compared with where Eta's going - there's nothing on the Mosquito coast but snakes, crocks and Dengue fever. Amazing tarpon fishing but that's beside the point. Unfortunately, however, Eta has apparently set its sights on the one population center in the entire region. There are about 60-70,000 people right in the target area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 Current recon just got aborted, so we're back to only satellite til morning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 Just now, HillsdaleMIWeather said: Current recon just got aborted, so we're back to only satellite til morning we are such a third world country these days 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JasonOH Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 I wonder if the abort was due to the mesovorts. They may have decided it was too dangerous. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now