hawkeye_wx Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 Models continue to do some funky stuff with Eta in the long range. The Euro is no longer moving it into the Pacific. Instead, like other models, it moves into Central America but then sneaks back into the Caribbean near Belize. It then snakes around the nw Caribbean, turning into a strong hurricane again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 We have Hurricane Eta on ATCF 65kt/987 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OhioWX Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 I somehow doubt this is only a minimal hurricane... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Normandy Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 NHC is behind bigtime on current intensity 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 Wouldn't this be a fun few days to watch and talk about... 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 973mb extrapolated. 87kts FL, 80kts SFMR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 1 hour ago, Prospero said: Wouldn't this be a fun few days to watch and talk about... Lol! Potential for about 5-7 landfalls in FL and the N GOM coast within two days!! 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 13 minutes ago, Morris said: 973mb extrapolated. 87kts FL, 80kts SFMR. 974mb on the dropsonde in the eye, and we have the NE eyewall dropsonde with 81kts a hair above the surface with lower average of 88kts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 11 minutes ago, LakeEffectKing said: Lol! Potential for about 5-7 landfalls in FL and the N GOM coast within two days!! And we get to finish the alphabet in one shot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cptcatz Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 Amazing agreement between Euro and GFS in the long range that definitely hasn't been seen all year. This is concerning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 Evaluation is certainly unusual. Brings circulation of Eta back over water North of Honduras brings to NE almost to Cuba where it gets blocked by the ridge, pushed southwest a bit before getting picked up by the trough. Of course we are talking 10 days in the future and a lot is dependent on what happens with Eta after CA Landfall. If the circulation dies over land it may be moot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 90kts unflagged SFMR in the NW eyewall. Pressure dropped a few mb in between passes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 http://meteorologia.aerocivil.gov.co/radar/loop/aoi/ADZ/Reflectividad de Base 0.5 deg Eyewall visible on radar from San Andres Island Good news is the general landfall area is sparsely populated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OhioWX Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 This is really impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted November 2, 2020 Author Share Posted November 2, 2020 Eta may very well end up the best looking hurricane in the Atlantic Basin 2020. Long way to go for continued RI through landfall and a beautiful upper atmospheric presentation evolving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted November 2, 2020 Author Share Posted November 2, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 The eye is really popping. The pressure is certainly <970 mb now. The next recon is scheduled to be in the storm later this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 Give this thing 24 more hours over water and we may very well have a cat 5. Most explosive strengthening of the year ongoing on November 2nd. Bet the next flight finds a major 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 This thing really appears to be bombing. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 Was a sad tropical storm less than a day ago. It might be a major hurricane already, based on satellite. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 Looks like a typhoon in the WPAC while rapidly intensifying. Very strong cold cloud tops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 110 mph at 10am, expected to get to Cat 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 I think this thing may make it to cat 4. Very charley-like on sat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 Estimated 10 mb drop in 2 1/2 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 Pretty scary wording from NHC. Catastrophic wind, rain, and surge. Glad this is coming in a sparsely populated area and the core is extremely small Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 I bet this thing is already 100-110 kts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 Someone at NOAA just bleeping removed Eta from the 1-minute meso satellite loops. They need to get it back ASAP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 Ladies and gentlemen, we have a pinhole Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 Looks like the storm we've been waiting for. Has a Pinhole eye thats rapidly warming. Probably deepening 3mb/hr. This is a good time to move the storm floater over to some random clouds over the mid atlantic. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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