TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 I’d take the euro... ton of rain and a chance at a few inches of snow at the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 Kiss of death snow event... we savour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 That’s a big change though from 00z EURO. That’s a real juicy storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah it tries. Would be best chance for something interesting. Love that curl up. -5 to -6C at 925mb wrapping into it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah it tries. Would be best chance for something interesting. Love that curl up. Euro is the perfect storm in my book down this way. Crap ton of rain for the steins and ends as a few inches of snow possibly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 Just now, powderfreak said: That’s a big change though from 00z EURO. That’s a real juicy storm. Southern bowling ball phases in this run. By far the biggest difference from the 00z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Southern bowling ball phases in this run. By far the biggest difference from the 00z run. Just a few pieces to sort out before the storm occurs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 26, 2020 Author Share Posted October 26, 2020 10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro looks like it's gonna be pretty good for some areas...esp CNE but also into SNE. And so it begins... ...the Euro crosses that critical temporal window where contrary to recent popular voice it tends to lay down the law ...and sees this, which is has been in play ( frankly ) for days - ... something's likely out of this. Sorry I think we just went to yellow - ... still can't get detailed but present take -away is > 50% for transitioning system into a colder profile - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 I had a feeling this window of time would produce something. Maybe this will be the start of a big season. #NovaScotiaStrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 Better look at H5 even from the 06z Euro run earlier too, Need to root for a phase to make this better regionally if you want snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 Not quite a full moon goon storm, but close enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Southern bowling ball phases in this run. By far the biggest difference from the 00z run. Its because Zeta is more potent. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: And so it begins... ...the Euro crosses that critical temporal window where contrary to recent popular voice it tends to lay down the law ...and sees this, which is has been in play ( frankly ) for days - ... something's likely out of this. Sorry I think we just went to yellow - ... still can't get detailed but present take -away is > 50% for transitioning system into a colder profile - Great call on this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 Time to start another glorious winter in this board. I miss obsessively checking it during a threat. Good to be here again for another year. 6 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 26, 2020 Author Share Posted October 26, 2020 9 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: congrats up north on the EURO, seems likely to be honest, I would expect maybe 1-3" as a win around here. OH my yes ... lol. But yeah... I mean, we're prior to Novie 1 and counting pennies at all is like celebrating a million bucks 30 years ago - enjoying the modern era anyone ? It's a HUGE relative win getting an inch ... let alone, there still some option on the table for more is only enabling avarice - just sayn' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 That would be absolutely nightmare driving if it plays out like that...it's showing basically a flash freeze late afternoon/early evening across a chunk of the interior. Not typically what you see in October snow systems. It's a very cold airmass getting drawn in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: That would be absolutely nightmare driving if it plays out like that...it's showing basically a flash freeze late afternoon/early evening across a chunk of the interior. Not typically what you see in October snow systems. It's a very cold airmass getting drawn in. I'm supposed to be going to Greenwich CT Friday evening. I don't want to go, so I hope it snows lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That would be absolutely nightmare driving if it plays out like that...it's showing basically a flash freeze late afternoon/early evening across a chunk of the interior. Not typically what you see in October snow systems. It's a very cold airmass getting drawn in. As modeled is this turning to snow Friday into night? Would it go to powder? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 2 hours ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: What do we need to see on modeling to get this juicier.... A more Robust PNA RIDGE? can we spin in some energy and get this to detonate Under Long Island and temporarily SLow way down Juicy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 Euro looks strange between 90 and 96 hrs. The low is racing NE and then suddenly takes a jog back to the SW and weakens. I can see it slowing down or taking a turn to the SE, but the SW movement doesn't make sense in a fast flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 1 minute ago, Amped said: Euro looks strange between 90 and 96 hrs. The low is racing NE and then suddenly takes a jog back to the SW and weakens. I can see it slowing down or taking a turn to the SE, but the SW movement doesn't make sense in a fast flow. Is the upper system capturing? Haven't looked..just speculating. There is a lot of energy phasing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 26, 2020 Author Share Posted October 26, 2020 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That would be absolutely nightmare driving if it plays out like that...it's showing basically a flash freeze late afternoon/early evening across a chunk of the interior. Not typically what you see in October snow systems. It's a very cold airmass getting drawn in. Sometimes this happens... If we're going to dump over the threshold into an exotic SD scenario ... usually the conventions fly out the door and the region just gets the shit kicked out of them. This "could be that" - ... having it got to lightning and thunderclap, blue-tinted dusk in 5-7" of parachutes, then...fast clearing by 9pm with starlight radiational crazy glue dymonds - I just friggin joked about that ..I think to "Hoth" ? ... now the Euro tries to do that exact joke ? I'm heading out for a lottery ticket... lord Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 26 minutes ago, dryslot said: Hr 108 and more to go.... wtf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 26, 2020 Author Share Posted October 26, 2020 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Is the upper system capturing? Haven't looked..just speculating. There is a lot of energy phasing... Something like that... In this case, it's really the very powerful Q-G forcing nosing over the Bite region S of LI...and that UVM forcing triggers a redevelopment back SW along the baroclinic axis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: Sometimes this happens... If we're going to dump over the threshold into an exotic SD scenario ... usually the conventions fly out the door and the region just gets the shit kicked out of them. This "could be that" - ... having it got to lightning and thunderclap, blue-tinted dusk in 5-7" of parachutes, then...fast clearing by 9pm with starlight radiational crazy glue dymonds - I just friggin joked about that ..I think to "Hoth" ? ... now the Euro tries to do that exact joke ? I'm heading out for a lottery ticket... lord That scenario reminds me of Dec 9, 2005...not saying this is a redux... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: wtf Yeah, No sh it, Better go let the birds know......lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 12 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said: I'm supposed to be going to Greenwich CT Friday evening. I don't want to go, so I hope it snows lol Yeah I've got an event in Biddeford ME Friday night, so that bodes well for snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 just looking at the euro, looks like ~ 0.5-0.7" of frozen around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 7 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Sometimes this happens... If we're going to dump over the threshold into an exotic SD scenario ... usually the conventions fly out the door and the region just gets the shit kicked out of them. This "could be that" - ... having it got to lightning and thunderclap, blue-tinted dusk in 5-7" of parachutes, then...fast clearing by 9pm with starlight radiational crazy glue dymonds - I just friggin joked about that ..I think to "Hoth" ? ... now the Euro tries to do that exact joke ? I'm heading out for a lottery ticket... lord Hey, my old boss won $200 million in October '11 after the storm. Most of CT had no power, but Greenwich did. Go figure. Dude was already loaded too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted October 26, 2020 Share Posted October 26, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Is the upper system capturing? Haven't looked..just speculating. There is a lot of energy phasing... It's the ULL forming a new system and Zeta getting ripped apart. CMC and even the Ukmet show Zeta being ripped apart over the apps. I think the Euro holds onto Zeta too long. It's not going to cross the apps and still be a 988mb low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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