dendrite Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 8 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Guys ...some people like reading - you're not one of them. Fine - don't read it. If Chris doesn't give a shit beyond the first sentence or two...that's okay too - but that's who it was addressed to. You're welcome to read that take on things if you like ... From a laptop/PC interface, it is not as long as you think - it's just that on a phone it 'looks' overwhelming - All in fun man. Yeah I’m on mobile so it looks like my senior thesis. I actually read your posts when I get the chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 12z NAM running hoping to see something good.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 If this were a month from now, this would be a crusher for SNE. That thing is 700mb goodies all over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 27, 2020 Author Share Posted October 27, 2020 6 minutes ago, dendrite said: All in fun man. Yeah I’m on mobile so it looks like my senior thesis. I actually read your posts when I get the chance. yeah ..I don't mean to come off like I'm offended or above having the shit kicked out of me - I laughed when I read your war and peace jibe and thought to actually post, " yeah, who was that asshole" ... I shoulda told folks ...well, warned folks that it may be longish .. lol.. Thing is, the GFS speed surplus has been in my craw for awhile and I was venting perhaps - ... It's also a speed surplus that is being sort of " hidden " by the fact that it is happening in a fast flow anyway - and that's really got me pissed off at it. haha. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: yeah ..I don't mean to come off like I'm offended or above having the shit kicked out of me - I laughed when I read your war and peace jibe and thought to actually post, " yeah, who was that asshole" ... I should told folks ...well, warned folks that it may be longish .. lol.. Thing is, the GFS speed surplus has been in my craw for awhile and I was venting perhaps - ... It's also a speed surplus that is being sort of " hidden " by the fact that it is happening in a fast flow anyway - and that's really got me pissed off at it. haha. Its no big deal. Like you said, people are free to scroll. I'm sure the average reader actually consumes about 20% if my winter outlooks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: yeah ..I don't mean to come off like I'm offended or above having the shit kicked out of me - I laughed when I read your war and peace jibe and thought to actually post, " yeah, who was that asshole" ... I shoulda told folks ...well, warned folks that it may be longish .. lol.. Thing is, the GFS speed surplus has been in my craw for awhile and I was venting perhaps - ... It's also a speed surplus that is being sort of " hidden " by the fact that it is happening in a fast flow anyway - and that's really got me pissed off at it. haha. All jokes aside .. how is the book doing? Sales good? I was trying to find it on Amazon but couldn’t remember the name 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 18 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: I just cut the lawn last weekend. Not putting snowblower on yet. Am anxious though to try out new generator, so if power goes out, bring it on. Our genny got a 10-hour workout thanks to the late September storm. It's like insurance - good to have but one is happy if it's never needed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 27, 2020 Author Share Posted October 27, 2020 So you know ...not without compassion ..buuut, it does seem that the intent of recognizing the season's first chance at a synoptic snow as a singulare virtuosity might have gotten a little lost in the din of expectation ? Not really anyone's fault. It's a bit much to keep things in perspective, when the models timed .. cocaine solutions into the consideration ... like 12z yesterday, right when they did. Kind of encouraged this morph into a winter storm box as opposed to a recognition box. But, that's why this thread got going - because the models did that... I just hope the recog part doesn't get lost. This fast nature of the flow ...the N/stream part of this hasn't finished arriving over land up there in western Canada - Now...I am not sure "if/when" that old school data sparseness issue is/isn't even applicable, but... having wave mechanics actually physically sampled as opposed to detected electromagnetically from 23,000 miles in space ... seems better doesn't it. Ha! But it used still matter, even though the modelers at NCEP ( I think..) used to extol its virtue as being just as good.. That may be the case nowadays... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 12z NAM coming in flatter than 06z. Though the shortwave in MN at 48h looks a bit more potent, so maybe it can pop late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 25 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: I just cut the lawn last weekend. Not putting snowblower on yet. Am anxious though to try out new generator, so if power goes out, bring it on. Ya I’m not thinking you need the blower just yet...unless this thing roars back on guidance tomorrow, which is always a possibility obviously? And whatever you get it will melt fast in the days following. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 I would be thrilled with an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 25 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: If this were a month from now, this would be a crusher for SNE. That thing is 700mb goodies all over. The theme from last May continues now in Oct. If only. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 27 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 12z NAM running hoping to see something good.. Keep us posted. Clown maps preferred. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 14 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 12z NAM coming in flatter than 06z. Though the shortwave in MN at 48h looks a bit more potent, so maybe it can pop late. Watch that ULL this could be good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 14 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 12z NAM coming in flatter than 06z. Though the shortwave in MN at 48h looks a bit more potent, so maybe it can pop late. Looks not bad to my eyes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 It's definitely a little flatter vs 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Watch that ULL this could be good Yeah, nice backside vorticity rounding the base of the trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 NAM is cold AF at the surface. Verbatim a lot of the area would be Rain-->Sleet--> Snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 Who deleted my post and why? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It's definitely a little flatter vs 6z. Yep...pretty weak sauce. But damn, that's cold at the end. Look at this sounding Friday morning..... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: NAM is cold AF at the surface. Verbatim a lot of the area would be Rain-->IP--> Snow. Congrats on the CJ lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Who deleted my post and why? what post? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Who deleted my post and why? Training camp is over and your metamorphosis is complete....we're deleting irrelevant banter. This is a storm threat thread. 2 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 Models were not really picking up on the sleet yesterday. That cold just crashing down for the change over. More realistic last night/today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yep...pretty weak sauce. But damn, that's cold at the end. Look at this sounding Friday morning..... Even a touch of snow and sleet would be cool to see around these parts. Certainly possible if NAM is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 That’s a nice 2-4” pike south. When ULL goes under LI like that.. always drops snows. I’m excited now. Much more than that TD ridiculous amped solution folks here bought yesterday on Euro that we warned them about. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yep...pretty weak sauce. But damn, that's cold at the end. Look at this sounding Friday morning..... Might be weak where you live but thats solid in SVT WMA NORH SNH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: Even a touch of snow and sleet would be cool to see around these parts. Certainly possible if NAM is right. Yeah, it's a crazy cold airmass lurking for this time of the year. Even though there's potential for higher amounts if this weren't flat, even 1-3" would be pretty amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 Totally skunked on the NAM it looks like. I moved too far north. LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Congrats on the CJ lol There is one sort of lol. But that looks west of here. Maybe near where it was in 2011 near I-95 in SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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