weathafella Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 Generally 2-4/3-6 further inland in pike region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 528 thickness to MA/NH border is impressive this early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 Good night folks. Big jump at 0Z but plenty of time for it re-correct in the next few runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 Oh boy.....fella stayed up.....LFG guys 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 2 minutes ago, ice1972 said: Oh boy.....fella stayed up.....LFG guys I can get up at noon if I want to tho...lol 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 Ensemble cluster analysis has really bifurcated today. Almost all of the slower solutions are now EPS based, while the faster/flatter ones are all GEFS or CMC based. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 The thought of a solid event happening 2x down here in my lifetime in October is kind of mind boggling....down here a solid event is 2-3 inches of more. I don't expect the first inch b4 mid Nov down here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 3 hours ago, powderfreak said: UKMET is full snoozer. Went from this: To this: Precip stays mostly south of RT 2. Even ALB only 0.25” QPF total. I guess I no longer ride the Ukie 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 My first morning of the season when I awake to the 4:30 alarm fully aware that I have the 00z runs to catch up on. First morning of the season that I wished I had stayed in bed after looking at said models. Celebrate. No October snow Winter is saved. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 The fast flow is real. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 Did MPM look at models? Makes you wonder after that post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 3 hours ago, weathafella said: Good night folks. Big jump at 0Z but plenty of time for it re-correct in the next few runs. 6z recorrect GFS so far, EURO Around 745 am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Did MPM look at models? Makes you wonder after that post I know lol. 6z GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 RGEM looks decent. Euro and 6z GFS aren't all that different now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 56 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: My first morning of the season when I awake to the 4:30 alarm fully aware that I have the 00z runs to catch up on. First morning of the season that I wished I had stayed in bed after looking at said models. Celebrate. No October snow Winter is saved. Mike, Mike, Mikey Mike? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Mike, Mike, Mikey Mike? Either he really didn’t look at anything or woke up drunk from last night. It’s one or the other. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 ICON also significantly more amped than 0z. Maybe not a huge hit coming but there seems to be more consensus on at least a good fairly widespread hit away from the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Either he really didn’t look at anything or woke up drunk from last night. It’s one or the other. I must have missed something for sure!! I'm going in for bloodwork today so I can't have any coffee. I'll attribute it to that!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 Ends up pretty much right at the BM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 Hopefully guidance hones in on some of the more amped solutions like we saw yesterday. Even if not, many areas could at least see their first flakes and even accumulation which is pretty cool. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Either he really didn’t look at anything or woke up drunk from last night. It’s one or the other. Don't want to excite you but outside chance night of your Bday of some flakes? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 18 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Don't want to excite you but outside chance night of your Bday of some flakes? Saw that . Sneaky follow up cold shot Monday night. It hasn’t happened in 47 years , so it likely won’t . I’m just hoping Friday drops a couple inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 24 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Hopefully guidance hones in on some of the more amped solutions like we saw yesterday. Even if not, many areas could at least see their first flakes and even accumulation which is pretty cool. That is all I have realistically been hoping for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Did MPM look at models? Makes you wonder after that post RevKev is back! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 17 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: It's quickly collapsing SE at that point...prob changes most of SNE over to snow quickly after that frame. The detailed maps are not out yet on pivotal though so I can't see it. But even a pretty far west amped solution is going to produce some snow. We want the happy medium of amped, but not obscenely tucked west, which I'm less afraid of in this super fast pattern than I am of something hideously sheered. The sheared monster coming to get us last night. This fast flow is relentless. Definitely a flatter theme in the overnight runs. Hopefully we can slow things down just a smidge on today’s runs. That said, obviously still a decent shot at first flakes and maybe some accumulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 11 minutes ago, MarkO said: RevKev is back! Seasons in seasons! We change with the seasons and want them to perform as defined! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 Seems we are in mid season form with the models. Everyone gets sucked in yesterday and then overnight runs turn into a sheared mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Seems we are in mid season form with the models. Everyone gets sucked in yesterday and then overnight runs turn into a sheared mess. I wonder if there is a Hadley cell expanding somewhere? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 7 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Seems we are in mid season form with the models. Everyone gets sucked in yesterday and then overnight runs turn into a sheared mess. Zero expectations for this and winter. It’s a more peaceful approach, no stress. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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